What it trades: Stocks
Strategies:
Hypothetical Monthly Results
| | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|
| 2007 | | | | | | | | +7.8% | +10.9% | +13.1% | (8.6%) | +3.3% |
|---|
| 2008 | (21.1%) | (4.2%) | (13.5%) | +7.4% | (1.4%) | (16.9%) | +2.1% | +6.4% | (5%) | (16.9%) | (9.9%) | +14.4% |
|---|
| 2009 | (7.3%) | +0.5% | +3.2% | +6.7% | (9.4%) | (0.1%) | +11.3% | +1.3% | +7.5% | (5.9%) | (20.4%) | +6.1% |
|---|
| 2010 | (2.9%) | +6.0% | +4.6% | (2%) | +11.9% | (15.2%) | +12.9% | (22.8%) | +1.9% | | | |
|---|
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Subscription Terms
Subscriptions to this system are free.
Strategy Description 
Recently Closed Trades
Details
| Opened ET |
B/S |
# |
Symbol |
|
Price |
Closed |
Price |
Risk |
P/L |
| 2/8/08 9:30 |
BUY |
330 |
STP |
SUNTECH POWER HOLDINGS |
45.60 |
7/8 11:03 |
32.28 |
n/a |
($4,396) |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BUY |
350 |
PPDI |
PHARMACEUTICAL PROD DEV |
42.50 |
3/11 11:15 |
43.94 |
Low |
$504 |
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
BUY |
400 |
BMRN |
BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICALS |
37.05 |
3/7 10:45 |
36.72 |
Low |
($132) |
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
BUY |
520 |
YHOO |
YAHOO! INC |
28.36 |
3/4 10:46 |
27.74 |
Low |
($323) |
| 2/13/08 9:30 |
BUY |
680 |
TNE |
TELE NORTE LESTE PARTIC |
23.64 |
2/22 9:30 |
25.35 |
Low |
$1,163 |
| 2/20/08 9:30 |
BUY |
190 |
DE |
DEERE & CO |
82.93 |
2/22 9:30 |
86.06 |
Low |
$595 |
| 2/8/08 9:33 |
BUY |
520 |
RYL |
RYLAND GROUP INC THE |
28.54 |
2/20 11:00 |
27.25 |
Low |
($671) |
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
BUY |
210 |
HUM |
HUMANA INC |
72.99 |
2/20 9:30 |
68.84 |
Low |
($872) |
| 2/4/08 9:30 |
BUY |
610 |
ABX |
BARRICK GOLD CORP |
49.15 |
2/20 9:30 |
49.39 |
Low |
$145 |
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
BUY |
270 |
IBN |
ICICI BANK ADR |
54.80 |
2/14 9:32 |
59.32 |
n/a |
$1,220 |
| 2/11/08 9:33 |
BUY |
500 |
MBT |
MOBILE TELESYS OJSC ADS |
31.00 |
2/13 9:35 |
33.72 |
Low |
$1,362 |
| 1/24/08 9:30 |
BUY |
280 |
MRK |
MERCK & COMPANY INC. |
50.39 |
2/13 9:30 |
46.91 |
Normal |
($974) |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BUY |
440 |
PAAS |
PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP |
33.95 |
2/12 9:30 |
36.21 |
Low |
$994 |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BUY |
420 |
GG |
GOLDCORP INC |
35.16 |
2/12 9:30 |
37.58 |
Low |
$1,016 |
| 1/31/08 9:30 |
BUY |
580 |
BIDU |
BAIDU INC ADS |
25.06 |
2/11 9:33 |
24.00 |
Low |
($617) |
| Opened ET |
B/S |
# |
Symbol |
|
Price |
Closed |
Close Price |
Risk |
P/L |
| 2/8/08 9:30 |
BUY |
330 |
STP |
SUNTECH POWER HOLDINGS |
45.60 |
7/8 11:03 |
32.28 |
n/a |
($4,396) |
| 2/8/08 9:30 |
BTO |
330 |
STP |
|
45.60 |
|
|
|
|
| 7/8/08 11:03 |
STC |
330 |
STP |
|
32.28 |
|
|
|
|
| Margin call (auto-generated). |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BUY |
350 |
PPDI |
PHARMACEUTICAL PROD DEV |
42.50 |
3/11 11:15 |
43.94 |
Low |
$504 |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BTO |
350 |
PPDI |
|
42.50 |
|
|
|
|
| 3/11/08 11:15 |
STC |
350 |
PPDI |
|
43.94 |
|
|
|
|
| Margin call (auto-generated). |
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
BUY |
400 |
BMRN |
BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICALS |
37.05 |
3/7 10:45 |
36.72 |
Low |
($132) |
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
BTO |
400 |
BMRN |
|
37.05 |
|
|
|
|
| 3/7/08 10:45 |
STC |
400 |
BMRN |
|
36.72 |
|
|
|
|
| Margin call (auto-generated). |
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
BUY |
520 |
YHOO |
YAHOO! INC |
28.36 |
3/4 10:46 |
27.74 |
Low |
($323) |
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
BTO |
520 |
YHOO |
|
28.36 |
|
|
|
|
| 3/4/08 10:46 |
STC |
520 |
YHOO |
|
27.74 |
|
|
|
|
| Margin call (auto-generated). |
| 2/13/08 9:30 |
BUY |
680 |
TNE |
TELE NORTE LESTE PARTIC |
23.64 |
2/22 9:30 |
25.35 |
Low |
$1,163 |
| 2/13/08 9:30 |
BTO |
680 |
TNE |
|
23.64 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
STC |
680 |
TNE |
|
