ETF OPTION TIMER

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
2011											+2.1%	+2.6%
2012	(4.3%)	+5.0%	(4.1%)	(0.4%)	+0.3%	+5.5%	+0.6%	-	-	-	-	-
2013	-	-	-	-	-

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Technical Analysis: Moving Average daysX

Instruments	Options
Strategies	Market timing
System started	11/22/2011 (18 months ago)
System developer	ETF GLOBAL TIMER (Last login to C2: 5/23/13 20:06) C2 Score: 996 Vendor has created 2 other systems. Show

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ET	B/S	#	Symbol		Price	Closed	Price	Risk	P/L
4/20/12 11:11	SELL	50	UNG1221S15	UNG Jul12 15 put (exp 07/21/2012)	1.81	7/22 9:00	0.00	n/a	$9,003
5/3/12 12:15	SELL	20	TBT1216R17	TBT Jun12 17 put (exp 06/16/2012)	0.17	6/15 15:00	1.44	High	($2,578)
4/25/12 13:52	SELL	20	QQQ1219E68	QQQ May12 68 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.40	5/15 9:35	0.01	Low	$742
5/7/12 10:41	SELL	10	QQQ1211Q63	QQQ May12 63 put (exp 05/11/2012)	0.22	5/12 10:00	0.00	Low	$211
3/22/12 10:10	SELL	25	QQQ1221D70	QQQ Apr12 70 call (exp 04/21/2012)	0.13	4/22 9:04	0.00	Low	$301
3/20/12 10:21	SELL	50	UNG1221P16	UNG Apr12 16 put (exp 04/21/2012)	0.19	4/20 11:05	1.69	Extreme	($7,595)
3/9/12 15:11	SELL	30	EEM1221D48	EEM Apr12 48 call (exp 04/21/2012)	0.13	4/2 9:54	0.03	Low	$243
3/1/12 9:48	SELL	20	IWM1217C86	IWM Mar12 86 call (exp 03/17/2012)	0.12	3/18 9:04	0.00	Low	$221
3/1/12 10:36	SELL	20	UNG1217O18	UNG Mar12 18 put (exp 03/17/2012)	0.23	3/16 10:24	0.06	Normal	$302
1/30/12 10:47	SELL	30	EEM1218N37	EEM Feb12 37 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.08	2/19 9:05	0.00	Low	$212
1/27/12 9:39	SELL	50	TBT1218N18	TBT Feb12 18 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.18	2/19 9:02	0.00	Normal	$853
1/24/12 12:01	SELL	50	SLV1218N27	SLV Feb12 27 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.14	2/19 9:02	0.00	Low	$653
1/20/12 15:25	SELL	50	UNG1218N6	UNG Feb12 6 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.94	2/16 15:47	0.62	Low	$1,505
12/19/11 14:20	SELL	40	TBT1221M16	TBT Jan12 16 put (exp 01/21/2012)	0.20	1/22/12 9:19	0.00	Low	$762
12/28/11 12:19	SELL	30	EEM1221M33	EEM Jan12 33 put (exp 01/21/2012)	0.12	1/22/12 9:05	0.00	Low	$332

