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OS Long Only 2




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2010                                                               +1.1%+0.6%+9.7%
2011+0.7%+1.1%+1.5%+4.5%+3.0%(4.1%)+3.7%(21.7%)(19.8%)+2.9%+1.0%  -  
2012  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2013  -    -    -    -    -                                            
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Stocks
Strategies Buy undervalue, Technical analysis, Market timing, Unclassified
System started 10/12/2010 (32 months ago)
System developer Optimum Systems
(Last login to C2: 6/7/12 0:45)
C2 Score: 985

Vendor has created 3 other systems. Show



Recently Closed Trades

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
10/3/11 10:00 BUY 33 CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC. 299.00 10/10
14:28
307.32 Low $273
10/5/11 10:01 BUY 33 MA MASTERCARD INC CL A 306.89 10/10
10:00
320.64 Low $452
10/3/11 10:01 BUY 205 LULU LULULEMON ATHLTCA INC 48.22 10/7
10:00
51.31 Low $629
10/3/11 10:01 BUY 302 HSNI HSN INC 32.75 10/7
10:00
32.63 Low ($42)
10/3/11 10:00 BUY 145 MJN MEAD JOHNSON NUTRITION 69.17 10/7
10:00
70.00 Low $117
10/3/11 10:01 BUY 569 MG MISTRAS GROUP 17.78 10/5
10:01
20.15 Low $1,338
9/26/11 10:48 BUY 249 PSMT PRICESMART INC 66.14 10/3
10:01
60.87 Low ($1,317)
9/30/11 10:00 BUY 628 RGR STURM RUGER & CO INC 26.69 10/3
10:01
25.81 Low ($566)
9/30/11 10:00 BUY 239 MJN MEAD JOHNSON NUTRITION 69.85 10/3
10:00
69.12 Low ($179)
9/30/11 10:00 BUY 939 MG MISTRAS GROUP 18.02 10/3
10:00
17.74 Low ($282)
9/30/11 13:23 BUY 54 CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC. 304.27 10/3
10:00
297.68 Low ($358)
9/26/11 10:00 BUY 1,459 NGD NEW GOLD 11.65 9/30
10:00
10.12 Normal ($2,261)
9/26/11 10:00 BUY 383 LVS LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP 42.66 9/30
10:00
38.18 Normal ($1,724)
9/22/11 10:00 BUY 1,371 CBOU CARIBOU COFFEE COMPANY 12.00 9/28
13:00
12.76 Low $1,015
9/22/11 10:00 BUY 875 LMNX LUMINEX CORPORATION 19.93 9/27
13:00
22.41 Low $2,153

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades249
# Profitable142 (57.0%)
# months tracked32
Profitable months11 (34.4%)
Avg trade duration6.4 days
Annual return (compounded)-6.6%
Average win$466
Average loss$776
Profit factor0.8:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)39.15%
drawdown periodJuly 21, 2011 to Oct 04, 2011
Correlation w/ S&P0.374
Sharpe ratio-0.727
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.11
Average P/L per unit traded($0.13)
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account$457


Reviews


 
April 21, 2011 from Subscriber

I have been following OS2 for several months and it works. Although there are losing trades, the system has been profitable every month. The pros:- no drawdown yet, though the developer claims when it does happen, it will be very small. Easy to follow system. Instructions could not be clearer The cons - a lot of trades which means checking your e-mail before the market opens and again before it closes because, depending on the futures/how the market is going, planned trades are often cancelled. Also because of the subscription expenses, trade commissions and auto trade costs, you need a large initial investment to make a decent profit.

Rebuttal, posted on April 21, 2011 by system developer:

Thank you for the honest review.

Regarding the planned trades that are cancelled, there are two main reasons for this.

1) An OCA has been issued the previous night that covers 2 or more securities. C2 will automatically cancel 1 or more associated buy orders after this first has been filled. The OCA feature is employed to help prevent margin from being used.

2) The buying power dips below a predefined level. When this happens, C2 will automatically "Cancel pending opening orders when Buying Power drops below" this threshold. The buying power restriction has been implemented to help prevent margin from being used.

System Description

This is a conservative long only system, which buys undervalued/oversold securities. All entry signals and most exit signals are EOD, however intraday exit signals may be incorporated to reduce exposure during volatile periods (weekend, holiday, news, etc.). As there is no shorting, may be suitable for IRA accounts.

System expectations:
No performance can be guaranteed, and the actual real-world results may be vastly different from these expectations
1) High win rate: Greater than 60%
2) Low portfolio draw: Less than 10%
3) Low per trade risk: Less than 2% of portfolio value
3) Average trade duration: Greater than 6 days
4) Consistent and steady profit: Greater than 80% profitable months.
5) Average 6 open positions
6) No margin (See Update 5/31/11)
7) No shorting
8) EOD trade "entry" signals
9) High Correlation to S&P 500: greater than .4

Update 5/31/11: Occasional margin usage will be allowed
For a subscriber that wants to return to the position management that was used prior to 6/1/11 (using no margin) simply multiply the position size being used in C2 by 70% and restrict your portfolio to 7 positions.

An example may be helpful. Let’s say my C2 system and your account both start with 100K portfolio.
C2 will initiate up to 10 positions at $20,000 each.
You will initiate up to 7 positions at $14,000 (20K * 70%) each.


DISCLAIMER:
The risk of loss in trading securities can be substantial. Investors should consider all relevant risk factors including their own personal financial situation before trading.

While no system can guarantee risk-free or low-risk trading, and while unforeseen events can cause you to lose all your money, we do make a special efforts to control risk

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Five-day free trial, then $0 per month Details

There is a free trial period of 5 days before you are charged. You may cancel at any time before this (we send you an email at least a day before, to remind you, so there are no surprises.)

Then, after the trial, you will be charged $0 per month. (That is, we will charge you every 30 days - not when the month name on the calendar changes. So it's okay to sign up towards the end of a calendar month. You'll still get a full 30 days.)



Or... Want to try AutoTrading without risking real money? Trade this with $100,000 simulated dollars, for free.

 

Overview

This is a conservative long only system which buys undervalued/oversold securities. All entry signals and most exit signals are EOD however intraday exit signals may be incorporated to reduce exposure during volatile periods (weekend holiday news etc.). As there is no shorting may be suitable for IRA accounts.
read more...

- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$100,000
Buy Power$83,584
Cash$1
Equity$1
Cumulative $*($16,416)
Dividends Itemized
Total System Equity$83,584
Margined$1
Open P/L$0
System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs.


System Forum

All
Disciplined Trading...to Profitable Trading
CEO Optimum at 7/22/11 16:10ET

I believe being disciplined is one of the key attributes that lead to success in trading. I saw the following article and thought it migh...

New Highs
CEO Optimum at 7/21/11 23:47ET

Congratulations to those subscribers that have been following this mature methodology. We are now completing our 10 month of C2 existence w...

Changes To Margin Usage
CEO Optimum at 6/13/11 17:37ET

Hi Frank, Good observations. I'm glad to respond. At a high level… Average exposure = Average daily portfolio value (without margin)...

Changes To Margin Usage
Frank Alden at 6/13/11 12:06ET

Just for clarity, some definitions: day exposure = positions held / positions allowed avg exposure = sum of all day exposures in period / ...

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