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Blog.fallondpicks.com




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2005                                                        +4.7%(0.7%)+3.5%(1.3%)
2006+2.1%+3.2%  -  (1.1%)(1.8%)+1.7%(0.4%)(0.5%)+3.0%+2.5%+2.2%+0.4%
2007(0.7%)(0.7%)+0.9%+2.1%+0.1%(0.3%)(0.5%)(1.2%)+1.5%+2.5%(2.5%)  -  
2008(0.1%)  -    -  +0.2%+0.5%(0.2%)(0.2%)  -  (0.3%)(0.3%)(0.3%)+0.1%
2009(0.1%)  -  +0.2%+0.1%+0.1%  -  +0.3%  -    -  (0.1%)+0.1%+0.2%
2010(0.3%)+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%(0.1%)(0.1%)+0.1%(0.2%)+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
2011+0.1%+0.1%(0.1%)+0.1%(0.1%)(0.2%)(0.1%)(0.3%)+0.1%+0.2%(0.3%)+0.1%
2012+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%(0.1%)(0.3%)+0.1%  -  +0.1%(0.1%)(0.1%)  -    -  
2013+0.3%+0.1%  -  +0.2%+0.2%                                          
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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Stocks
Strategies Technical analysis
System started 9/13/2005 (94 months ago)
System developer Fallond Stock Picks Inc
(Last login to C2: 2/11/13 4:32)
C2 Score: 986

Vendor has created 1 other system. Show



Recently Closed Trades

CSVDetails


Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
10/15/07 9:32 BUY 900 TTG 12.55 11/8
12:32
10.39 Low ($1,962)
9/21/07 9:30 BUY 700 ASYS AMTECH SYSTEMS 13.37 11/7
9:30
15.89 Low $1,750
9/19/07 9:30 BUY 5,000 BCON BEACON POWER 1.79 11/1
10:16
1.79 Low ($100)
10/5/07 9:30 BUY 500 PODD INSULET 23.70 10/22
9:39
22.19 Low ($765)
8/23/07 9:30 BUY 700 LWAY LIFEWAY FOODS 13.03 10/16
9:30
17.39 Low $3,038
10/15/07 9:30 BUY 500 FOLD AMICUS THERAPEUTICS 18.00 10/15
13:56
17.39 Low ($315)
9/12/07 9:30 BUY 1,400 ALLI 6.51 10/15
11:06
6.69 n/a $224
10/5/07 9:30 BUY 2,000 CKSW CLICKSOFTWARE TECH 5.24 10/15
9:52
6.63 Low $2,740
10/10/07 9:30 BUY 500 GHDX GENOMIC HEALTH 20.58 10/11
15:05
19.59 Low ($505)
9/12/07 9:32 BUY 1,300 UXG U.S. GOLD 6.30 10/1
15:08
5.99 Low ($429)
9/19/07 9:30 BUY 400 AUXL AUXILIUM PHARMACEUTICALS 22.09 9/24
10:18
20.61 Low ($600)
9/5/07 13:56 BUY 1,500 ESMC 6.87 9/7
10:48
6.47 Low ($630)
8/20/07 9:37 BUY 1,000 CLN 6.28 8/24
15:15
5.69 Low ($610)
8/22/07 12:00 BUY 1,400 UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HLDG 6.14 8/24
10:59
5.83 Low ($462)
8/20/07 9:30 BUY 500 AMSC AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR 21.14 8/24
9:36
19.19 Low ($985)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades139
# Profitable58 (41.7%)
# months tracked93
Profitable months46 (49.5%)
Avg trade duration33.3 days
Annual return (compounded)2.9%
Average win$1,014
Average loss$427
Profit factor1.7:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)5.51%
drawdown periodOct 12, 2007 to Nov 20, 2008
Correlation w/ S&P0.143
Sharpe ratio0.602
Keep after worst-case slippage 87.4%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.37
Average P/L per unit traded$0.23
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account$136


Reviews


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System Description


Fallondpicks.com utilizes different technical parameters in combination with stock price and volume action to bring to our members stocks with strong profit potential.

This is a stock only system, featuring stock breakouts, oversold/value and parabolic plays.

Additional trades are drawn from my partnership with Trade Ideas.

Individual orders are placed according to an outlay of $5-$15K assuming an account size of $100K. Subscribers with larger or smaller accounts can scale order size according to my share allotment per $100K. Consequently, the equity curve will not show exponential growth as is common in other vendor systems (who leverage higher account values to take larger positions). The chief aim of this system is to provide a workable means of generating wealth with minimal user management.

Positions are held over a period of days to weeks, with 95% of positions closed inside 6-months.

As a Subscriber to my Collective2 porfolio you will also have the option of receiving my semi-daily newsletter featuring market commentary and additional stock picks at no additional cost. Visit my testimonial page (http://fallondpicks.com/Testimonials.html) for user feedback.

Your first monthly payment will be routed through http://KIVA.org, a mircolending agency supporting entrepreneurs in developing countries.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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$19.95 per month, only if profitable Details

This is a pay-for-performance system. Subscriptions cost $19.95 at the end of each month, but only if the system has made profitable recommendations for the period.

To determine profitability, we do not look at your brokerage account, nor do we take into consideration whether you actually placed the trades recommended here. We simply measure the system's hypothetical track record here on the Collective2 Web site, without factoring fees or commissions. You will not be charged unless the sum of the trades during the period was profitable. (Also, we want to reassure you that a "month" means a full 30-day period. That is, you are billed only if the last 30 days' worth of trade recommendations were profitable. So it's safe to subscribe at the end of a calendar month; you'll still get 30 days' worth of trades.)



 

Overview

Fallondpicks.com is a all-round stock trading system combining technical analysis price and volume action. First month payment will be routed through http://KIVA.org
read more...

- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$100,000
Buy Power$122,928
Cash$121,954
Equity$974
Cumulative $*$24,379
Dividends Itemized
Total System Equity$124,379
Margined$0
Open P/L$974


System Forum

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Become an affiliate seller
Declan Fallon at 4/3/07 5:14ET

If you are interested in promoting my stock system through your website using the Collective2 White Label program I will offer a free subscr...

New price $19.95 pe... + receive newsletter
Declan Fallon at 3/30/07 3:54ET

I have reduced the price from $49.95 per month down to $19.95 per month. New Subscribers will be eligible to receive my semi-daily newslette...

Small increase in exposure
Declan Fallon at 3/29/07 20:14ET

Upped exposure to $45K. Last few days have seen 3 exited positions, leaving $30K in the market. Two positions closed for a loss, one for a g...

All cash
Declan Fallon at 3/19/07 4:43ET

For those watching my system - I am all cash until I give the signal to buy. This strategy meant the February downturn was a non-event for m...

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