S&P500 Winners
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 (1%) (7.4%) (4.5%) 2008 (15.6%) +83.8% (56.4%) (7.3%) (6.3%) +23.6% +0.7% (9.9%) +8.6% +21.9% +3.2% +1.5% 2009 +7.6% +2.3% (0.5%) (5.9%) (2.6%) +0.9% (4.2%) (7.3%) (10.6%) +5.8% (4.3%) (21.8%) 2010 +1.2% (11.4%) (14.2%) (6.3%) +17.4% +3.3% (12.7%) +3.0% (25.3%) (15.1%) +5.5% (34.7%) 2011 (11.4%) (24.6%) (22.3%) (20.7%) +17.2% +23.1% +30.2% +46.7% (14%) +6.6% +9.6% (38.5%) 2012 (77.6%) (235.5%) (172.9%) (5.7%) (135.2%) (181.1%) (78.9%) (97.7%) (64.6%) (5.6%) (14.3%) (2.5%) 2013 (62.7%) (10.9%) (39.3%) (7.6%) (13.6%)
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options.
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Standard | Monte Carlo Technical Analysis: Moving Average
day
s X Moving average must be less than age of system, which is 2055 days.
Instruments
Mostly Stocks; (some futures)
Strategies
Buy undervalue, Technical analysis, Market timing
System started
10/2/2007 (69 months ago)
System developer
Forex Fighter
(Last login to C2: 5/8/09 2:58)
C2 Score: 843
Vendor has created 4 other systems. Show
Status This system is no longer supported.
What is the C2 Score?
Collective2 rates every trading system creator in its database and assigns a score between 100 and 1000. In general, a rating above 500 is good. A rating above 700 is excellent.
Collective2 Ratings are recalculated daily based on the entire performance history in our database. The exact formula we use is proprietary, but there are several key variables that go into the Collective2 Rating.
One of the most important factors is the length of time we have been able to observe the performance of the trader.
Another key factor is the amount by which the trader over-performs or under-performs the S&P 500 index.
Finally, the choppiness of the trader's results is taken into account. Certainly a more consistent system creator will be rated more highly than a system creator with erratic results.
Recently Closed Trades CSV Hide Names Details Note: system has an open, losing position which is not being displayed to non-subscribers.
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Price Risk P/L
2/20/08 6:14
BUY
1
QSIH8
Silver 5000 oz
17.51
3/20 15:01
16.76
Extreme
($3,764)
1/14/08 9:38
SELL
54
FNM
FANNIE MAE
36.38
3/20 15:01
34.30
Low
$110
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
128
HCBK
HUDSON CITY BANCORP INC
15.73
3/20/08 15:01
18.16
n/a
$308
10/2/07 10:41
BUY
151
THC
TENET HEALTHCARE CORP
13.08
2/1/08 10:32
18.20
Low
$770
11/15/07 10:55
BUY
170
TER
TERADYNE INC
11.63
2/1/08 10:31
11.13
Normal
($88)
1/14/08 9:39
SELL
93
ABK
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP
22.01
1/17 9:42
6.03
Low
$1,484
10/2/07 10:41
BUY
3
GOOG
GOOGLE INC A
583.74
1/17/08 9:31
619.64
Low
$106
10/2/07 10:40
BUY
75
CME
CME GROUP INC
24.22
1/10/08 9:31
23.72
Low
($40)
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
522
NOVL
NOVELL INC
7.22
1/9/08 13:48
6.34
Normal
($469)
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
46
HAR
HARMAN INTERNAT IND INC
81.56
1/8/08 15:49
67.40
Normal
($654)
10/2/07 10:41
BUY
436
Q
QWEST CMMNCTNS INTL INC
8.73
1/8/08 14:59
6.40
High
($1,027)
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
202
SYMC
SYMANTEC CORP
19.32
1/8/08 9:43
15.20
Normal
($837)
10/2/07 10:43
BUY
538
LSI
LSI CORP
6.92
1/8/08 9:32
4.44
High
($1,347)
10/2/07 10:45
BUY
253
DYN
DYNEGY INC
44.58
1/8/08 9:32
35.10
Normal
($799)
10/2/07 10:40
BUY
500
SLR
3.90
10/5 9:58
3.88
n/a
($20)
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Close Price Risk P/L
2/20/08 6:14
BUY
1
QSIH8
Silver 5000 oz
17.51
3/20 15:01
16.76
Extreme
($3,764)
2/20/08 6:14
BTO
1
QSIH8
17.51
3/20/08 15:01
STC
1
QSIH8
16.76
Margin call (auto-generated).
1/14/08 9:38
SELL
54
FNM
FANNIE MAE
36.38
3/20 15:01
34.30
Low
$110
1/14/08 9:38
STO
54
FNM
36.38
3/20/08 15:01
BTC
54
FNM
34.30
Margin call (auto-generated).
