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Apeiron Short Term

What it trades: Mostly Forex; (some futures) Strategies: Technical analysis, Market timing

Hypothetical Monthly Results

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2007       +3.5%  -  (1.7%)(0.1%)+3.3%(3.2%)+1.3%+5.0%+1.6%+0.8%+0.8%
2008+2.0%  -  +1.6%+0.7%(0.1%)+1.3%(3.8%)+6.4%+0.5%+0.7%(0.3%)+5.2%
2009(0.1%)  -  +1.7%(0.1%)(0.2%)+0.1%+0.5%(0.2%)  -  +1.3%(0.5%)(0.9%)
2010  -  (0.7%)(0.1%)(2.4%)(2.8%)  -  +1.1%(0.6%)+0.6%                  

 
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Subscription Terms

Five-day free trial, then $149 per month (Details)

There is a free trial period of 5 days before you are charged. You may cancel at any time before this (we send you an email at least a day before, to remind you, so there are no surprises.)

Then, after the trial, you will be charged $149 per month. (That is, we will charge you every 30 days - not when the month name on the calendar changes. So it's okay to sign up towards the end of a calendar month. You'll still get a full 30 days.)



Strategy Description 


Short term analysis using chart and seasonal patterns.
read more...

- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that text above is an accurate Strategy Description. (Contact System Developer)




Recently Closed Trades

Details

Opened ET B/S # Symbol   Price Closed Price Risk P/L
8/31/10 10:51 SELL 15 USD/CHF 1.01480 9/1 8:19 1.01000 Low $715
8/24/10 2:42 SELL 25 GBP/USD 1.53900 8/24 6:53 1.54004 Low ($260)
8/2/10 8:30 BUY 1 GBP/USD 1.58401 8/10 6:50 1.57525 Low ($88)
8/5/10 4:33 SELL 13 USD/CAD 1.01300 8/6 5:43 1.01740 Low ($548)
8/4/10 11:19 SELL 20 USD/CAD 1.01850 8/4 14:15 1.01750 Low $191
7/29/10 4:24 BUY 20 EUR/USD 1.30700 7/29 17:11 1.30796 Low $192
7/14/10 3:35 BUY 20 GBP/USD 1.52600 7/14 6:04 1.52694 Low $188
7/4/10 17:51 BUY 7 EUR/USD 1.25610 7/9 7:00 1.26655 Low $731
7/1/10 15:47 BUY 12 EUR/USD 1.25300 7/4 17:50 1.25544 Low $293
6/29/10 8:16 BUY 10 USD/CAD 1.05050 6/29 17:16 1.05470 Low $398
6/27/10 18:18 SELL 10 USD/CHF 1.09168 6/28 9:41 1.08340 Low $765
6/23/10 22:07 BUY 10 GBP/USD 1.49930 6/25 5:50 1.48730 Low ($1,200)
6/20/10 17:04 SELL 20 USD/CAD 1.01800 6/21 6:07 1.01677 Low $242
6/14/10 4:43 SELL 3 USD/CHF 1.13750 6/16 21:13 1.13101 Low $172
6/6/10 18:54 SELL 2 USD/JPY 91.542 6/13 21:32 91.839 Low ($65)

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Statistics

Analytics  
System has been audited since2/11/2007 (43 months ago)
Trades172
# Profitable95 (55.2%)
# months tracked44
Profitable months21 (47.7%)
Avg trade duration3.2 days
Annual return (compounded)6.1%
Average win$695
Average loss$556
Profit factor1.5:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)8.32%
drawdown periodOct 19, 2009 to June 25, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P-0.007
Sharpe ratio0.886
C2Realism Factor 97%
Keep after worst-case slippage 77.7%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.27
Average P/L per unit traded$260.53


System Description

The Apeiron Short Term Trading discretionary program uses a short term analysis, through a multi strategy and multi market methodology, whose objective is to offer consistent results on different market conditions, while keeping the drawdown at an acceptable level. The use of a mix of trend and counter-trend approaches, on uncorrelated global markets , could offer a grater diversification, reducing the risk on single trades, while it could increase opportunity for each market sector. The profitable trades are held for 1 to 30 days. The losing trades are liquidated rapidly through the use of stops or market orders, if the stops have not been activated, but the system signals the end of the trade. The trading program is systematic in nature and 90% automatic with a touch of discretion. The methodology is currently composed of 2 short term trading systems that operate in the direction and counter-direction of the markets. They rely on seasonal market behavior and chart patterns. The trading approach is the same for all the markets and market sectors, thus providing a robust and consistent method for exploiting market opportunities. The Apeiron Short Term Trading program is presently active on the following spot markets: Fx Euro/Usd, Fx Usd/Yen, Fx Gbp/Usd, Fx Usd/Can, Fx Aud/Usd, It may be possible in the future to extend the trading in other world markets and/or other market sectors. On average, between 0 to 10 trades are executed each month. RISK DISCLOSURE Please Note: All performance figures and illustrations were obtained using historical back testing on a computer and are not the results of an actual account. No guarantee is inferred that future performance will be like the results shown. Futures, forex and options trading involves risk. There is a risk of loss in futures, forex and options trading. "HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IM PLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS".

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description.