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The Winning Ticket

What it trades: Stocks, Options Strategies: Technical analysis, Volatility trading, Market timing

Hypothetical Monthly Results

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2007                                                 +7.1%+10.3%(1.4%)+39.8%(9.5%)
2008(80.2%)+200.0%  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2009  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  (0.1%)  -    -  
2010  -    -    -    -    -  +0.1%(0.1%)+0.1%  -                    

 
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Strategy Description 


"The Winning Ticket" is now an option trading system. We search for Strong stocks that have tripped our signal indicators and have a high volatility. High Volatility Indexes also are played. 10 to 100% per trade is expected
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that text above is an accurate Strategy Description. (Contact System Developer)




Recently Closed Trades

Details

System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by 8 hours.

Opened ET B/S # Symbol   Price Closed Price Risk P/L
1/29/08 12:14 BUY 20 QJPBN JASO Feb08 70 call 1.40 2/16 9:12 0.00 Extreme ($2,800)
2/15/08 10:10 BUY 17 RUYOL RUT Mar08 660 put 11.90 2/15 11:27 12.00 High $170
2/12/08 15:26 BUY 200 RUZCB RUT Mar08 810 call 0.60 2/13 9:30 0.95 Low $7,000
2/8/08 15:36 BUY 175 RUYNH RUT Feb08 640 put 0.65 2/8 15:51 0.70 Very $875
2/8/08 12:21 BUY 350 RUTBJ RUT Feb08 750 call 0.40 2/8 12:32 0.45 n/a $1,750
2/8/08 10:29 BUY 1,400 RUTBP RUT Feb08 780 call 0.05 2/8 11:32 0.10 Low $7,000
12/31/07 11:20 BUY 54.857 ADMBJ ADM Feb08 50 call 1.35 1/29/08 10:10 0.20 Extreme ($6,309)
1/15/08 11:42 BUY 82.285 QJPBQ JASO Feb08 85 call 1.75 1/29 10:10 0.10 Extreme ($13,577)
11/1/07 9:35 BUY 208 FXI ISHARES FTSE/XINHUA CHINA 25 69.97 1/28/08 12:49 48.96 Extreme ($4,370)
1/18/08 12:22 BUY 24.686 QJPBN JASO Feb08 70 call 2.25 1/28 10:53 1.35 Extreme ($2,222)
11/8/07 10:02 BUY 17.828 SPWR 150.63 1/28/08 10:53 74.62 High ($1,355)
1/8/08 14:59 BUY 10.971 IGGBC HES Feb08 115 call 0.90 1/28 10:53 0.15 Normal ($823)
1/8/08 14:35 BUY 3.566 VIQBI VIP Feb08 45 call 2.75 1/28 10:53 0.05 Normal ($963)
1/8/08 14:50 BUY 10.971 ACIBI ACI Feb08 45 call 0.95 1/25 9:34 1.15 Normal $219
1/2/08 11:19 BUY 54.857 YGEAI YGE Jan08 45 call 0.95 1/19 9:01 0.00 Normal ($5,211)

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Statistics

Analytics  
System has been audited since8/8/2007 (37 months ago)
Trades75
# Profitable53 (70.7%)
# months tracked38
Profitable months6 (15.8%)
Avg trade duration8.1 days
Annual return (compounded)-4.2%
Average win$851
Average loss$2,208
Profit factor0.9:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)84.57%
drawdown periodDec 06, 2007 to Feb 05, 2008
Correlation w/ S&P0.161
Sharpe ratio-0.095
C2Realism Factor 0%
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss94.4%
Chance of 50% account loss0.7%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.10
Average P/L per unit traded($3.76)


System Description











We trade Options during market conditions of high volatility and trending. Dont depend on them coming up all the time. We realize that there is much more potential in Options, but with a corresponding increase in risk. We pick options with care.

Signals, could be given at any time of the trading day. When a clear opportunity presents itself we will trade.

Duration of play varies from minutes to several days.
This type of trading works best under "Auto Trading."

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description.