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eminialerts




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2010                     (4.5%)+32.2%+34.7%+8.4%(0.1%)(3.2%)(6.4%)(6.7%)(11.4%)
2011(14.7%)+2.2%(7.6%)(4.9%)+2.8%+0.4%(5.9%)+0.7%(12.3%)(1.5%)+1.8%(0.1%)
2012(24.4%)(43%)(5.2%)(50.4%)+297.5%(30.9%)(26%)(124.7%)(99.9%)(23.6%)(424.1%)(12.8%)
2013(43.3%)(78.4%)(16.7%)(39.1%)(7.8%)                                          
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Futures
Strategies Technical analysis
System started 4/9/2010 (38 months ago)
System developer E-minialerts
(Last login to C2: 5/21/13 7:39)
C2 Score: 694



Recently Closed Trades

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by 3 hours.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
5/17/13 8:36 SELL 1 @ESM3 E-MINI S&P 500 1653.50 5/17
14:45
1660.25 Normal ($352)
5/16/13 10:24 BUY 1 @YMM3 MINI DOW 15244 5/16
11:16
15274 Low $136
5/16/13 7:35 SELL 1 @ESM3 E-MINI S&P 500 1654.50 5/16
10:15
1654.50 Low ($14)
5/16/13 7:36 SELL 1 @YMM3 MINI DOW 15240 5/16
10:14
15240 Low ($14)
5/16/13 8:24 SELL 1 @TFSM3 Emini Russell 986.40 5/16
10:07
982.60 Low $366
5/14/13 14:26 SELL 1 @YMM3 MINI DOW 15140 5/14
15:20
15151 Low ($69)
5/14/13 7:22 SELL 1 @YMM3 MINI DOW 15032 5/14
8:15
15078 Low ($244)
5/14/13 7:11 SELL 1 @ESM3 E-MINI S&P 500 1628.25 5/14
8:15
1634.25 Normal ($314)
5/14/13 7:19 SELL 1 @EMDM3 Mini Midcap 400 1184.30 5/14
8:14
1188.30 Normal ($414)
5/13/13 12:27 BUY 1 @ESM3 E-MINI S&P 500 1631.50 5/13
15:46
1630.25 Low ($77)
5/13/13 7:56 SELL 1 @YMM3 MINI DOW 15039 5/13
14:59
15058 Low ($109)
5/13/13 11:55 SELL 1 @TFSM3 Emini Russell 973.10 5/13
14:09
970.80 Low $216
5/13/13 8:32 SELL 1 @ESM3 E-MINI S&P 500 1626.50 5/13
11:35
1630.25 Low ($202)
5/10/13 9:32 SELL 1 @ESM3 E-MINI S&P 500 1626.50 5/10
10:36
1621.75 Low $224
5/10/13 8:15 BUY 1 @YMM3 MINI DOW 15068 5/10
9:41
15041 Low ($149)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades1,298
# Profitable609 (46.9%)
# months tracked38
Profitable months9 (23.7%)
Avg trade duration2.2 hours
Annual return (compounded)15.9%
Average win$204
Average loss$172
Profit factor1.0:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)56.79%
drawdown periodOct 04, 2010 to Nov 14, 2012
Correlation w/ S&P-0.039
Sharpe ratio0.441
Keep after worst-case slippage -88.4%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss73.5%
Chance of 20% account loss49.5%
Chance of 30% account loss28.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.01
Average P/L per unit traded$2.65


Reviews


 
Oct 8, 2010 from AutoTrader

Too bad the growth trend of earlier months isn't repeated. I joined as the system goes flat. At least it is hanging on and not losing money on average. Glad the system seems to manage to make just slightly more money in a winning trade than the money lost in a losing trade. But would like to see 5%+ monthly growth soon to justify the cost of subscription + frequent trading commissions and slippage.

 
Aug 20, 2010 from AutoTrader

Although my month with eminialerts was not profitable, the previous two months makes me think this system has potential. I may jump back in after a more developed track record Thomas was quick to answer questions. Stops are entered just after trade opened and for the most part small dd. I was manually trading but several trades I couldn’t get the same entries or my order didn’t get filled at all while their order seemed to get filled at the market which started to get frustrating, however, that may be more of a function of C2’s than eminialerts

 
July 21, 2010 from Subscriber

Impressive equity curve, but beware of the hidden risks with this system. If you download the historical trades you'll see a couple of trades with really big drawdowns (17% and 22%). Those trades recovered, but sooner or later the market will keep moving against one of those highly leveraged positions. It's too much risk for me, so I unsubscribed before I started trading it.

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Overview

Emini trading involving the trend and counter trend trading of emini contracts.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$10,000
Buy Power$15,827
Cash$1
Equity$1
Cumulative $$5,827
Total System Equity$15,827
Margined$1
Open P/L$0
System vendor has delayed data by 3 hours for non-subs.


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