Gold & Silver Metal Miners

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
2011	(4.4%)	+6.2%	+4.1%	+6.2%	(6.8%)	(5%)	+2.8%	+0.4%	(10.2%)	+5.2%	(1.7%)	(10.8%)
2012	+12.2%	+0.7%	(9.8%)	(7.5%)	(7.1%)	(4%)	+0.2%	+7.6%	+7.5%	(5.3%)	(7.1%)	+2.9%
2013	(2.3%)	(17.9%)	+4.2%	(15%)	+3.3%

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Technical Analysis: Moving Average daysX

Instruments

Stocks

Strategies

Buy undervalue, Sell overvalue, Technical analysis, Market timing

System started

1/3/2011 (29 months ago)

System developer

Metal Augmentor

(Last login to C2: 5/17/13 15:15)
C2 Score: 988

Vendor has created 2 other systems. Show
The name of this system has been changed 4 times. Show

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.

Note that the system currently has an open, losing position which is not being displayed to non-subscribers.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ET	B/S	#	Symbol		Price	Closed	Price	Risk	P/L
1/21/11 15:56	BUY	600	TSX.DPM	DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS INC	CAD 8.07	3/7/13 13:12	CAD 8.70	Low	$371
1/6/11 9:45	BUY	10,000	TSX.MLN	MARLIN GOLD MINING LTD	CAD 0.16	1/25/13 14:58	CAD 0.10	Low	($843)
10/12/11 15:35	BUY	2,000	TSX.PDG	PRODIGY GOLD INC	CAD 0.59	10/18/12 9:41	CAD 0.99	Low	$748
6/27/11 13:40	BUY	1,000	TSX.BCM	BEAR CREEK MINING CORP	CAD 3.74	10/5/12 9:34	CAD 3.75	Low	($12)
1/21/11 15:57	BUY	800	TSX.CGA	CGA MINING LTD	CAD 2.74	9/19/12 14:42	CAD 2.81	Low	$44
1/6/11 9:43	BUY	950	TSX.FVI	FORTUNA SILVER MINES INC	CAD 5.08	9/14/12 13:54	CAD 5.37	Low	$266
1/14/11 15:51	BUY	2,000	TSX.ATC	ATAC RESOURCES LTD	CAD 3.40	9/13/12 13:55	CAD 2.46	High	($1,941)
4/27/11 15:51	BUY	5,000	TSX.SSH	SMASH MINERALS CORP.	CAD 0.97	4/27/12 16:01	CAD 0.38	Normal	($3,241)
1/6/11 9:42	BUY	120	MFN	MINEFINDERS	10.36	2/10/12 10:42	15.48	Low	$610
3/31/11 15:30	BUY	1,000	TSX.SRL	SALAZAR RESOURCES LIMITED	CAD 0.92	1/12/12 13:01	CAD 0.62	Low	($335)
6/10/11 15:23	BUY	1,000	TSX.EPZ	ESPERANZA RESOURCES CORP	CAD 1.45	12/23 11:37	CAD 1.27	Low	($204)
9/23/11 15:47	BUY	5,000	TSX.RBX	RESSOURCES ROBEX INC	CAD 0.19	12/23 11:36	CAD 0.19	n/a	($100)
10/24/11 15:50	BUY	1,500	TSX.SOL	SOLTORO LTD	CAD 0.79	12/23 11:35	CAD 0.81	Low	$0
4/20/11 11:58	BUY	600	BOM	POWERSHARES DB BASE METALS D	10.62	12/7 12:56	14.54	Low	$2,339
1/6/11 10:03	BUY	1,500	TSX.FCV	FOCUS VENTURES LTD	CAD 0.52	9/8 14:07	CAD 0.28	Low	($399)

