Swing it
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Hypothetical Monthly Results
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | (0.6%) | +2.9% | +5.2% | +2.3% | +1.8% | +4.2% | (4.4%) | +4.5% | +1.0% | |||
| 2009 | +1.4% | +1.7% | (3.3%) | (1.8%) | (1.2%) | (0.1%) | (0.5%) | - | (1%) | +0.1% | (0.8%) | (1.1%) |
| 2010 | +0.8% | - |
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| Instruments | Mostly Futures; (some forex) |
|---|---|
| Strategies | Technical analysis, Market timing |
| System started | 4/14/2008 (22 months ago) |
| System developer |
Index Win Contact
(Last login to C2: 2/5/10 9:30) Vendor has created 1 other system. Show |
| Opened ET | B/S | # | Symbol | Price | Closed | Price | Risk | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/22/10 15:46 | BUY | 1 | @ESH0 | 1089.75 | 1/25 3:44 | 1100.00 | Low | $512 | |
| 12/18/09 5:13 | SELL | 1 | @ESH0 | 1101.00 | 1/22/10 9:32 | 1106.00 | Normal | ($250) | |
| 11/5/09 15:43 | SELL | 1 | @ESZ9 | 1061.75 | 12/18 5:11 | 1105.75 | Normal | ($2,200) | |
| 11/3/09 10:26 | BUY | 1 | @ESZ9 | 1035.00 | 11/5 7:41 | 1048.50 | Low | $675 | |
| 10/28/09 9:50 | BUY | 1 | @ESZ9 | 1056.25 | 10/29 13:46 | 1059.25 | Low | $150 | |
| 9/10/09 14:40 | SELL | 1 | @ESZ9 | 1038.00 | 9/18 12:00 | 1059.75 | Low | ($1,087) | |
| 7/20/09 10:00 | SELL | 1 | @ESU9 | 944.00 | 7/23 12:46 | 974.00 | Low | ($1,500) | |
| 6/25/09 11:57 | SELL | 1 | @ESU9 | 912.00 | 7/14 0:30 | 898.00 | Low | $700 | |
| 6/2/09 14:41 | SELL | 1 | @ESM9 | 946.00 | 6/5 3:06 | 944.00 | Low | $100 | |
| 5/15/09 9:17 | SELL | 10 | GBP/USD | 1.52455 | 5/15 9:18 | 1.52560 | n/a | ($105) | |
| 4/6/09 15:41 | SELL | 1 | @ESM9 | 827.56 | 5/12 13:08 | 895.25 | Normal | ($3,384) | |
| 3/13/09 13:57 | SELL | 1 | @ESM9 | 749.00 | 3/26 13:22 | 828.50 | Normal | ($3,975) | |
| 2/9/09 15:35 | SELL | 1 | @ESH9 | 869.50 | 2/13 10:15 | 829.56 | Low | $1,996 | |
| 1/6/09 15:40 | SELL | 1 | @ESH9 | 930.00 | 1/9 14:32 | 896.50 | Low | $1,675 | |
| 12/10/08 14:42 | SELL | 1 | @ESZ8 | 892.88 | 12/12 15:01 | 881.25 | Low | $581 |
Statistics
Analytics| Trades | 26 |
|---|---|
| # Profitable | 18 (69.2%) |
| # months tracked | 22 |
| Profitable months | 11 (50.0%) |
| Avg trade duration | 9.7 days |
| Annual return (compounded) | 5.9% |
| Average win | $1,600 |
| Average loss | $2,206 |
| Profit factor | 1.6:1 |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) | 10.86% |
| drawdown period | Feb 12, 2009 to Jan 11, 2010 |
| Correlation w/ S&P | -0.126 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.427 |
C2Realism Factor  | 100% |
| Keep after worst-case slippage | 94.2% |
| Probabilities of future account loss | |
| Chance of 10% account loss | 4.9% |
| Chance of 20% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 100% account loss | 0.0% |
| Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) | 0.31 |
| Average P/L per unit traded | $404.28 |
Reviews
Here is a system I could even recommend to my mother (if she ever traded futures, of course). Gabi is talented, and here he uses his skills to ensure a safe and reliable gain on a regular basis. Since he takes less risks by trading only on his strongest hunches and capital preservation in mind, the gains (and the fluctuations) are obviously smaller than on a riskier system. A great system for the moderately daring amongst us.
Very nice steady system, I have been subscribed for some time now. Keep up the good steady, safe work.
After losing me $5,038 in one trade, this guy got scared and hasn't traded since 10/06/08. While his system looked promising at first, the acid test is how a system handles losing trades. That is what separates the men from the boys. In that respect, this system fails.
I guess you haven't recieved my letter to subscribers from 10/17/2008 :
"Dear Subscriber ,
Last market behavior is something haven't occurred in the last 40 years and some may say never.
The problem is that any tool which works usually in high percentage ,in this crazy enviorment isn't performing .
Therefore , I am not going to take any position here. I wait for this ping-pong to relax and trade safely with Swingit as less risky trades is its moto.
Lastly ,Swingit is 4.4% down this month where all markets collapsed more than 20% and some hedge funds reporting loss of 50% or more.
Please consider this fact , though I would rather finish the month with a positive number.
Last I assure we will pass this markets anomaly safely to a normal period when panic is to set down.
Regards,
Gadi
"
At this date Swing It has produced 44.6% over 156 days with a maximum drawdown of 2.8%. 100% of trades have been profitable. Average trade lasts 13.9 days. Trades are done with limit orders. The system has been on C2 for 6 months, but historical record dates back to 3/07. The provider is ultra conservative with this system. WOW what a system!
System Description
The swing it system unique stands on its winning combinaton of both automatic signals and discretionaty trading. The system trades only S&P500 e-mini
The system method is contrarian trading and mostly lean on statistical analysis and mechanical signals.
No leverage is used. The purpose is controling risk , applying risk management and reducing volatility.
The signals meant to be less risky and therefore more conservative.
Trades usually takes 5-14 days.
Swing it trades 1 S&P500 E-mini contract for every 100k capital. This way the focus on risk management should be no more than 5% draw down (60-70 points mental stop loss).
Only mental stops are being used and if the trade going against wrong direction in 60-70 points, I exit. Trades are made once a week or two.
The system goal is to achieve 20% yield a year with no-leverage (Only 65-70% of Capital)
The system can lose as it wins so it's very important to use risk management.
Good trading
This is the performance sheet of indexwin.com :
http://bp1.blogger.com/_wUP_2wEty6M/SAEPLiHspTI/AAAAAAAAAH8/VXmZI5t5h_M/s1600-h/1.PNG
Disclaimer
The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment or trading advice. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or conclusion on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Always consult your financial adviser(s) before making any investment or trading decisions.
- This system description was provided by the system developer. Collective2 has not verified it.
