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My Trading Robot YM




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2009       (27.7%)(26.9%)(16.4%)(19.9%)(1.6%)(0.2%)(11.7%)(1.9%)(2%)  -    -  
2010  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2011  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2012  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2013  -    -    -    -    -                                            
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Futures
Strategies Technical analysis, Volatility trading
System started 2/9/2009 (52 months ago)
System developer Global Stock Market Info Inc.
(Last login to C2: 9/27/12 16:07)
C2 Score: 204



Recently Closed Trades

CSVHide NamesDetails


Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
8/7/09 15:29 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9366 8/7
15:31
9354 n/a $46
8/7/09 11:23 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9368 8/7
11:30
9359 Low $31
8/7/09 9:42 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9292 8/7
9:43
9281 n/a $41
8/5/09 10:46 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9172 8/5
10:47
9172 n/a ($14)
7/31/09 14:12 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9156 7/31
14:36
9143 Low $51
7/30/09 15:46 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9120 7/30
15:55
9110 Low $36
7/29/09 11:45 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 8992 7/29
13:10
8987 Low $11
7/29/09 9:59 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9028 7/29
10:22
9021 Low $21
7/27/09 12:29 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9020 7/27
12:47
9011 Low $31
7/27/09 10:19 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9021 7/27
10:30
9016 Low $11
7/27/09 10:18 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9024 7/27
10:18
9024 n/a ($14)
7/24/09 9:57 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 8980 7/24
9:57
8978 n/a ($4)
7/24/09 9:56 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 8973 7/24
9:56
8977 n/a ($34)
7/23/09 15:53 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 9013 7/23
16:12
9005 Low $26
7/23/09 10:56 SELL 1 @YMU9 MINI DOW 8974 7/23
11:14
9017 Low ($229)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades401
# Profitable245 (61.1%)
# months tracked52
Profitable months
Avg trade duration24.7 minutes
Annual return (compounded)-4.3%
Average win$146
Average loss$251
Profit factor0.9:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)26.1%
drawdown periodFeb 17, 2009 to March 18, 2009
Correlation w/ S&P0.001
Sharpe ratio-0.569
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss6.7%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.15
Average P/L per unit traded($2.02)


Reviews


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System Description





*** SEE NOTES BELOW FOR START DATE TIME ISSUES WITH C2 TRAY INTERFACE ***

Taking advantage of predicted support and resistance points within a trend is how this strategy makes all its money. These are computed dynamically and adapt over time to current market conditions. It is a scalping system, meaning its average gain is 10-30 ticks usually. This strategy also has unusually low drawdown for the amount of money it pulls out of the money daily. Prior to real time on Collective 2, it has drawdown of 1600 and gains of about 38k over they last 2 months, in this version of the system.

The system always has stops in place and plays 2 contracts per trade. The average stop is about 30 ticks or so but can vary depending on the market trend strength, with a max stop of 45 points ever. The system never holds overnight (but you will have to watch it yourself on short days, they are not programmed in and it will not know to exit).

The system is believed to be completely stable, as the few inputs it has that can be optimized are very profitable at every iteration (meaning no setting causes it to lose money in any way), and the delta on most settings from worst profit to best profit is about 20% (ex. worst is 25,000, best is 32,000).

In addition, the subscriptions to this system will be limited to a maximum of 10, then it will be closed off to any additional subscribers.

This trading system is 100% fully black box and computerized, there is no judgment or human intervention. It is understood by all subscribers that as a computer program it is fully possible bugs may exist that may cause errant or unexpected results. While every care has been taken to make sure none exist, it is impossible to test every possible situation that may occur in real time trading. In addition, there is no implied guarantee or warranty of any kind - all results EVEN those done in real time should be considered HYPOTHETICAL because the system generating the signals is not trading a real account, and past performance is no guarantee of the future. Lastly, anyone subscribing to this trading system understands any and all monies used to trade it are risk capital only, and accept risk of loss that may occur.

Due to the active nature some days of this strategy (as a day trading strategy) it may be impossible to follow the signals without having auto trade on. Historically it has done as many as 25 trades in a single day.


***** NOTE****
2-09-10 and 2-10-10 HAVING SOME MAJOR ISSUES WITH C2 NOT PICKING UP ORDERS - SYSTEM USES A MAX STOP OF 45 POINTS - so far yest and today 2x it has just not even put in the stop from TS at all and caused 2 100pt+ losses about that are not real. In addition it is duplicating trades sometimes (going in 4 contacts instead of 2) and other issues. I am working with Matthew to try to figure out why the C2 tray is not working properly.

2-11-09 I have turned off multiple contract entries and it seems stable now, so far today no missed or mistakes using c2 tray. Assuming it works going forward, anyone looking at this strategy should ignore ALL TRADES the first 2 days.

**************

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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$5 per profitable trade recommendation Details

This is a pay-for-performance system. You will be charged $5 per trade - but only if a trade is closed at a profit.

Please note that, to determine profitability, we do not look at your brokerage account, nor do we take into consideration whether you made the trades recommended here, nor the trade prices you received. We simply measure the system's hypothetical opening and closing prices here on C2, without factoring in fees or commissions. You will not be charged unless a trade is profitable.



 

Overview

This system trades the YM (DJIA futures) contract on a tick chart. Its bread and butter is predicting oversold and overbought conditions within a trend. This is a day trading system only it never holds overnight.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$20,000
Buy Power$16,565
Cash$16,565
Equity$0
Cumulative $($3,435)
Total System Equity$16,565
Margined$0
Open P/L$0


System Forum

All
Stats on this system
Kevin Davey at 2/18/09 19:20ET

Thank you for the info. I'm not sure what version of Tradestation you are running, but I can get the following: TS Version 8.4, Build 16...

Stats on this system
Trader X at 2/18/09 19:04ET

This is from a backtest of the system, with the last 5 days being live and included. It should all be considered hypothetical. There is no...

Stats on this system
Trader X at 2/18/09 19:00ET

This runs on tick data. On Tradestation, I can get a maximum of 60,000 bars of data. That is the extent of the backtest or anything I can di...

Stats on this system
Kevin Davey at 2/18/09 18:00ET

What is the significance of the 12-05-08 start date? Is that when you started trading it with money, or is it how far your backtest goes, o...

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