The New Gamblers
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | (32%) | +33.5% | +7.3% | |||||||||
| 2012 | (14.7%) | (33.2%) | (22.8%) | (1.2%) | +52.2% | (60.8%) | (1.8%) | (6.4%) | (2.2%) | +5.7% | (0.9%) | (0.6%) |
| 2013 | (5%) | +2.1% | (4.2%) | (1.8%) | (6.2%) | +2.0% |
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this
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| Instruments | Stocks |
|---|---|
| Strategies | Sell overvalue |
| System started | 10/16/2011 (20 months ago) |
| System developer |
Blackhorseshoe.org 
(Last login to C2: 6/11/12 15:59) C2 Score: 42  Vendor has created 3 other systems. Show The name of this system has been changed 1 time. Show |
| Hypothetical Trading Results | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opened ET | B/S | # | Symbol | Price | Closed | Price | Risk | P/L | |
| 6/1/12 9:31 | BUY | 900 | TVIX | VELOCITYSHARES DAILY 2X VIX | 102.56 | 6/19 10:39 |
61.60 | Extreme | ($36,878) |
| 5/31/12 12:36 | BUY | 75 | AAPL | APPLE INC | 579.33 | 6/6 12:40 |
572.20 | Normal | ($538) |
| 5/22/12 15:49 | BUY | 2,600 | TVIX | VELOCITYSHARES DAILY 2X VIX | 87.71 | 5/31 10:14 |
89.78 | Extreme | $5,318 |
| 5/22/12 9:57 | BUY | 700 | TVIX | VELOCITYSHARES DAILY 2X VIX | 83.31 | 5/22 15:45 |
93.50 | Normal | $7,116 |
| 5/15/12 9:34 | BUY | 120 | AAPL | APPLE INC | 559.27 | 5/22 9:49 |
570.46 | High | $1,340 |
| 4/17/12 9:56 | BUY | 700 | TVIX | VELOCITYSHARES DAILY 2X VIX | 72.59 | 5/15 9:32 |
75.80 | Extreme | $2,236 |
| 4/24/12 14:53 | BUY | 20 | AAPL | APPLE INC | 563.00 | 5/2 10:30 |
580.31 | Low | $344 |
| 1/6/12 15:20 | BUY | 1,525 | TZA | DIREXION SHRS SML CAP 3X | 95.89 | 3/15 14:18 |
75.70 | Extreme | ($30,820) |
| 1/5/12 13:29 | BUY | 250 | TZA | DIREXION SHRS SML CAP 3X | 100.24 | 1/6 10:09 |
102.76 | Low | $625 |
| 1/4/12 10:06 | BUY | 250 | TZA | DIREXION SHRS SML CAP 3X | 103.32 | 1/5 9:41 |
105.92 | Low | $645 |
| 1/3/12 12:16 | BUY | 250 | TZA | DIREXION SHRS SML CAP 3X | 100.48 | 1/4 9:55 |
102.76 | Low | $565 |
| 12/29/11 15:48 | BUY | 500 | SDS | PROSHARES ULTRSHT S&P500 | 76.56 | 12/30 15:56 |
76.92 | Low | $170 |
| 12/23/11 10:22 | BUY | 1,250 | DXD | ULTRASHORT DOW30 PROSHARES | 61.32 | 12/28 11:36 |
61.72 | Low | $475 |
| 12/20/11 15:21 | BUY | 750 | TZA | DIREXION SHRS SML CAP 3X | 105.82 | 12/28 11:36 |
106.88 | Normal | $780 |
| 11/30/11 10:44 | BUY | 1,375 | DXD | ULTRASHORT DOW30 PROSHARES | 64.27 | 12/14 10:07 |
65.04 | Normal | $1,028 |
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Statistics
Analytics| All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results | |
|---|---|
| Trades | 31 |
| # Profitable | 25 (80.6%) |
| # months tracked | 21 |
| Profitable months | 6 (28.6%) |
| Avg trade duration | 23.3 days |
| Annual Return | -47.0% |
| Average win | $2,049 |
| Average loss | $21,388 |
| Profit factor | 0.4:1 |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) | 78.67% |
| drawdown period | Oct 25, 2011 to May 20, 2013 |
| Correlation w/ S&P | -0.223 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.995 |
| Keep after worst-case slippage | 100.0% |
| Probabilities of future account loss | |
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 20% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 1.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 100% account loss | 0.0% |
| Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) | -0.41 |
| Average P/L per unit traded | $0.39 |
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System Description
The New Gambler's trading system was formerly, The Short Bear. The name change better reflects the paradigm shift from investing to gambling in stocks. The system buys only leveraged long and inverted ETF's. It is suitable for members with a portfolio size of $100,000 or less. The system is the most aggressive of the 4 systems offered by Blackhorseshoe, using a proprietary waging system. The buy and sell signals are 100% mechanical. As of 12/28/11, the average winning percentage is 88% and average holding time under 5 days. The system was designed to seek an 80% winning percentage based on gambling strategies and analyzing the results of 10 million blackjack hands; mathematical probabilities; historical patterns; the psychology of human behavior; and a proprietary geometrically progressive tier down wagering system to aggressively capitalize on the system's extraordinary winning %. This is not a day trading or buy and hold strategy, and may not be suitable for the average person.
The system designer views the market as the World's Biggest Casino, the best place on planet earth to make money. For some insightful information, please visit us every night at the Sweet Spot. http://blackhorseshoe.org/THESWEET_SPOT.html
The system designer views the market as the World's Biggest Casino, the best place on planet earth to make money. For some insightful information, please visit us every night at the Sweet Spot. http://blackhorseshoe.org/THESWEET_SPOT.html
- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
