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This strategy is no longer supported by its creator.
These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

(26281366)
(26281366)

Created by: Username Username
Started: 05/2007
Futures
Last trade: 5,635 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. You can subscribe to this system for free.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

-18.6%

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

-
Max Drawdown
94
Num Trades
40.4%
Win Trades
0.8 : 1
Profit Factor
42.9%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2007                            +2.0%+6.1%+29.0%(10.5%)(30.7%)(24.1%)(18.7%)+2.1%(45.4%)
2008(26.9%)(9.4%)(21.7%)+10.2%+14.2%(21.8%)(9.2%)+6.8%(54.6%)(82.3%)(116.8%)(1010.8%)(93.9%)
2009(244.7%)(109.7%)(39.6%)(43.5%)(126.9%)+621.8%+27.7%(29.6%)+15.8%(23.4%)+19.4%+78.0%+241.7%
2010(37.1%)+34.2%+56.0%+21.0%(24.3%)(12.7%)+13.1%(27.8%)+58.7%+32.7%(11.1%)+17.8%+89.9%
2011+3.5%+19.7%+12.1%+18.8%(11.2%)(3.7%)+9.4%(48.7%)(11.8%)+3.0%+11.4%+28.9%+3.4%
2012+38.7%(9.7%)(10%)(47.8%)+21.5%+95.1%(17.1%)+11.5%(15.6%)(82.9%)+121.3%+54.8%(36.3%)
2013+18.3%+6.5%(9.4%)(17.9%)+3.6%(54.2%)+129.5%(8.2%)(19.5%)(17%)+55.4%+1.4%(1.5%)
2014+10.1%+6.9%+2.2%(77%)+237.7%+35.3%(48.6%)+82.7%(30.3%)+104.4%(10.8%)+3.7%+56.2%
2015(10.4%)(14.2%)(16.2%)+12.7%(3.1%)+2.8%(54.8%)(59.9%)(181.2%)(126.9%)(89.6%)(48.5%)(103.8%)
2016(486.9%)(37.6%)(86.7%)(695.3%)(54.5%)+239.8%+185.7%+22.6%+77.2%(9.2%)(112%)(29.6%)(291.9%)
2017(8%)(42.6%)(117%)+228.5%(189.8%)(70.8%)(167.6%)(313.5%)(101.7%)+57.1%(6141.1%)(30.4%)-
2018(22%)(72%)(4.5%)(59.1%)(400%)(9.8%)+72.5%+179.2%(1.4%)(19%)+41.4%(47.6%)(504.9%)
2019+42.0%+43.6%(30.8%)+9.6%+20.4%  -  +32.9%(0.7%)(12.8%)(23.4%)(8.6%)+45.7%
2020(12.5%)(33.8%)+5.1%+53.6%+40.1%(10.3%)+13.1%(28%)(42.2%)+69.3%+36.8%+10.9%+42.2%
2021+27.4%+1.3%(4%)+69.9%(4.4%)(1.7%)(4.8%)(0.1%)+0.1%  -  (0.1%)  -  +88.4%
2022(0.5%)  -  (0.1%)(0.4%)+0.2%+0.8%+0.8%(0.1%)(0.4%)+0.2%  -  +1.1%+1.5%
2023+0.5%(0.2%)(0.4%)+0.5%  -  (0.2%)+1.4%(0.1%)+0.1%+0.8%+0.9%(0.2%)+2.9%
2024+0.3%+1.2%(0.4%)(0.3%)                                                +0.9%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
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Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
10/26/07 13:42 PTR PETROCHINA LONG 50 247.48 11/20/08 12:57 68.65 n/a ($8,943)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
10/26/07 13:41 CYNO CYNOSURE LONG 250 37.48 11/20/08 10:44 7.23 n/a ($7,568)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/24/07 20:29 @QMZ8 MINY CRUDE OIL SHORT 6 80.555 11/8 13:45 79.050 n/a $4,467
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
10/24/07 20:29 @YGZ8 Mini Gold NYSE Liffe SHORT 12 807.9 11/5 23:00 849.0 23.73%
Trade id #28773186
Max drawdown($16,414)
Time11/5/07 12:22
Quant open-11
Worst price850.0
Drawdown as % of equity-23.73%
($16,510)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
10/30/07 10:31 @DXH8 US Dollar Index LONG 6 76.760 11/5 23:00 76.577 2.24%
Trade id #28839645
Max drawdown($1,515)
Time11/2/07 12:39
Quant open3
Worst price76.255
Drawdown as % of equity-2.24%
($1,143)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
10/30/07 10:32 @DXM8 US Dollar Index LONG 6 76.910 10/31 14:37 76.825 n/a ($558)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
9/20/07 8:12 SBH8 SUGAR #11 LONG 6 10.16 10/29 8:11 10.14 3.36%
Trade id #28246636
Max drawdown($3,830)
Time10/8/07 10:56
Quant open6
Worst price9.59
Drawdown as % of equity-3.36%
($182)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
10/21/07 23:14 @QMZ7 MINY CRUDE OIL SHORT 6 85.975 10/26 13:10 91.125 25.56%
Trade id #28697624
Max drawdown($18,675)
Time10/26/07 2:44
Quant open-6
Worst price92.200
Drawdown as % of equity-25.56%
($15,498)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
10/21/07 23:13 @YGZ7 Mini Gold NYSE Liffe SHORT 12 762.2 10/26 13:09 784.3 13.37%
Trade id #28697618
Max drawdown($9,442)
Time10/26/07 12:15
Quant open-12
Worst price785.9
Drawdown as % of equity-13.37%
($8,901)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
10/17/07 14:51 SPZ7 S&P 500 STOCK INDEX SHORT 3 1540.50 10/18 13:58 1548.50 9.57%
Trade id #28652389
Max drawdown($9,900)
Time10/17/07 16:10
Quant open-3
Worst price1553.70
Drawdown as % of equity-9.57%