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ET	B/S	#	Symbol		Price	Closed	Close Price	Risk	P/L
4/20/12 11:11	SELL	50	UNG1221S15	UNG Jul12 15 put (exp 07/21/2012)	1.81	7/22 9:00	0.00	n/a	$9,003
4/20/12 11:11	STO	50	UNG1221S15		1.81
Sell to open 50 contracts of the July 2012 UNG 15 puts at a limit of 1.80.
7/22/12 9:00	exp	50	UNG1221S15		0.00
5/3/12 12:15	SELL	20	TBT1216R17	TBT Jun12 17 put (exp 06/16/2012)	0.17	6/15 15:00	1.44	High	($2,578)
5/3/12 12:15	STO	20	TBT1216R17		0.17
Sell 20 contracts of the June 2012 TBT 17 puts at a limit of 17 cents
6/15/12 15:00	BTC	20	TBT1216R17		1.44
4/25/12 13:52	SELL	20	QQQ1219E68	QQQ May12 68 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.40	5/15 9:35	0.01	Low	$742
4/25/12 13:52	STO	20	QQQ1219E68		0.40
Sell to open 20 contracts of the May 2012 QQQ 68 calls at a limit of 40 cents.
5/15/12 9:35	BTC	20	QQQ1219E68		0.01
Buy to cover the 20 contracts of QQQ 68 calls at a limit of 1 cent.
5/7/12 10:41	SELL	10	QQQ1211Q63	QQQ May12 63 put (exp 05/11/2012)	0.22	5/12 10:00	0.00	Low	$211
5/7/12 10:41	STO	10	QQQ1211Q63		0.22
Sell to open 10 contracts of the weekly QQQ 63 puts at a limit of 22 cents.
5/12/12 10:00	exp	10	QQQ1211Q63		0.00
3/22/12 10:10	SELL	25	QQQ1221D70	QQQ Apr12 70 call (exp 04/21/2012)	0.13	4/22 9:04	0.00	Low	$301
3/22/12 10:10	STO	25	QQQ1221D70		0.13
Sell to open 25 contracts of the April 2012 QQQ 70 calls at a limit of 13 cents.
4/22/12 9:04	exp	25	QQQ1221D70		0.00
3/20/12 10:21	SELL	50	UNG1221P16	UNG Apr12 16 put (exp 04/21/2012)	0.19	4/20 11:05	1.69	Extreme	($7,595)
3/20/12 10:21	STO	50	UNG1221P16		0.19
Sell to open 50 contracts of the UNG April 16 puts at a limit of 19 cents.
4/20/12 11:05	BTC	50	UNG1221P16		1.69
Buy to close 50 contracts of the UNG April 16 puts at a limit of 1.70.
3/9/12 15:11	SELL	30	EEM1221D48	EEM Apr12 48 call (exp 04/21/2012)	0.13	4/2 9:54	0.03	Low	$243
3/9/12 15:11	STO	30	EEM1221D48		0.13
Sell to open 30 contracts of the April 2012 EEM 48 calls at a limit of 13 cents.
3/28/12 10:07	BTC	15	EEM1221D48		0.04
Buy to close 15 of the 30 April EEM 48 calls at a limit of 4 cents.
4/2/12 9:54	BTC	15	EEM1221D48		0.02
Buy to close the 15 April 2012 EEM 48 calls at a 2 cent limit.
3/1/12 9:48	SELL	20	IWM1217C86	IWM Mar12 86 call (exp 03/17/2012)	0.12	3/18 9:04	0.00	Low	$221
3/1/12 9:48	STO	20	IWM1217C86		0.12
Sell to open 20 contracts of the March 2012 IWM 86 calls at an 11 cent limit.
3/18/12 9:04	exp	20	IWM1217C86		0.00
3/1/12 10:36	SELL	20	UNG1217O18	UNG Mar12 18 put (exp 03/17/2012)	0.23	3/16 10:24	0.06	Normal	$302
3/1/12 10:36	STO	20	UNG1217O18		0.23
Sell to open 20 contracts of the March 2012 UNG 18 puts at a 23 cent limit.
3/16/12 10:24	BTC	20	UNG1217O18		0.06
Buy to close the 20 UNG contracts at a 6 cent limit.
1/30/12 10:47	SELL	30	EEM1218N37	EEM Feb12 37 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.08	2/19 9:05	0.00	Low	$212
1/30/12 10:47	STO	30	EEM1218N37		0.08
Sell to open 30 contracts of the February 2012 EEM 37 puts at a limit of 8 cents.
2/19/12 9:05	exp	30	EEM1218N37		0.00
1/27/12 9:39	SELL	50	TBT1218N18	TBT Feb12 18 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.18	2/19 9:02	0.00	Normal	$853
1/27/12 9:39	STO	50	TBT1218N18		0.18
Sell to open 50 contracts of the February 2012 TBT 18 puts at a limit of 18 cents.
2/19/12 9:02	exp	50	TBT1218N18		0.00
1/24/12 12:01	SELL	50	SLV1218N27	SLV Feb12 27 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.14	2/19 9:02	0.00	Low	$653
1/24/12 12:01	STO	50	SLV1218N27		0.14
Sell to open 50 contracts of the February 2012 SLV 27 puts at a 14 cent limit.
2/19/12 9:02	exp	50	SLV1218N27		0.00
1/20/12 15:25	SELL	50	UNG1218N6	UNG Feb12 6 put (exp 02/18/2012)	0.94	2/16 15:47	0.62	Low	$1,505
1/20/12 15:25	STO	50	UNG1218N6		0.94
Sell to open 50 contracts of February 2012 UNG 6 puts at a limit of 94 cents
2/16/12 15:47	BTC	50	UNG1218N6		0.62
Buy to close 50 contracts of the February 2012 UNG 6 puts at a limit of 62 cents.
12/19/11 14:20	SELL	40	TBT1221M16	TBT Jan12 16 put (exp 01/21/2012)	0.20	1/22/12 9:19	0.00	Low	$762
12/19/11 14:20	STO	40	TBT1221M16		0.20
Sell to open 40 contracts of the January 2012 TBT 16 put options at an 20 cent limit.
1/22/12 9:19	exp	40	TBT1221M16		0.00
12/28/11 12:19	SELL	30	EEM1221M33	EEM Jan12 33 put (exp 01/21/2012)	0.12	1/22/12 9:05	0.00	Low	$332
12/28/11 12:19	STO	30	EEM1221M33		0.12
Sell to open 30 contracts of the January 2012 EEM 33 puts at a 12 cent limit.
1/22/12 9:05	exp	30	EEM1221M33		0.00

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Statistics

Analytics

All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades	22
# Profitable	19 (86.4%)
# months tracked	19
Profitable months	6 (31.6%)
Avg trade duration	27.1 days
Annual return (compounded)	5.8%
Average win	$972
Average loss	$4,680
Profit factor	1.3:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)	13.99%
drawdown period	March 22, 2012 to April 19, 2012
Correlation w/ S&P	0.119
Sharpe ratio	0.385
Keep after worst-case slippage	100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss
Chance of 10% account loss	100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss	6.7%
Chance of 30% account loss	0.0%

Chance of 50% account loss	0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss	0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)	-0.23
Average P/L per unit traded	$5.27

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Started	$50,000
Buy Power	$54,435
Cash	$1
Equity	$1
Cumulative $	$4,435
Total System Equity	$54,435
Margined	$1
Open P/L	$0
System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs.

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