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ET	B/S	#	Symbol		Price	Closed	Close Price	Risk	P/L
1/21/11 15:56	BUY	600	TSX.DPM	DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS INC	CAD 8.07	3/7/13 13:12	CAD 8.70	Low	$371
1/21/11 15:56	BTO	150	TSX.DPM		7.61
1/28/11 15:53	BTO	50	TSX.DPM		7.93
2/1/11 15:58	BTO	100	TSX.DPM		7.80
2/22/11 9:59	BTO	100	TSX.DPM		8.87
2/23/11 9:59	BTO	100	TSX.DPM		8.30
2/23/11 14:03	BTO	100	TSX.DPM		8.04
10/4/12 13:41	STC	300	TSX.DPM		9.43
Nothing wrong with Dundee, just taking some profits and trading into cash in a market that appears to be following the path of our short term market outlook that calls for a pullback after a September repair rally. Market update forthcoming.
3/7/13 13:12	STC	300	TSX.DPM		7.97
1/6/11 9:45	BUY	10,000	TSX.MLN	MARLIN GOLD MINING LTD	CAD 0.16	1/25/13 14:58	CAD 0.10	Low	($843)
1/6/11 9:45	BTO	1,000	TSX.MLN		0.38
12/23/11 15:04	BTO	9,000	TSX.MLN		0.14
1/25/13 14:58	STC	10,000	TSX.MLN		0.10
10/12/11 15:35	BUY	2,000	TSX.PDG	PRODIGY GOLD INC	CAD 0.59	10/18/12 9:41	CAD 0.99	Low	$748
10/12/11 15:35	BTO	2,000	TSX.PDG		0.59
10/18/12 9:41	STC	2,000	TSX.PDG		0.99
6/27/11 13:40	BUY	1,000	TSX.BCM	BEAR CREEK MINING CORP	CAD 3.74	10/5/12 9:34	CAD 3.75	Low	($12)
6/27/11 13:40	BTO	600	TSX.BCM		3.83
8/25/11 15:43	BTO	200	TSX.BCM		3.79
12/23/11 15:02	BTO	200	TSX.BCM		3.43
10/5/12 9:34	STC	1,000	TSX.BCM		3.75
1/21/11 15:57	BUY	800	TSX.CGA	CGA MINING LTD	CAD 2.74	9/19/12 14:42	CAD 2.81	Low	$44
1/21/11 15:57	BTO	400	TSX.CGA		2.65
3/10/11 15:24	BTO	400	TSX.CGA		2.82
9/19/12 14:42	STC	800	TSX.CGA		2.81
1/6/11 9:43	BUY	950	TSX.FVI	FORTUNA SILVER MINES INC	CAD 5.08	9/14/12 13:54	CAD 5.37	Low	$266
1/6/11 9:43	BTO	400	TSX.FVI		4.61
1/24/11 11:58	BTO	150	TSX.FVI		3.77
3/4/11 14:26	STC	150	TSX.FVI		5.66
3/6/12 10:57	BTO	200	TSX.FVI		6.03
3/6/12 11:00	BTO	200	TSX.FVI		6.03
9/11/12 14:49	STC	400	TSX.FVI		5.11
Fortuna is a trading position and it has rebounded strongly off the lows. We're selling half our remaining position and booking modest profits in this silver production story in order to make room for an opening position in an emerging silver producer story, Huldra Silver. See our latest Remark on Fortuna for more color: www.metalaugmentor.com/our-portfolios/overview/
9/14/12 13:54	STC	400	TSX.FVI		5.53
1/14/11 15:51	BUY	2,000	TSX.ATC	ATAC RESOURCES LTD	CAD 3.40	9/13/12 13:55	CAD 2.46	High	($1,941)
1/14/11 15:51	BTO	200	TSX.ATC		5.48
9/22/11 15:54	BTO	200	TSX.ATC		4.20
9/22/11 15:55	BTO	200	TSX.ATC		4.14
10/4/11 15:59	BTO	400	TSX.ATC		3.38
12/15/11 13:37	BTO	200	TSX.ATC		2.28
12/23/11 15:01	BTO	300	TSX.ATC		2.51
3/6/12 10:55	BTO	500	TSX.ATC		2.95
9/13/12 13:55	STC	2,000	TSX.ATC		2.46
4/27/11 15:51	BUY	5,000	TSX.SSH	SMASH MINERALS CORP.	CAD 0.97	4/27/12 16:01	CAD 0.38	Normal	($3,241)
4/27/11 15:51	BTO	1,000	TSX.SSH		1.12
4/29/11 15:45	BTO	1,000	TSX.SSH		1.05
5/3/11 15:34	BTO	1,000	TSX.SSH		1.05
8/8/11 14:09	BTO	1,000	TSX.SSH		0.94
9/22/11 15:57	BTO	1,000	TSX.SSH		0.70
4/27/12 16:01	STC	5,000	TSX.SSH		0.38
1/6/11 9:42	BUY	120	MFN	MINEFINDERS	10.36	2/10/12 10:42	15.48	Low	$610
1/6/11 9:42	BTO	80	MFN		10.74
1/28/11 15:53	BTO	40	MFN		9.61
4/27/11 15:14	STC	40	MFN		16.84
2/10/12 10:42	STC	80	MFN		14.80
3/31/11 15:30	BUY	1,000	TSX.SRL	SALAZAR RESOURCES LIMITED	CAD 0.92	1/12/12 13:01	CAD 0.62	Low	($335)
3/31/11 15:30	BTO	500	TSX.SRL		1.06
8/10/11 15:40	BTO	500	TSX.SRL		0.79
1/12/12 13:01	STC	1,000	TSX.SRL		0.62
6/10/11 15:23	BUY	1,000	TSX.EPZ	ESPERANZA RESOURCES CORP	CAD 1.45	12/23 11:37	CAD 1.27	Low	($204)
6/10/11 15:23	BTO	1,000	TSX.EPZ		1.45
12/23/11 11:37	STC	1,000	TSX.EPZ		1.27
9/23/11 15:47	BUY	5,000	TSX.RBX	RESSOURCES ROBEX INC	CAD 0.19	12/23 11:36	CAD 0.19	n/a	($100)
9/23/11 15:47	BTO	5,000	TSX.RBX		0.20
12/23/11 11:36	STC	5,000	TSX.RBX		0.20
10/24/11 15:50	BUY	1,500	TSX.SOL	SOLTORO LTD	CAD 0.79	12/23 11:35	CAD 0.81	Low	$0
10/24/11 15:50	BTO	1,500	TSX.SOL		0.79
12/23/11 11:35	STC	1,500	TSX.SOL		0.81
4/20/11 11:58	BUY	600	BOM	POWERSHARES DB BASE METALS D	10.62	12/7 12:56	14.54	Low	$2,339
4/20/11 11:58	BTO	100	BOM		10.02
4/26/11 14:59	BTO	100	BOM		10.32
4/28/11 13:21	BTO	100	BOM		10.48
5/3/11 15:31	BTO	100	BOM		10.44
5/20/11 15:24	BTO	100	BOM		11.64
6/7/11 15:31	BTO	100	BOM		10.83
9/23/11 13:40	STC	200	BOM		14.91
10/12/11 15:32	STC	100	BOM		13.83
10/19/11 14:38	STC	100	BOM		15.34
11/23/11 15:28	STC	100	BOM		14.76
12/7/11 12:56	STC	100	BOM		13.49
1/6/11 10:03	BUY	1,500	TSX.FCV	FOCUS VENTURES LTD	CAD 0.52	9/8 14:07	CAD 0.28	Low	($399)
1/6/11 10:03	BTO	1,500	TSX.FCV		0.52
9/8/11 14:07	STC	1,500	TSX.FCV		0.28

