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Iron Box .618




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2011              (9.6%)(17.5%)(58.2%)(8.1%)+1.1%+97.2%(46.7%)(259%)(1.6%)(1.5%)
2012(1.5%)(1.4%)(1.5%)(1.4%)(2.8%)(1.4%)(1.4%)  -  (1.3%)(1.3%)(2.6%)(1.3%)
2013(1.3%)  -  (1.2%)(1.2%)(1.2%)                                          
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Mostly Futures; (some stocks, options)
Strategies Technical analysis, Volatility trading, Market timing, Unclassified
System started 3/8/2011 (27 months ago)
System developer Elixir 1.618
(Last login to C2: 2/27/12 12:33)
C2 Score: 40

Vendor has created 1 other system. Show
The name of this system has been changed 2 times. Show
StatusThis system is no longer supported.



Recently Closed Trades

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by 13 hours.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
10/7/11 0:24 SELL 1 @CDZ1 CANADIAN DOLLAR 0.9622 10/7
7:50
0.9657 Very ($364)
10/6/11 16:41 SELL 1 @EUZ1 EUROFX 1.3427 10/6
16:48
1.3430 Low ($52)
10/6/11 16:34 SELL 1 @EUZ1 EUROFX 1.3429 10/6
16:39
1.3429 Low ($14)
10/6/11 8:28 SELL 1 @EUZ1 EUROFX 1.3264 10/6
16:21
1.3432 Extreme ($2,114)
10/6/11 8:20 SELL 1 @BPZ1 BRITISH POUND 1.5277 10/6
15:34
1.5431 Extreme ($977)
10/5/11 22:40 SELL 1 @SFZ1 SWISS FRANC 1.0825 10/6
2:04
1.0858 Normal ($427)
10/5/11 16:29 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1642.90 10/5
17:12
1643.10 Normal $6
10/5/11 16:23 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1642.30 10/5
16:26
1642 Low ($44)
10/5/11 15:48 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1641.60 10/5
16:14
1641 Normal ($74)
10/5/11 15:25 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1637.20 10/5
15:45
1641 Low $366
10/5/11 15:15 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1639.40 10/5
15:19
1638.80 Low ($74)
10/5/11 14:40 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1635.80 10/5
14:44
1635.30 Low ($64)
10/5/11 14:37 SELL 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1635.20 10/5
14:39
1635.10 Low ($4)
10/5/11 14:21 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1640.60 10/5
14:28
1640.20 Low ($54)
10/5/11 13:16 BUY 1 QGCZ1 Gold 100 oz 1644.60 10/5
13:19
1643.60 Normal ($114)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades1,379
# Profitable632 (45.8%)
# months tracked27
Profitable months2 (7.4%)
Avg trade duration19.7 hours
Annual return (compounded)-53.3%
Average win$81
Average loss$90
Profit factor0.8:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)81.85%
drawdown periodMarch 18, 2011 to Oct 12, 2011
Correlation w/ S&P-0.232
Sharpe ratio-1.733
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss95.1%
Chance of 20% account loss76.2%
Chance of 30% account loss9.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.38
Average P/L per unit traded($8.51)


Reviews


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System Description

OBJECTIVE:

Consistent risk adjusted returns using LESS THAN HALF of your capital.
Generate outsized returns using 90% of your capital.
Retain 10% cash at all times for liquidity purposes.

System Attributes
Recommended minimum account size $10,000
Available Subscription openings 10
Next subscription opening New subscribers welcome
Autotrading Highly Recommended
Recommended Trading Ratios
subscriber 1:2 or (50%) $10,000
subscriber 1:1 or (100%) $20,000
subscriber 2:1 or (200%) $40,000

This system intends to use very little cash on a regular basis, yet can immediately use up to 90% of your cash if an outsized opportunity presents itself.

Most trading days are ended flat where overnight trading may take place in the currency, metals, energies or other futures markets.

Some positions may be held overnight if the situation warrants this demanding more cash collateral in the form of maintenance margin or initial margin.

You must have at least $10,000 in available funds, otherwise you will not be able to trade some of the system signals and or risk getting your account restricted.

See http://elixir618.wordpress.com for more details.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Overview

Consistent risk-adjusted returns using LESS THAN HALF of your capital. Generate outsized returns using 90% of your capital. Retain 10% cash at all times for liquidity purposes. Minimum account size $10000; Available Subscription openings 10; Next subscription opening New subscribers welcome. See http://elixir618.wordpress.com for more details.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$20,000
Buy Power$3,699
Cash$1
Equity$1
Cumulative $*($16,300)
Dividends Itemized
Total System Equity$3,699
Margined$1
Open P/L$0
System vendor has delayed data by 13 hours for non-subs.


System Forum

All
Reducing Size...1:1
Eli Jones at 10/3/11 17:05ET

Was trading the oz dollar today and had some large drawdowns that I finally had worked over. I was positive for the day going into the US eq...

FINAL week of September
Eli Jones at 9/30/11 17:21ET

As I have been working through subject matter in the disciplined trader it has caused some adverse effects. Poor trades represented here...

Trading Signal Failure CAUSED by USER
Eli Jones at 9/30/11 17:14ET

Matt's timely response was excellent and restores confidence in knowing that if there is a serious matter you may respond quickly. Ninja...

C2 Execution problems
Matthew Klein at 9/28/11 13:56ET

Eli - I see no "hanging" signals and so please email me specifically what you claim is not working. I can verify against the se...

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