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Precision Futures



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Hypothetical Monthly Returns (using typical broker commissions)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2009+16.0%+7.1%+5.7%(11.5%)+8.1%(7%)(17%)(26.3%)+22.8%+46.2%  -    -  
2010  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2011  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2012  -    -                                                              


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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Futures
Strategies Buy undervalue, Sell overvalue
System started 1/11/2009 (37 months ago)
System developer Ray
(Last login to C2: 1/12/10 15:27)
C2 Score: 832



Recently Closed Trades

CSVDetails


Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
10/18/09 18:05 SELL 0.25 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 1729.50 10/18
18:48
1729.00 Low ($1)
10/18/09 18:09 SELL 0.25 @YMZ9 MINI DOW 9901 10/18
18:48
9906 Low ($10)
10/18/09 18:04 SELL 0.25 @TFSZ9 Emini Russell 612.50 10/18
18:47
612.80 Low ($12)
10/18/09 18:05 SELL 0.25 @ESZ9 E-MINI S&P 500 1080.00 10/18
18:47
1079.75 Low ($1)
10/18/09 18:04 SELL 0.749 @BPZ9 BRITISH POUND 1.6320 10/18
18:47
1.6336 Low ($85)
10/15/09 16:20 BUY 0.25 QGCZ9 Gold 100 oz 1050.30 10/18
18:05
1052.50 Low $52
10/15/09 11:53 BUY 0.749 @EUZ9 EUROFX 1.4947 10/15
16:19
1.4928 Low ($188)
10/13/09 15:24 BUY 0.749 QCLZ9 CRUDE OIL 74.80 10/15
12:17
77.52 Low $2,027
10/13/09 13:28 SELL 0.749 @TFSZ9 Emini Russell 609 10/13
15:24
609.80 Low ($70)
10/13/09 11:18 BUY 0.25 @TFSZ9 Emini Russell 605.80 10/13
13:28
608.70 Low $70
10/6/09 9:43 BUY 0.749 QCLZ9 CRUDE OIL 71.63 10/13
13:28
74.23 Normal $1,937
10/13/09 10:18 BUY 0.25 @YMZ9 MINI DOW 9781 10/13
10:48
9790 Low $8
10/13/09 10:19 BUY 0.25 @ESZ9 E-MINI S&P 500 1065.50 10/13
10:48
1066.00 Low $3
10/13/09 10:18 BUY 0.25 @TFSZ9 Emini Russell 605.70 10/13
10:48
607 Low $30
10/13/09 9:50 SELL 0.25 @ESZ9 E-MINI S&P 500 1068.00 10/13
10:18
1065.50 Low $28

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades1,874
# Profitable927 (49.5%)
# months tracked38
Profitable months6 (15.8%)
Avg trade duration4.9 hours
Annual return (compounded)25.4%
Average win$58
Average loss$46
Profit factor1.2:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)26.01%
drawdown periodSept 17, 2009 to Sept 30, 2009
Correlation w/ S&P-0.049
Sharpe ratio1.223
Keep after worst-case slippage 99.7%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss31.2%
Chance of 20% account loss11.8%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.21
Average P/L per unit traded$13.44


Reviews


 
Aug 28, 2009 from AutoTrader

It's time to move on. With the high volume of trades, the commissions and slippage chew through the cash. OptionsXpress commissions are fair. Slippage is more than whats indicated by the 'show real trades' feature. Don't be decieved by the chart above. My account is well into the the red. Often trades his opinion instead of his system. (I wrote previously on june 7: I've been with this system since the end of January. After commissions and fees, I'm up about 20%. Not as good as the chart above, but steadily gaining. Draw downs have been low, although a little long through April. My questions have been answered. Even though there are a lot of trades, the per trade drawdown is very low and thats what attracted me in the first place.)

 
July 24, 2009 from AutoTrader

Very consistent trader. Always able to climb out of drawdown.

 
May 3, 2009 from AutoTrader

No particular trading methodology visible, as reflected in the results. communication with the trader was ineffective. Absolutely NOT worth a cent of subscription $!! Just dont bother, unless you have money to throw away!

 
May 1, 2009 from AutoTrader

Deluded know-nothing who sends out pep-talk emails to compensate for his inability to trade profitably. Makes claims such as "there will almost always be a day during a month that covers the fee" - and does not live up to them. Avoid this guy, and his motivational emails.

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Overview

None provided. (Contact System Developer)

Model Account Status

Started$9,986
Buy Power$20,004
Cash$20,004
Equity$0
Cumulative $$10,018
Total System Equity$20,004
Margined$0
Open P/L$0


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