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Gap ES




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2008                                          (3.1%)(10.4%)(9%)(4.2%)(10.9%)(8.3%)
2009(50.8%)  -  (6.6%)(7%)(15.1%)(8.9%)(9.8%)(10.8%)(12.2%)(13.4%)(16%)(19.1%)
2010(23.5%)(30.8%)(44.5%)(80.2%)(403.9%)(136.9%)(54.4%)(37.1%)(27.3%)(20.8%)(17.2%)(14.3%)
2011(12.9%)(11.4%)(10.2%)(9.3%)(8.5%)(7.8%)(7.3%)(6.8%)(6.3%)(6%)(5.6%)(5.3%)
2012(5.1%)(4.8%)(4.6%)(4.4%)(4.2%)(4%)(3.9%)(3.7%)(3.6%)(3.5%)(3.4%)(3.2%)
2013(3.1%)(3.1%)  -  (5.9%)  -                                            
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Futures
Strategies Technical analysis, Market timing
System started 7/29/2008 (59 months ago)
System developer Dynamic Trading and Innovations
(Last login to C2: 7/28/10 8:56)
C2 Score: 839

Vendor has created 1 other system. Show
StatusThis system is no longer supported.



Recently Closed Trades

CSVHide NamesDetails


Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
1/26/09 9:31 SELL 1 @ESH9 E-MINI S&P 500 831.00 1/26
10:30
846.50 Extreme ($789)
1/21/09 9:20 SELL 1 @ESH9 E-MINI S&P 500 815.75 1/21
10:30
812.75 High $136
1/14/09 9:20 BUY 1 @ESH9 E-MINI S&P 500 851.50 1/14
10:15
842.50 Very ($464)
1/7/09 9:20 BUY 1 @ESH9 E-MINI S&P 500 917.00 1/7
10:30
912.25 High ($252)
12/26/08 9:20 SELL 1 @ESH9 E-MINI S&P 500 869.50 12/26
10:30
867.75 Normal $74
12/17/08 9:20 BUY 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 902.50 12/17
10:12
897.75 High ($252)
11/26/08 9:52 SELL 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 848.25 11/26
10:30
854.25 High ($314)
10/17/08 9:16 BUY 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 917.75 10/17
9:46
932.25 n/a $711
10/3/08 9:16 SELL 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 1135.25 10/3
9:41
1141.25 High ($314)
10/2/08 9:16 BUY 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 1155.50 10/2
9:43
1146.50 Very ($464)
9/26/08 9:16 BUY 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 1194.00 9/26
10:30
1197.75 Normal $174
9/18/08 9:16 SELL 1 @ESZ8 E-MINI S&P 500 1170.00 9/18
9:21
1174.50 Normal ($239)
9/5/08 9:16 BUY 1 @ESU8 E-MINI S&P 500 1227.75 9/5
10:25
1223.50 Normal ($227)
8/28/08 9:16 SELL 1 @ESU8 E-MINI S&P 500 1289.75 8/28
10:30
1290.00 Normal ($27)
8/25/08 9:24 BUY 1 @ESU8 E-MINI S&P 500 1285.25 8/25
9:45
1282.00 Normal ($177)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades19
# Profitable5 (26.3%)
# months tracked59
Profitable months
Avg trade duration46.2 minutes
Annual return (compounded)-13.5%
Average win$300
Average loss$286
Profit factor0.4:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)50.3%
drawdown periodJuly 29, 2008 to Aug 25, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P0.006
Sharpe ratio-1.116
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.49
Average P/L per unit traded($132.37)


Reviews


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System Description


The GAP ES strategy trades a single contract with at most one (1) trade per day. It analyizes yesterday's price activity leading up to the close; today's premarket price activity; the size and direction of the opening Gap; and how this information fits with historic profitable trades to determine whether on not a trade will be taken on any particular day. If a trade is to be placed, the order will be place "At Market" sometime between 8:00AM and 8:30AM Exchange (Chicago) time. If the trade dosen't reach its Profit Target or Stop Loss by 9:30AM Exchange time, a market order to exit the position will be sent.

If GAP ES hasn't entered a trade by 8:31 Exchange time, it can be safely assumed that no trades will be taken this day.

Due to filtering that results from historic price action, the strategy does NOT take all possible trades when there is a GAP Open.

Note that this strategy DOES enter prior to the beginning of the "Day Trading" for Margin purposes. Therefore, be sure you have enough equity in your account to support such an entry.

This GAP ES is one of the 10 strategies that make up the "Daily E-Mini Hedge" portfolio of stratgies.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Overview

GAP ES Takes trades based on the size direction and historic probability of a winning trade based on yesterdays closing todays premarket price activity and historic results for similar trades.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$5,000
Buy Power$2,487
Cash$2,487
Equity$0
Cumulative $($2,512)
Total System Equity$2,487
Margined$0
Open P/L$0


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