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Sky Hawk




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2009                            +0.5%(3.4%)+42.4%+6.2%+10.1%(3%)+0.5%+3.3%
2010(4.4%)+4.6%(5.2%)(2.3%)+14.3%(3%)+0.7%(3.2%)(2%)(0.3%)(4.3%)(15.1%)
2011(9.5%)+1.4%+0.4%+7.8%+11.7%(1.2%)  -    -    -    -    -    -  
2012  -    -  +6.4%+29.5%(31.3%)+11.8%+1.3%+1.5%(0.3%)(0.6%)(7.2%)+4.2%
2013(1%)+4.3%(11.8%)+52.1%+1.9%                                          
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Stocks
Strategies Technical analysis
System started 5/25/2009 (49 months ago)
System developer Sky Hawk
(Last login to C2: 5/21/13 23:19)
C2 Score: 853



Recently Closed Trades

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by two days.

Note: system has an open, losing position which is not being displayed to non-subscribers.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
5/2/13 9:30 SELL 500 IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE 200.36 5/15
9:30
202.25 Low ($955)
5/6/13 9:46 BUY 41,000 AVEO AVEO PHARMACEUTICALS 2.52 5/10
9:31
2.55 Normal $410
5/6/13 9:42 BUY 14,500 CCO CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HLD 7.15 5/10
9:30
7.62 Low $6,525
5/8/13 9:30 BUY 18,900 BEBE BEBE STORES INC 5.04 5/10
9:30
5.25 Low $3,591
5/2/13 9:52 BUY 14,500 CCO CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HLD 7.19 5/3
9:41
7.38 n/a $2,465
4/24/13 13:13 SELL 3,900 APOG APOGEE ENTERPRISES INC 25.31 5/1
9:30
25.32 Low ($117)
4/22/13 9:30 BUY 7,500 VLTR VOLTERRA SEMICONDUCTOR 13.18 4/29
9:30
12.89 Normal ($2,325)
4/24/13 10:21 BUY 30,000 GV GOLDFIELD 2.82 4/26
9:46
3.30 Low $13,800
4/15/13 9:40 BUY 4,700 VXZ IPATH S&P 500 VIX MID-TERM F 20.28 4/22
9:31
21.46 Low $5,452
4/10/13 9:30 SELL 1,700 EXPE EXPEDIA INC. 63.00 4/17
9:30
62.30 Low $1,156
4/8/13 9:30 BUY 88,000 NBG NATIONAL BK GREECE ADS 0.64 4/11
9:31
0.87 Low $18,480
4/1/13 9:30 BUY 12,000 CCO CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HLD 7.47 4/9
12:38
7.70 Low $2,520
3/20/13 9:45 BUY 17,000 JKS JINKOSOLAR HOLDING ADR 5.74 4/9
9:30
5.40 Extreme ($6,120)
4/1/13 13:53 BUY 250,000 STP SUNTECH POWER HOLDINGS 0.33 4/3
15:54
0.43 n/a $19,000
3/21/13 9:30 BUY 10,000 CCO CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HLD 7.66 3/28
9:30
7.52 Low ($1,600)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades202
# Profitable123 (60.9%)
# months tracked49
Profitable months22 (44.9%)
Avg trade duration7.2 days
Annual return (compounded)28.1%
Average win$3,750
Average loss$3,695
Profit factor1.6:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)28.23%
drawdown periodApril 28, 2012 to May 23, 2012
Correlation w/ S&P0.151
Sharpe ratio1.096
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss44.0%
Chance of 20% account loss20.0%
Chance of 30% account loss5.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.11
Average P/L per unit traded$0.42


Reviews


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System Description

Sky Hawk attempts to discover short term trading opportunities among those securities that have recently fallen or risen to an extreme. The basic premise is that no stock goes straight up or down without a bounce to some degree. The method is simply a market or limit order at the opening to enter or exit a trade normally lasting between one to fourteen days. The targeted securities may range from very large cap to much smaller micro-cap; consequently the subscriber could make effective use of stop or limit orders to manage the volatility to suit their own risk tolerance or to possibly improve upon the model’s entry or exit points. Trading opportunities will not occur every day and there will be extended periods when this model is not fully invested. Accordingly Sky Hawk might be considered as an aggressive supplement to a larger portfolio strategy. The trade mechanics used by Sky Hawk have been back-tested in both strong and weak market environments and been found to be robust. However the markets have a way of making fools of us all.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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$150 per month, only if profitable Details

This is a pay-for-performance system. Subscriptions cost $150 at the end of each month, but only if the system has made profitable recommendations for the period.

To determine profitability, we do not look at your brokerage account, nor do we take into consideration whether you actually placed the trades recommended here. We simply measure the system's hypothetical track record here on the Collective2 Web site, without factoring fees or commissions. You will not be charged unless the sum of the trades during the period was profitable. (Also, we want to reassure you that a "month" means a full 30-day period. That is, you are billed only if the last 30 days' worth of trade recommendations were profitable. So it's safe to subscribe at the end of a calendar month; you'll still get 30 days' worth of trades.)



 

Overview

Sky Hawk searches for price extremes both short and long to exploit short-term reversion to the mean. Some weeks will result in frequent trades near tops or bottoms other weeks will see much less activity. With regards to the Markets patience pays well.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Subscribers

Subscriber revenue:
$2,650

Model Account Status

Started$100,000
Buy Power$157,955
Cash$1
Equity$1
Cumulative $*$169,055
Dividends Itemized
Total System Equity$269,055
Margined$1
Open P/L($11,320)
System vendor has delayed data by 2 days for non-subs.


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