($6,024)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
10/17/07 21:48 @ESZ7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 1553.75 10/18 8:44 1543.25 2.04%
Trade id #28655393
Max drawdown($1,950)
Time10/18/07 8:32
Quant open3
Worst price1540.75
Drawdown as % of equity-2.04%
($1,599)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
9/20/07 2:01 DXZ7 U S DOLLAR INDEX LONG 6 78.70 10/18 2:01 77.85 6.56%
Trade id #28236017
Max drawdown($5,940)
Time10/1/07 2:01
Quant open6
Worst price77.71
Drawdown as % of equity-6.56%
($5,148)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
9/26/07 21:58 @YGZ7 Mini Gold NYSE Liffe SHORT 9 734.5 10/17 21:53 766.0 12.28%
Trade id #28350984
Max drawdown($11,175)
Time10/16/07 3:05
Quant open-9
Worst price771.9
Drawdown as % of equity-12.28%
($9,484)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $72.00
10/15/07 11:20 EUR/JPY EUR/JPY SHORT 60 166.820 10/17 18:53 165.620 0.77%
Trade id #28615015
Max drawdown($726)
Time10/15/07 17:53
Quant open-60
Worst price166.961
Drawdown as % of equity-0.77%
$6,181
9/25/07 21:22 @JYZ7 JAPANESE YEN SHORT 6 0.880000 10/15 11:11 0.858700 0.15%
Trade id #28337433
Max drawdown($150)
Time9/28/07 15:15
Quant open-6
Worst price0.880200
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
$15,927
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
9/24/07 9:30 ISRG INTUITIVE SURGICAL LONG 150 225.00 10/12 9:30 249.45 0.74%
Trade id #28313223
Max drawdown($742)
Time9/24/07 10:10
Quant open150
Worst price220.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.74%
$3,665
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.00
9/20/07 10:06 LCZ7 LIVE CATTLE LONG 6 99.300 10/2 10:06 98.650 2.09%
Trade id #28251011
Max drawdown($1,920)
Time10/1/07 14:00
Quant open6
Worst price98.500
Drawdown as % of equity-2.09%
($1,608)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
8/31/07 9:31 TLT ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND SHORT 500 88.59 10/2 9:30 88.75 1.1%
Trade id #27941848
Max drawdown($1,340)
Time9/10/07 11:36
Quant open-500
Worst price91.27
Drawdown as % of equity-1.10%
($90)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.00
9/7/07 9:32 CHS CHICO'S FAS LONG 3,000 15.36 9/25 12:12 14.00 3.98%
Trade id #28052662
Max drawdown($4,080)
Time9/25/07 12:11
Quant open3,000
Worst price14.03
Drawdown as % of equity-3.98%
($4,085)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/18/07 15:32 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 60 1.01460 9/20 8:59 1.00180 7.84%
Trade id #28213818
Max drawdown($8,536)
Time9/20/07 8:17
Quant open60
Worst price1.00035
Drawdown as % of equity-7.84%
($7,668)
9/14/07 1:31 @CCZ7 COCOA SHORT 9 1818 9/20 1:31 1887 5.68%
Trade id #28173487
Max drawdown($6,180)
Time9/20/07 1:31
Quant open-3
Worst price1905
Drawdown as % of equity-5.68%
($6,252)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $72.00
8/31/07 7:49 @QGV7 MINY NATURAL GAS LONG 3 5.735 9/19 15:22 6.095 2.96%
Trade id #27939599
Max drawdown($3,637)
Time9/10/07 1:25
Quant open3
Worst price5.250
Drawdown as % of equity-2.96%
$2,676
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
9/14/07 10:06 LCV7 LIVE CATTLE LONG 3 94.525 9/19 10:05 95.600 0%
Trade id #28178691
Max drawdown$0
Time9/17/07 11:34
Quant open3
Worst price94.525
Drawdown as % of equity0.00%
$1,266
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
9/11/07 22:15 @YMZ7 MINI DOW SHORT 6 13546 9/18 14:39 13751 5.68%
Trade id #28122960
Max drawdown($6,645)
Time9/18/07 14:38
Quant open-6
Worst price13767
Drawdown as % of equity-5.68%
($6,213)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
9/14/07 11:21 SXZUT LONG 6 3.40 9/18 14:25 0.70 1.46%
Trade id #28180386
Max drawdown($1,710)
Time9/18/07 14:25
Quant open6
Worst price0.55
Drawdown as % of equity-1.46%
($1,628)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.40
8/3/07 8:11 SBV7 SUGAR #11 SHORT 8 10.29 9/18 12:23 9.35 0.19%
Trade id #27420477
Max drawdown($268)
Time8/3/07 8:15
Quant open-8
Worst price10.32
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
$8,358
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
9/14/07 9:59 OII OCEANEERING INTERNATIONAL LONG 850 37.58 9/18 9:32 36.04 1.78%
Trade id #28178515
Max drawdown($2,154)
Time9/17/07 10:39
Quant open425
Worst price70.08
Drawdown as % of equity-1.78%