25.35 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/20/08 9:30 |
BUY |
190 |
DE |
DEERE & CO |
82.93 |
2/22 9:30 |
86.06 |
Low |
$595 |
| 2/20/08 9:30 |
BTO |
190 |
DE |
|
82.93 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/22/08 9:30 |
STC |
190 |
DE |
|
86.06 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/8/08 9:33 |
BUY |
520 |
RYL |
RYLAND GROUP INC THE |
28.54 |
2/20 11:00 |
27.25 |
Low |
($671) |
| 2/8/08 9:33 |
BTO |
520 |
RYL |
|
28.54 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/20/08 11:00 |
STC |
520 |
RYL |
|
27.25 |
|
|
|
|
| Margin call (auto-generated). |
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
BUY |
210 |
HUM |
HUMANA INC |
72.99 |
2/20 9:30 |
68.84 |
Low |
($872) |
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
BTO |
210 |
HUM |
|
72.99 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/20/08 9:30 |
STC |
210 |
HUM |
|
68.84 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/4/08 9:30 |
BUY |
610 |
ABX |
BARRICK GOLD CORP |
49.15 |
2/20 9:30 |
49.39 |
Low |
$145 |
| 2/4/08 9:30 |
BTO |
300 |
ABX |
|
50.20 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BTO |
310 |
ABX |
|
48.14 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/20/08 9:30 |
STC |
610 |
ABX |
|
49.39 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
BUY |
270 |
IBN |
ICICI BANK ADR |
54.80 |
2/14 9:32 |
59.32 |
n/a |
$1,220 |
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
BTO |
270 |
IBN |
|
54.80 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/14/08 9:32 |
STC |
270 |
IBN |
|
59.32 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/11/08 9:33 |
BUY |
500 |
MBT |
MOBILE TELESYS OJSC ADS |
31.00 |
2/13 9:35 |
33.72 |
Low |
$1,362 |
| 2/11/08 9:33 |
BTO |
500 |
MBT |
|
31.00 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/13/08 9:35 |
STC |
500 |
MBT |
|
33.72 |
|
|
|
|
| 1/24/08 9:30 |
BUY |
280 |
MRK |
MERCK & COMPANY INC. |
50.39 |
2/13 9:30 |
46.91 |
Normal |
($974) |
| 1/24/08 9:30 |
BTO |
280 |
MRK |
|
50.39 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/13/08 9:30 |
STC |
280 |
MRK |
|
46.91 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BUY |
440 |
PAAS |
PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP |
33.95 |
2/12 9:30 |
36.21 |
Low |
$994 |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BTO |
440 |
PAAS |
|
33.95 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
STC |
440 |
PAAS |
|
36.21 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BUY |
420 |
GG |
GOLDCORP INC |
35.16 |
2/12 9:30 |
37.58 |
Low |
$1,016 |
| 2/5/08 9:30 |
BTO |
420 |
GG |
|
35.16 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/12/08 9:30 |
STC |
420 |
GG |
|
37.58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1/31/08 9:30 |
BUY |
580 |
BIDU |
BAIDU INC ADS |
25.06 |
2/11 9:33 |
24.00 |
Low |
($617) |
| 1/31/08 9:30 |
BTO |
580 |
BIDU |
|
25.06 |
|
|
|
|
| 2/11/08 9:33 |
STC |
580 |
BIDU |
|
24.00 |
|
|
|
|
<< More recent
Statistics
Analytics | System has been audited since | 8/22/2007 (37 months ago) |
|---|
| Trades | 225 |
|---|
| # Profitable | 140 (62.2%) |
|---|
| # months tracked | 38 |
|---|
| Profitable months | 20 (52.6%) |
|---|
| Avg trade duration | 41.4 days |
|---|
| Annual return (compounded) | -19.7% |
|---|
| Average win | $833 |
|---|
| Average loss | $1,991 |
|---|
| Profit factor | 0.7:1 |
|---|
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) | 67.65% |
|---|
| drawdown period | Oct 15, 2007 to Nov 20, 2008 |
|---|
| Correlation w/ S&P | 0.458 |
|---|
| Sharpe ratio | -0.457 |
|---|
C2Realism Factor  | 0% |
|---|
Keep after worst-case slippage  | 100.0% |
|---|
Probabilities of future account loss  |   |
|---|
| Chance of 10% account loss | 93.3% |
|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 80.0% |
|---|
| Chance of 30% account loss | 73.3% |
|---|
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
|---|
| Chance of 100% account loss | 0.0% |
|---|
| Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) | -0.19 |
|---|
| Average P/L per unit traded | $0.27 |
|---|
| Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account | $4,223 |
|---|