ziggy
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2011 - (0.6%) (1.7%) (2.5%) (7.4%) (3.9%) +15.7% (24.3%) +31.0% (9.5%) (11.1%) 2012 +9.7% +8.8% +5.0% (9%) (11.3%) (2.4%) +4.8% (7.6%) +0.8% +1.3% (15.5%) +4.2% 2013 +8.0% (16.3%) (3.4%) (3.1%) +13.8% (2.2%)
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options.
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Standard | Monte Carlo Technical Analysis: Moving Average
day
s X Moving average must be less than age of system, which is 841 days.
Instruments
Stocks
Strategies
Technical analysis, Market timing
System started
2/28/2011 (28 months ago)
System developer
Al
(Last login to C2: 6/19/13 15:27)
C2 Score: 975
Vendor has created 3 other systems. Show
The name of this system has been changed 2 times. Show Original name Changed to When changed Pendulum Swing StochRSI(7) test 7/1/11 14:28 StochRSI(7) test ziggy 7/6/11 0:19
What is the C2 Score?
Collective2 rates every trading system creator in its database and assigns a score between 100 and 1000. In general, a rating above 500 is good. A rating above 700 is excellent.
Collective2 Ratings are recalculated daily based on the entire performance history in our database. The exact formula we use is proprietary, but there are several key variables that go into the Collective2 Rating.
One of the most important factors is the length of time we have been able to observe the performance of the trader.
Another key factor is the amount by which the trader over-performs or under-performs the S&P 500 index.
Finally, the choppiness of the trader's results is taken into account. Certainly a more consistent system creator will be rated more highly than a system creator with erratic results.
Recently Closed Trades CSV Details Note: system has an open, losing position which is not being displayed to non-subscribers.
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Price Risk P/L
8/9/11 11:12
BUY
350
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
114.05
8/1012:37
113.72
Normal
($123)
8/9/11 9:33
SELL
350
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
114.07
8/911:11
114.05
Low
$0
7/27/11 15:44
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
130.71
8/99:30
114.07
Low
$4,653
7/20/11 9:32
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
133.07
7/2715:44
130.71
Normal
($667)
7/18/11 15:53
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
130.57
7/209:31
133.07
Normal
($706)
6/28/11 15:46
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
129.48
7/1815:53
130.57
Low
$299
6/27/11 15:59
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
127.96
6/2815:46
129.48
Low
($432)
6/27/11 15:44
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
128.20
6/2715:59
127.96
Low
($73)
6/24/11 12:27
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
127.13
6/2715:44
128.20
Low
($306)
6/20/11 15:40
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
127.73
6/2412:27
127.13
Low
($174)
6/7/11 9:30
BUY
208
SDS
PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500
86.76
6/2015:40
88.28
Low
$312
4/25/11 9:32
BUY
720
SSO
PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500
54.09
6/69:33
51.08
High
($2,181)
4/13/11 9:36
BUY
450
SDS
PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500
84.32
4/259:32
82.12
Normal
($999)
4/1/11 9:33
BUY
750
SSO
PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500
54.14
4/139:32
52.84
Normal
($990)
3/29/11 9:31
BUY
250
SDS
PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500
85.88
4/19:33
82.64
Normal
($815)
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Close Price Risk P/L
8/9/11 11:12
BUY
350
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
114.05
8/1012:37
113.72
Normal
($123)
8/9/11 11:12
BTO
350
SPY
114.05
8/10/11 12:37
STC
350
SPY
113.72
8/9/11 9:33
SELL
350
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
114.07
8/911:11
114.05
Low
$0
8/9/11 9:33
STO
350
SPY
114.07
8/9/11 11:11
BTC
350
SPY
114.05
7/27/11 15:44
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
130.71
8/99:30
114.07
Low
$4,653
7/27/11 15:44
STO
280
SPY
130.71
8/9/11 9:30
BTC
280
SPY
114.07
7/20/11 9:32
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
133.07
7/2715:44
130.71
Normal
($667)
7/20/11 9:32
BTO
280
SPY
133.07
7/27/11 15:44
STC
280
SPY
130.71
7/18/11 15:53
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
130.57
7/209:31
133.07
Normal
($706)
7/18/11 15:53
STO
280
SPY
130.57
7/20/11 9:31
BTC
280
SPY
133.07
6/28/11 15:46
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
129.48
7/1815:53
130.57
Low
$299
6/28/11 15:46
BTO
280
SPY
129.48
7/18/11 15:53
STC
280
SPY
130.57
6/27/11 15:59
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
127.96
6/2815:46
129.48
Low
($432)
6/27/11 15:59
STO
280
SPY
127.96
6/28/11 15:46
BTC
280
SPY
129.48
6/27/11 15:44
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
128.20
6/2715:59
127.96
Low
($73)
6/27/11 15:44
BTO
280
SPY
128.20
6/27/11 15:59
STC
280
SPY
127.96
6/24/11 12:27
SELL
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
127.13
6/2715:44
128.20
Low
($306)
6/24/11 12:27
STO
280
SPY
127.13
6/27/11 15:44
BTC
280
SPY
128.20
6/20/11 15:40
BUY
280
SPY
STANDARD & POOR'S DEPOSITARY
127.73
6/2412:27
127.13
Low
($174)
6/20/11 15:40
BTO
280
SPY
127.73
6/24/11 12:27
STC
280
SPY
127.13
6/7/11 9:30
BUY
208
SDS
PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500
86.76
6/2015:40
88.28
Low
$312
6/7/11 9:30
BTO
208
SDS
86.76
6/20/11 15:40
STC
208
SDS
88.28
4/25/11 9:32
BUY
720
SSO
PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500
54.09
6/69:33
51.08
High
($2,181)
4/25/11 9:32
BTO
720
SSO
54.09
6/6/11 9:33
STC
720
SSO
51.08
4/13/11 9:36
BUY
450
SDS
PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500
84.32
4/259:32
82.12
Normal
($999)
4/13/11 9:36
BTO
450
SDS
84.32
4/25/11 9:32
STC
450
SDS
82.12
4/1/11 9:33
BUY
750
SSO
PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500
54.14
4/139:32
52.84
Normal
($990)
4/1/11 9:33
BTO
375
SSO
53.96
4/6/11 9:40
BTO
375
SSO
54.32
4/13/11 9:32
STC
750
SSO
52.84
3/29/11 9:31
BUY
250
SDS
PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500
85.88
4/19:33
82.64
Normal
($815)
3/29/11 9:31
BTO
250
SDS
85.88
4/1/11 9:33
STC
250
SDS
82.64
<< More recent
Statistics Analytics All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results Trades 21 # Profitable 7 (33.3%) # months tracked 29 Profitable months 11 (37.9%) Avg trade duration 39.5 days Annual Return -15.7% Average win $939 Average loss $1,498 Profit factor 0.3:1 Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) 45.5% drawdown period March 08, 2011 to April 06, 2013 Correlation w/ S&P 0.264 Sharpe ratio -0.661 Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0% Probabilities of future account loss   Chance of 10% account loss 100.0% Chance of 20% account loss 100.0% Chance of 30% account loss 100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss 0.3% Chance of 100% account loss 0.0% Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) -0.83 Average P/L per unit traded $0.13
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testing an idea
read more... - This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Model Account Status Started $40,000 Buy Power $6,512 Cash $19,170 Equity ($12,657) Cumulative $ ($14,394) Total System Equity $25,605 Margined $0 Open P/L ($12,657)
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