($1,310)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/4/07 1:52 @SX7 SOYBEANS SHORT 3 894 2/4 9/12 23:35 941 7.95%
Trade id #27965156
Max drawdown($9,787)
Time9/12/07 12:46
Quant open-3
Worst price959 3/4
Drawdown as % of equity-7.95%
($6,999)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
9/6/07 21:50 @QMV7 MINY CRUDE OIL SHORT 3 76.425 9/10 16:12 78.150 2.49%
Trade id #28038036
Max drawdown($3,037)
Time9/10/07 15:59
Quant open-3
Worst price78.450
Drawdown as % of equity-2.49%
($2,612)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
8/21/07 9:02 DXZ7 U S DOLLAR INDEX LONG 6 81.20 8/29 11:34 80.40 3.63%
Trade id #27796036
Max drawdown($4,800)
Time8/24/07 13:44
Quant open6
Worst price80.40
Drawdown as % of equity-3.63%
($4,848)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    5/6/2007
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $100,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    6190.79
  • Age
    207 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks, Futures
  • # Trades
    94
  • # Profitable
    38
  • % Profitable
    40.40%
  • Avg trade duration
    341.2 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    %
  • drawdown period
    Dec , - Dec ,
  • Annual return (compounded)
    -3.8%
  • Avg win
    $5,800
  • Avg loss
    $4,803
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $3,765
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $8,665
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    0.82:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -0.21
  • Sortino Ratio
    -0.22
  • Calmar Ratio
    -0.109
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.13270
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -97.01%
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    236.85%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -18.6%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.01%
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.74%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.98%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.23%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    237.70%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    0.02%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    -3.8%
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $5,801
  • Avg Loss
    $4,803
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $268,985.000
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $220,420.000
  • # Winners
    38
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    759
  • Win / Loss
  • Num Months Winners
    7
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    19
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    56
  • % Winners
    40.4%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    491264.00
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    8187.73
  • Avg Trade Length
    341.2 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    5189
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.00
  • Beta
    1.31
  • Treynor Index
    0.00
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -1.02
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.07
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -5.862
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    38.85
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    14.86
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.02
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.02
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.10
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.279
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.142
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.168
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    7315.37000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.81800
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    1977
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.75%

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2007-05-06
Suggested Minimum Capital
$100,000
# Trades
94
# Profitable
38
% Profitable
40.4%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.133
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Sortino Ratio
-0.22
Beta
1.31
Alpha
0.00

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.