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This strategy is no longer supported by its creator.
These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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SMA
(29668147)

Created by: richard_haines richard_haines
Started: 12/2007
Stocks
Last trade: 5,420 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $25.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

23.9%

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(28.3%)
Max Drawdown
165
Num Trades
66.7%
Win Trades
1.6 : 1
Profit Factor
6.6%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2007                                                                             +2.1%+2.1%
2008(15.6%)+12.0%+9.7%+12.2%+9.1%+3.7%(1.1%)+1.1%+11.5%(8%)(13.2%)+28.5%+50.5%
2009+1.5%(3.2%)+2.5%+24.6%+1.5%(3.3%)  -    -    -    -    -    -  +23.3%
2010  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2011  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2012  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2013  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2014  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2015  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2016  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2017  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2018  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2019  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2020  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2021  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2022  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2023  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2024  -    -    -    -                                                  0.0

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 6 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 5456 days ago.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
6/9/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX LONG 1,674 52.84 6/18 9:30 50.77 4.86%
Trade id #40864275
Max drawdown($4,754)
Time6/17/09 10:03
Quant open1,674
Worst price50.00
Drawdown as % of equity-4.86%
 ($3,470)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
6/9/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 LONG 408 108.34 6/17 9:30 104.22 1.8%
Trade id #40864326
Max drawdown($1,810)
Time6/16/09 14:32
Quant open408
Worst price103.90
Drawdown as % of equity-1.80%
 ($1,689)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.16
6/9/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ LONG 1,200 36.84 6/10 9:30 37.17 0.2%
Trade id #40864322
Max drawdown($204)
Time6/9/09 10:53
Quant open1,200
Worst price36.67
Drawdown as % of equity-0.20%
 $391
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
6/3/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 SHORT 406 108.10 6/8 9:30 107.77 0.76%
Trade id #40778031
Max drawdown($777)
Time6/5/09 9:33
Quant open-406
Worst price110.02
Drawdown as % of equity-0.76%
 $126
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.12
6/2/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ SHORT 1,223 36.19 6/8 9:30 36.53 1.07%
Trade id #40758773
Max drawdown($1,088)
Time6/5/09 9:39
Quant open-1,223
Worst price37.08
Drawdown as % of equity-1.07%
 ($421)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
6/3/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX SHORT 1,682 52.31 6/8 9:30 52.80 2.45%
Trade id #40778027
Max drawdown($2,489)
Time6/5/09 9:33
Quant open-1,682
Worst price53.79
Drawdown as % of equity-2.45%
 ($829)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/27/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 LONG 410 103.70 6/1 9:30 106.72 1.18%
Trade id #40658635
Max drawdown($1,160)
Time5/28/09 10:13
Quant open410
Worst price100.87
Drawdown as % of equity-1.18%
 $1,230
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.20
5/27/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX LONG 1,706 49.76 6/1 9:30 51.36 2.89%
Trade id #40658681
Max drawdown($2,831)
Time5/28/09 10:13
Quant open1,706
Worst price48.10
Drawdown as % of equity-2.89%
 $2,725
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/26/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ LONG 1,247 33.19 5/29 9:30 34.98 n/a $2,227
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/19/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ SHORT 1,216 34.14 5/22 9:30 33.78 1.13%
Trade id #40518935
Max drawdown($1,094)
Time5/20/09 10:23
Quant open-1,216
Worst price35.04
Drawdown as % of equity-1.13%
 $433
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/14/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX LONG 1,682 47.39 5/19 9:30 49.37 0.6%
Trade id #40431201
Max drawdown($555)
Time5/14/09 9:58
Quant open1,682
Worst price47.06
Drawdown as % of equity-0.60%
 $3,325
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/14/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 LONG 402 98.99 5/18 9:30 100.38 0.22%
Trade id #40431149
Max drawdown($201)
Time5/14/09 9:58
Quant open402
Worst price98.49
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
 $551
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.04
5/12/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ LONG 1,187 34.44 5/18 9:30 33.59 1.89%
Trade id #40353026
Max drawdown($1,756)
Time5/13/09 14:21
Quant open1,187
Worst price32.96
Drawdown as % of equity-1.89%
 ($1,014)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/30/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 SHORT 406 103.47 5/12 9:30 104.95 1.69%
Trade id #40149699
Max drawdown($1,579)
Time5/7/09 9:36
Quant open-406
Worst price107.36
Drawdown as % of equity-1.69%
 ($609)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.12
4/30/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX SHORT 1,690 49.70 5/12 9:30 50.57 3.07%
Trade id #40149663
Max drawdown($2,873)
Time5/7/09 9:32
Quant open-1,690
Worst price51.40
Drawdown as % of equity-3.07%
 ($1,475)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/30/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ SHORT 1,283 34.36 5/8 9:30 34.43 1.33%
Trade id #40149698
Max drawdown($1,257)
Time5/6/09 9:31
Quant open-1,283
Worst price35.34
Drawdown as % of equity-1.33%
 ($95)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/21/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ LONG 1,283 32.09 4/27 9:30 33.42 n/a $1,701
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/13/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX SHORT 1,769 46.26 4/22 9:30 46.19 3.86%