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
128
HCBK
HUDSON CITY BANCORP INC
15.73
3/20/08 15:01
18.16
n/a
$308
10/2/07 10:44
BTO
128
HCBK
15.73
3/20/08 15:01
STC
128
HCBK
18.16
Margin call (auto-generated).
10/2/07 10:41
BUY
151
THC
TENET HEALTHCARE CORP
13.08
2/1/08 10:32
18.20
Low
$770
10/2/07 10:41
BTO
151
THC
13.08
2/1/08 10:32
STC
151
THC
18.20
Margin call (auto-generated).
11/15/07 10:55
BUY
170
TER
TERADYNE INC
11.63
2/1/08 10:31
11.13
Normal
($88)
11/15/07 10:55
BTO
170
TER
11.63
2/1/08 10:31
STC
170
TER
11.13
Margin call (auto-generated).
1/14/08 9:39
SELL
93
ABK
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP
22.01
1/17 9:42
6.03
Low
$1,484
1/14/08 9:39
STO
93
ABK
22.01
1/17/08 9:42
BTC
93
ABK
6.03
10/2/07 10:41
BUY
3
GOOG
GOOGLE INC A
583.74
1/17/08 9:31
619.64
Low
$106
10/2/07 10:41
BTO
3
GOOG
583.74
1/17/08 9:31
STC
3
GOOG
619.64
10/2/07 10:40
BUY
75
CME
CME GROUP INC
24.22
1/10/08 9:31
23.72
Low
($40)
10/2/07 10:40
BTO
75
CME
24.22
1/10/08 9:31
STC
75
CME
23.72
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
522
NOVL
NOVELL INC
7.22
1/9/08 13:48
6.34
Normal
($469)
10/2/07 10:44
BTO
261
NOVL
7.56
11/9/07 9:30
BTO
261
NOVL
6.88
1/9/08 13:48
STC
522
NOVL
6.34
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
46
HAR
HARMAN INTERNAT IND INC
81.56
1/8/08 15:49
67.40
Normal
($654)
10/2/07 10:44
BTO
23
HAR
86.21
11/9/07 9:39
BTO
23
HAR
76.90
1/8/08 15:49
STC
46
HAR
67.40
10/2/07 10:41
BUY
436
Q
QWEST CMMNCTNS INTL INC
8.73
1/8/08 14:59
6.40
High
($1,027)
10/2/07 10:41
BTO
218
Q
9.19
10/25/07 11:33
BTO
218
Q
8.28
1/8/08 14:59
STC
436
Q
6.40
10/2/07 10:44
BUY
202
SYMC
SYMANTEC CORP
19.32
1/8/08 9:43
15.20
Normal
($837)
10/2/07 10:44
BTO
101
SYMC
20.30
10/25/07 11:32
BTO
101
SYMC
18.35
1/8/08 9:43
STC
202
SYMC
15.20
10/2/07 10:43
BUY
538
LSI
LSI CORP
6.92
1/8/08 9:32
4.44
High
($1,347)
10/2/07 10:43
BTO
268
LSI
7.34
10/26/07 9:46
BTO
270
LSI
6.51
1/8/08 9:32
STC
538
LSI
4.44
10/2/07 10:45
BUY
253
DYN
DYNEGY INC
44.58
1/8/08 9:32
35.10
Normal
($799)
10/2/07 10:45
BTO
42
DYN
46.15
10/25/07 11:33
BTO
42
DYN
43.00
1/8/08 9:32
STC
84
DYN
35.10
10/2/07 10:40
BUY
500
SLR
3.90
10/5 9:58
3.88
n/a
($20)
10/2/07 10:40
BTO
500
SLR
3.90
10/5/07 9:58
STC
500
SLR
3.88
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Statistics Analytics All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results Trades 24 # Profitable 7 (29.2%) # months tracked 68 Profitable months 22 (32.4%) Avg trade duration 786.9 days Annual return (compounded) 0.0% Average win $661 Average loss $1,510 Profit factor 0.2:1 Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) 100% drawdown period April 05, 2013 to May 13, 2013 Correlation w/ S&P -0.136 Sharpe ratio -0.475 Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0% Probabilities of future account loss   Chance of 10% account loss 0.0% Chance of 20% account loss 0.0% Chance of 30% account loss 0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss 0.0% Chance of 100% account loss 0.0% Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) -1.22 Average P/L per unit traded ($247.77)
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System Description
More Details Soon
- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Subscribe to System Subscriptions cost $95 per month. (That is, we will charge you every 30 days - not when the month name on the calendar changes. So it's okay to sign up towards the end of a calendar month. You'll still get a full 30 days.)
More Details Soon
read more... - This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Model Account Status Started $20,000 Buy Power ($17,941) Cash $27,069 Equity ($14,856) Cumulative $* ($21,750) Dividends Itemized Total System Equity ($1,750) Margined $30,154 Open P/L ($14,856)
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