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Statistics

Analytics

All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades	50
# Profitable	17 (34.0%)
# months tracked	29
Profitable months	14 (48.3%)
Avg trade duration	400.1 days
Annual return (compounded)	-21.0%
Average win	$1,044
Average loss	$1,860
Profit factor	0.3:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)	56.68%
drawdown period	April 29, 2011 to April 18, 2013
Correlation w/ S&P	0.169
Sharpe ratio	-1.255
Keep after worst-case slippage	100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss
Chance of 10% account loss	100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss	100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss	100.0%

Chance of 50% account loss	0.7%
Chance of 100% account loss	0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)	-0.79
Average P/L per unit traded	$0.80
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account	$684

Reviews

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System Description

This trading system is maintained by Metal Augmentor, and is a part of our premium subscription package. Visit http://www.metalaugmentor.com to learn more.

IMPORTANT: Normal system price of $25 per quarter. If our system underperforms a 50/50 allocation to Gold and Silver during any given calendar quarter the subscription price will be lowered to $5 for the subsequent billing period.

More aggressive positioning in warrants, options, or futures may be considered from time to time, but this is not the focus of our Gold & Silver portfolio.

Asset allocation will primarily be determined through fundamental and technical analysis of the full universe of gold and silver exploration, development, and production companies.

We maintain a proprietary database containing detailed financial and project information on hundreds of gold and silver companies in order to evaluate companies on a comparative basis to determine which provide the best relative value.

Our comparable valuation model has been built with customization in mind. For example, in the model we are easily able to determine a company's leverage to various metal price scenarios. This can be especially useful for evaluating gold and silver companies that have exposure to significant by-product base metal credits (e.g. copper, zinc, lead).

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Report

Dividends Itemized
Started	$100,000
Buy Power	$36,902
Cash	$1
Equity	$1
Cumulative $*	($42,954)
Total System Equity	$57,045
Margined	$1
Open P/L	($42,528)
System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs.

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