Trade id #39827492
Max drawdown($3,555)
Time4/17/09 14:41
Quant open-1,769
Worst price48.27
Drawdown as % of equity-3.86%
 $119
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/16/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 SHORT 425 97.08 4/20 9:30 97.79 1.6%
Trade id #39898830
Max drawdown($1,470)
Time4/17/09 15:44
Quant open-425
Worst price100.54
Drawdown as % of equity-1.60%
 ($311)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.50
4/16/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ SHORT 1,262 32.83 4/20 9:30 32.70 0.92%
Trade id #39898784
Max drawdown($845)
Time4/17/09 14:40
Quant open-1,262
Worst price33.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.92%
 $159
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/9/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ LONG 1,207 32.53 4/13 9:30 32.80 0.13%
Trade id #39798134
Max drawdown($120)
Time4/9/09 9:32
Quant open1,207
Worst price32.43
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 $321
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/9/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 LONG 417 94.76 4/13 9:30 96.46 0.16%
Trade id #39798070
Max drawdown($145)
Time4/9/09 9:32
Quant open417
Worst price94.41
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
 $701
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.34
4/8/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX LONG 1,770 43.51 4/13 9:30 46.26 0.63%
Trade id #39773798
Max drawdown($566)
Time4/8/09 10:39
Quant open1,770
Worst price43.19
Drawdown as % of equity-0.63%
 $4,863
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
4/6/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ SHORT 1,175 31.97 4/8 9:30 31.72 0.48%
Trade id #39721711
Max drawdown($423)
Time4/6/09 15:56
Quant open-1,175
Worst price32.33
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
 $289
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/31/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ LONG 1,160 30.31 4/3 9:30 32.05 0.75%
Trade id #39610523
Max drawdown($603)
Time4/1/09 9:52
Quant open1,160
Worst price29.79
Drawdown as % of equity-0.75%
 $2,013
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/31/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 LONG 396 88.52 4/3 9:30 93.55 0.99%
Trade id #39610600
Max drawdown($792)
Time4/1/09 9:35
Quant open396
Worst price86.52
Drawdown as % of equity-0.99%
 $1,984
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.92
3/31/09 9:31 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX LONG 1,669 42.17 4/3 9:30 44.86 2.2%
Trade id #39610788
Max drawdown($1,769)
Time4/1/09 9:35
Quant open1,669
Worst price41.11
Drawdown as % of equity-2.20%
 $4,485
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/16/09 9:30 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX SHORT 1,889 39.81 3/31 9:30 42.17 11.4%
Trade id #39302798
Max drawdown($8,859)
Time3/26/09 16:01
Quant open-1,889
Worst price44.50
Drawdown as % of equity-11.40%
 ($4,463)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/16/09 9:30 QQQQ PowerShares QQQ SHORT 1,301 28.90 3/23 9:30 29.86 1.99%
Trade id #39302790
Max drawdown($1,691)
Time3/18/09 14:56
Quant open-1,301
Worst price30.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.99%
 ($1,254)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/16/09 9:30 MDY SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 SHORT 449 84.12 3/23 9:30 86.78 2.66%
Trade id #39302747
Max drawdown($2,150)
Time3/19/09 9:31
Quant open-449
Worst price88.91
Drawdown as % of equity-2.66%
 ($1,203)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.98
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    12/17/2007
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $50,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    5964.31
  • Age
    199 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    165
  • # Profitable
    110
  • % Profitable
    66.70%
  • Avg trade duration
    4.3 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    28.29%
  • drawdown period
    Sept 25, 2008 - Oct 16, 2008
  • Annual return (compounded)
    4.2%
  • Avg win
    $1,184
  • Avg loss
    $1,491
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $98,300
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $98,300
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.59:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.22
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.34
  • Calmar Ratio
    0.378
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.03220
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    77.26%
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    243.54%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    23.9%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.91%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    6.90%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    4.2%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    34.15%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    19.05%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $1,185
  • Avg Loss
    $1,491
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $82,017.000
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $130,314.000
  • # Winners
    110
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • Num Months Winners
    17
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    197
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    55
  • % Winners
    66.7%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    6249.88
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    104.17
  • Avg Trade Length
    4.3 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    5416
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.01
  • Beta
    0.01
  • Treynor Index
    0.47
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    0.39
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    5.358
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    37.48
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    39.50
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.03
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.567
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.484
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.186
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.31300
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.06300
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    21
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a

