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CrowderOptions.com - ETF Extremes



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Hypothetical Monthly Returns (using typical broker commissions)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2010(3.8%)+21.9%(50.4%)(30.1%)+235.5%+9.5%  -    -    -    -    -    -  
2011  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2012  -    -                                                              


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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Options
Strategies Technical analysis, Unclassified
System started 1/4/2010 (25 months ago)
System developer Crowder Investment Research, LLC
(Last login to C2: 1/14/12 17:28)
C2 Score: 870

Vendor has created 1 other system. Show



Recently Closed Trades

CSVDetails


Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
6/15/10 15:41 BUY 30 SPY1017S113 SPY Jul10 113 put (exp 07/17/2010) 3.68 6/17
11:03
4.13 High $1,293
3/1/10 11:29 BUY 35 QQQ1019R47 QQQQ Jun10 47 put (exp 06/19/2010) 2.88 5/7
10:30
3.44 Extreme $1,894
2/17/10 10:37 BUY 30 QQQ1019R46 QQQQ Jun10 46 put 3.08 2/25
9:47
3.30 Very $603
1/28/10 9:55 BUY 30 QQQ1017D42 QQQQ Apr10 42 call (exp 04/17/2010) 3.15 2/17
10:31
3.15 Very ($57)
1/19/10 11:25 BUY 30 QQQRV QQQQ Jun10 48 put 3.25 1/20
9:46
3.48 Normal $633
1/6/10 11:51 BUY 30 QQQRU QQQQ Jun10 47 put 3.04 1/12
12:27
3.24 Normal $543

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades6
# Profitable5 (83.3%)
# months tracked26
Profitable months3 (11.5%)
Avg trade duration17.3 days
Annual return (compounded)22.5%
Average win$1,052.00
Average loss$0.00
Profit factorn/a
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)73.81%
drawdown periodFeb 25, 2010 to April 26, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P-0.122
Sharpe ratio0.405
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss75.0%
Chance of 20% account loss70.6%
Chance of 30% account loss50.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.2%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.40
Average P/L per unit traded$27.67


Reviews


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System Description

Individuals that look for frequency of trading within a given options strategy are often disappointed with the long-term results. In most cases, the less you trade, the better you will do in the long run and the long run is what matters most. This options trading strategy uses our proprietary models to take advantage of sentiment and technical extremes. We are proud to be one of the only stock options-based newsletters to offer recommendations based on sentiment and technical extremes in the market. This options strategy requires patience coupled with a disciplined approach. The strategy will make approximately, on average 1 to 3 recommendations a month with holding periods of 1 to 15 days; however, there will be some months when no recommendations are made. The key to this options trading strategy is patience. Waiting for the appropriate scenario to recommend trades with a high probability of success is what makes this strategy a success. DIA, IWM, SPY and QQQQ are the underlyings of choice for the ETF Extremes Options Strategy.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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$89.95 per month, only if profitableDetails

This is a pay-for-performance system. Subscriptions cost $89.95 at the end of each month, but only if the system has made profitable recommendations for the period.

To determine profitability, we do not look at your brokerage account, nor do we take into consideration whether you actually placed the trades recommended here. We simply measure the system's hypothetical track record here on the Collective2 Web site, without factoring fees or commissions. You will not be charged unless the sum of the trades during the period was profitable. (Also, we want to reassure you that a "month" means a full 30-day period. That is, you are billed only if the last 30 days' worth of trade recommendations were profitable. So it's safe to subscribe at the end of a calendar month; you'll still get 30 days' worth of trades.)



 

Overview

This options trading strategy uses our proprietary models to take advantage of sentiment and technical extremes.
read more...

- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$10,000
Buy Power$15,260
Cash$15,260
Equity$0
Cumulative $$5,260
Total System Equity$15,260
Margined$0
Open P/L$0


System Forum

All
ETF Extremes Strategy Up 19.5% YTD
Andrew Crowder at 2/25/10 17:48ET

Check out the latest trade in the ETF Extremes options strategy at the following link: http://etfextremes.collective2.com The ETF Extreme...

Market Trade Bound
Andrew Crowder at 1/26/10 22:35ET

Tomorrow should provide the fuel for a decent move tomorrow given the FOMC. I would guess that the short-term trading range that we have ent...

Market Advances Slightly
Andrew Crowder at 1/25/10 18:12ET

Based on several indicators I follow I decided to hold off on a trade this morning. The bulls had problems pushing the market higher, but we...

Market Hits Short-Term Extreme
Andrew Crowder at 1/24/10 14:12ET

As you can see from the overbought/oversold levels below the market has hit a short-term oversold extreme. The Wilder RSI (2) for both the N...

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