System 26583686
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 - (18.7%) +17.3% (12.7%) (5.8%) (65%) +3.0% - 2008 - - - - - - - - - - - - 2009 - - - - - - - - - - - - 2010 - - - - - - - - - - - - 2011 - - +8.8% - - - - - - - - - 2012 - - - - - - - - - - - - 2013 - - - - -
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options.
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Standard | Monte Carlo Technical Analysis: Moving Average
day
s X Moving average must be less than age of system, which is 2185 days.
Instruments
Futures
Strategies
Technical analysis, Volatility trading, Market timing
System started
5/31/2007 (73 months ago)
System developer
RationalWealthManagement.com
(Last login to C2: 5/19/13 11:51)
C2 Score: 988
Vendor has created 60 other systems. Show
The name of this system has been changed 5 times. Show Original name Changed to When changed Mozilla (Conservative) Futures Mozilla (Prudent) Futures 6/24/07 17:41 Mozilla (Prudent) Futures Mozilla (Prudent) Test 11/29/07 18:34 Mozilla (Prudent) Test Mozilla (E. Agg.) Test 12/24/07 14:03 Mozilla (E. Agg.) Test Mozilla (V. Agg.) Test 12/24/07 16:53 Mozilla (V. Agg.) Test System 26583686 5/10/13 1:03
Status This system is no longer supported.
What is the C2 Score?
Collective2 rates every trading system creator in its database and assigns a score between 100 and 1000. In general, a rating above 500 is good. A rating above 700 is excellent.
Collective2 Ratings are recalculated daily based on the entire performance history in our database. The exact formula we use is proprietary, but there are several key variables that go into the Collective2 Rating.
One of the most important factors is the length of time we have been able to observe the performance of the trader.
Another key factor is the amount by which the trader over-performs or under-performs the S&P 500 index.
Finally, the choppiness of the trader's results is taken into account. Certainly a more consistent system creator will be rated more highly than a system creator with erratic results.
Recently Closed Trades CSV Details System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Price Risk P/L
11/13/07 10:31
SELL
1
OH8
Oats
299 2/4
11/3011:00
281 3/4
Low
$874
11/1/07 10:30
BUY
1
RRF8
RICE
12180.000
11/3010:30
12910.000
Low
$1,446
11/12/07 8:21
SELL
1
PLF8
PLATINUM
1410.50
11/308:21
1435
Very
($1,239)
11/13/07 10:31
SELL
2
CTH8
COTTON - #2
6790
11/2910:31
6565
Low
$2,222
11/21/07 10:10
BUY
1
LBF8
LUMBER
256
11/2910:00
256.10
Low
($3)
11/21/07 2:16
SELL
1
DXH8
U S DOLLAR INDEX
75.05
11/282:01
75.22
Low
($184)
11/21/07 9:03
BUY
1
HOF8
HEATING OIL #2
2.7080
11/279:01
2.6790
Normal
($1,232)
11/1/07 8:11
SELL
2
SBH8
SUGAR #11
10.21
11/278:11
9.73
Low
$1,047
11/6/07 10:02
SELL
1
LBF8
LUMBER
246.80
11/2110:03
256
Normal
($1,026)
11/13/07 9:20
SELL
1
HOF8
HEATING OIL #2
2.5970
11/219:03
2.7080
Very
($4,676)
11/13/07 8:25
SELL
1
SIH8
Silver 5000 oz
15.24
11/218:26
14.76
Low
$2,386
11/13/07 8:21
SELL
1
GCG8
Gold 100 oz
813.50
11/218:21
808.80
Normal
$456
11/13/07 8:01
SELL
2
CCH8
COCOA
1925
11/218:02
1953
Normal
($588)
11/16/07 2:16
BUY
1
DXH8