Strategy Description









This is a trading program I have designed for some of my family.

This signal will trade with a 50% IWM weighting 25% QQQQ weighting and 25% MDY weighting. The account trades with an account value plus 75% margin. All signals have a technical trigger with another confirmation trigger. When both are in the same direction a signal will occur. It can hold between 0 and 3 positions at a time.


Realism Factor 100.0
Trades 165
Profitable 110
Losses 55
Win % 66.7%
APD Ratio 0.24

Correlation w/ S&P 0.057
Cumu $ $48,300
after typical commission $45,781
and real-life slippage $45,781

Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Avg Win $1,184
Avg Loss $1,491
Profit Factor 1.6:1
P/L per unit $0.43
after typical commission $0.42
after real-life slippage $0.42

Avg Trade Length 4.3 days
Compound Annual % 53.9% over 550 days
Sharpe Ratio 1.347
Max Drawdown 28.29% (20080925 to 20081016)
Risk of 20% account loss 19.0%
Risk of 50% account loss 0.0%
Risk of 100% account loss 0.0%


Crowd Opinion

Viewed 5,746 times
Tracked by 132 My Analyst pages
With commentary: 3











Trade this strategy at Interactive Brokers

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2007-12-17
Suggested Minimum Capital
$50,000
# Trades
165
# Profitable
110
% Profitable
66.7%
Correlation S&P500
0.032
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Sortino Ratio
0.34
Beta
0.01
Alpha
0.01

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Strategy is now visible

This strategy is now visible to the public. New subscribers will be able to follow it.

If you designate your strategy as Private, it will no longer be visible to the public.

No subscribers and simulations will be allowed. If you have subscribers, the strategy will still be visible to them.
If you have simulations, they will be stopped.

Continue to designate your strategy as Private?

Mark as Private Keep Public

Strategy is no longer visible

This strategy is no longer visible to anyone except current subscribers.

(Current subscribers will remain subscribed. You can see who is subscribed, and control their subscriptions, on your Subscriber Management screen.)

Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.

This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.

You can restore public visibility at any time.

Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.