Important Warning about Hypothetical Results


On this page, and others within this Web site, you are going to read about trading systems and their performance. It's important that you understand that all results reported on these pages must be treated as hypothetical results.

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.


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Maxie

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Hypothetical Monthly Results

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2009                            +0.6%+4.6%(6.1%)(8.8%)+7.8%+8.5%(19.4%)+1.7%
2010(1.9%)+1.0%                                                            

 
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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo  |  Personalized
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Mostly Forex; (some stocks)
Strategies Technical analysis
System started 5/20/2009 (9 months ago)
System developer mozztrader Contact
(Last login to C2: 2/8/10 10:42)



Recently Closed Trades

CSVDetails

Opened ET B/S # Symbol   Price Closed Price Risk P/L
1/19/10 11:40 BUY 2 EUR/USD 1.42578 1/19 11:40 1.42569 n/a ($1)
1/19/10 11:39 BUY 2 EUR/USD 1.42552 1/19 11:39 1.42545 n/a ($1)
1/19/10 5:07 SELL 10 AUD/USD 0.92222 1/19 9:50 0.92200 Low $22
1/19/10 6:02 SELL 7 GBP/USD 1.63745 1/19 9:40 1.63730 Low $10
12/3/09 15:18 SELL 300 SPY 111.31 1/8/10 15:42 114.50 Normal ($957)
1/8/10 8:06 SELL 10 EUR/USD 1.42750 1/8 8:46 1.43750 Normal ($1,000)
1/7/10 8:56 BUY 10 AUD/USD 0.91912 1/7 21:50 0.91500 Low ($412)
12/18/09 4:09 SELL 10 GBP/USD 1.62066 12/21 7:05 1.61294 Low $772
11/27/09 1:38 SELL 10 EUR/USD 1.49185 11/29 17:00 1.50000 Low ($815)
11/27/09 2:17 SELL 10 AUD/USD 0.89850 11/29 17:00 0.91000 Normal ($1,150)
11/27/09 3:46 SELL 10 GBP/USD 1.63694 11/27 10:14 1.64700 Normal ($1,006)
11/25/09 3:11 BUY 10 EUR/USD 1.50271 11/26 9:49 1.50300 Low $29
11/25/09 3:12 BUY 10 AUD/USD 0.92807 11/26 3:52 0.91700 Normal ($1,107)
11/16/09 6:47 BUY 5 USD/JPY 89.570 11/25 4:17 87.950 Normal ($935)
11/20/09 7:09 BUY 4 USD/CHF 1.02150 11/25 3:11 1.00458 Low ($675)

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Statistics

Analytics  
Trades246
# Profitable133 (54.1%)
# months tracked9
Profitable months6 (66.7%)
Avg trade duration1.5 days
Annual return (compounded)-19.4%
Average win$368
Average loss$497
Profit factor0.9:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)25.55%
drawdown periodJune 15, 2009 to Jan 19, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P-0.229
Sharpe ratio-0.838
C2Realism Factor 99%
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss82.9%
Chance of 20% account loss69.0%
Chance of 30% account loss14.3%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.09
Average P/L per unit traded$0.14


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Overview

Maxie is a simple trend following system, using multiple time frames, trendlines and minimal technical analysis, with one eye on the fundamentals. https://mozztrader.wordpress.com

- This overview was provided by the system developer. Collective2 has not verified it.

Model Account Status

Started$50,000
Buy Power$36,656
Cash$52,305
Equity$1,925
Cumulative $($7,225)
Total System Equity$42,774
Margined$17,574
Open P/L$1,925


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