U S DOLLAR INDEX
76.01
11/212:15
75.05
Normal
($974)
11/7/07 10:31
BUY
1
SMZ7
SOYBEAN MEAL
2850.0
11/2010:31
2885.0
Normal
$336
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Close Price Risk P/L
11/13/07 10:31
SELL
1
OH8
Oats
299 2/4
11/3011:00
281 3/4
Low
$874
11/13/07 10:31
STO
1
OH8
299 2/4
11/30/07 11:00
BTC
1
OH8
281 3/4
11/1/07 10:30
BUY
1
RRF8
RICE
12180.000
11/3010:30
12910.000
Low
$1,446
11/1/07 10:30
BTO
1
RRF8
12180.000
11/30/07 10:30
STC
1
RRF8
12910.000
11/12/07 8:21
SELL
1
PLF8
PLATINUM
1410.50
11/308:21
1435
Very
($1,239)
11/12/07 8:21
STO
1
PLF8
1410.50
11/30/07 8:21
BTC
1
PLF8
1435
11/13/07 10:31
SELL
2
CTH8
COTTON - #2
6790
11/2910:31
6565
Low
$2,222
11/13/07 10:31
STO
2
CTH8
6790
11/29/07 10:31
BTC
2
CTH8
6565
11/21/07 10:10
BUY
1
LBF8
LUMBER
256
11/2910:00
256.10
Low
($3)
11/21/07 10:10
BTO
1
LBF8
256
11/29/07 10:00
STC
1
LBF8
256.10
11/21/07 2:16
SELL
1
DXH8
U S DOLLAR INDEX
75.05
11/282:01
75.22
Low
($184)
11/21/07 2:16
STO
1
DXH8
75.05
11/28/07 2:01
BTC
1
DXH8
75.22
11/21/07 9:03
BUY
1
HOF8
HEATING OIL #2
2.7080
11/279:01
2.6790
Normal
($1,232)
11/21/07 9:03
BTO
1
HOF8
2.7080
11/27/07 9:01
STC
1
HOF8
2.6790
11/1/07 8:11
SELL
2
SBH8
SUGAR #11
10.21
11/278:11
9.73
Low
$1,047
11/1/07 8:11
STO
2
SBH8
10.21
11/27/07 8:11
BTC
2
SBH8
9.73
11/6/07 10:02
SELL
1
LBF8
LUMBER
246.80
11/2110:03
256
Normal
($1,026)
11/6/07 10:02
STO
1
LBF8
246.80
11/21/07 10:03
BTC
1
LBF8
256
11/13/07 9:20
SELL
1
HOF8
HEATING OIL #2
2.5970
11/219:03
2.7080
Very
($4,676)
11/13/07 9:20
STO
1
HOF8
2.5970
11/21/07 9:03
BTC
1
HOF8
2.7080
11/13/07 8:25
SELL
1
SIH8
Silver 5000 oz
15.24
11/218:26
14.76
Low
$2,386
11/13/07 8:25
STO
1
SIH8
15.24
11/21/07 8:26
BTC
1
SIH8
14.76
11/13/07 8:21
SELL
1
GCG8
Gold 100 oz
813.50
11/218:21
808.80
Normal
$456
11/13/07 8:21
STO
1
GCG8
813.50
11/21/07 8:21
BTC
1
GCG8
808.80
11/13/07 8:01
SELL
2
CCH8
COCOA
1925
11/218:02
1953
Normal
($588)
11/13/07 8:01
STO
2
CCH8
1925
11/21/07 8:02
BTC
2
CCH8
1953
11/16/07 2:16
BUY
1
DXH8
U S DOLLAR INDEX
76.01
11/212:15
75.05
Normal
($974)
11/16/07 2:16
BTO
1
DXH8
76.01
11/21/07 2:15
STC
1
DXH8
75.05
11/7/07 10:31
BUY
1
SMZ7
SOYBEAN MEAL
2850.0
11/2010:31
2885.0
Normal
$336
11/7/07 10:31
BTO
1
SMZ7
2850.0
11/20/07 10:31
STC
1
SMZ7
2885.0
<< More recent
Statistics Analytics All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results Trades 297 # Profitable 152 (51.2%) # months tracked 73 Profitable months 3 (4.1%) Avg trade duration 11.1 days Annual return (compounded) -14.7% Average win $1,298 Average loss $1,784 Profit factor 0.8:1 Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) 69.49% drawdown period Aug 24, 2007 to Nov 01, 2007 Correlation w/ S&P -0.117 Sharpe ratio -0.614 Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0% Probabilities of future account loss   Chance of 10% account loss 0.0% Chance of 20% account loss 0.0% Chance of 30% account loss 0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss 0.0% Chance of 100% account loss 0.0% Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) -0.13 Average P/L per unit traded ($22.62)
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