Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy QUANT AI Gold and Silver +36.6% Cumul. Return since Sep 23, 2025 Hypothetical

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This strategy is no longer supported by its creator.
These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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choice trading
(68939820)

Created by: jean_n jean_n
Started: 12/2011
Futures
Last trade: 5,092 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $300.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

-5.8%

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(25.3%)
Max Drawdown
40
Num Trades
55.0%
Win Trades
1.0 : 1
Profit Factor
1.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2011                                                                             +7.1%+7.1%
2012+6.6%(4.7%)+8.8%(4.9%)(16.9%)(5.3%)(1.1%)  -    -    -    -    -  (18.2%)
2013  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2014  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2015  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2016  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2017  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2018  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2019  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2020  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2021  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2022  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2023  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2024  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2025  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2026  -    -    -    -    -                                            

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
6/14/12 22:20 @SMN2 SOYBEAN MEAL SHORT 1 419.7 7/1 18:00 440.0 5.24%
Trade id #74570865
Max drawdown($2,030)
Time7/1/12 18:00
Quant open0
Worst price440.0
Drawdown as % of equity-5.24%
 ($2,038)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/18/12 4:03 @YGM2 Mini Gold NYSE Liffe LONG 1 1580.0 6/1 8:52 1581.0 4.58%
Trade id #73805899
Max drawdown($1,766)
Time5/30/12 9:42
Quant open1
Worst price1526.8
Drawdown as % of equity-4.58%
 $25
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/27/12 21:38 @ESM2 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 1326.00 6/1 8:30 1286.00 5.07%
Trade id #74032223
Max drawdown($2,000)
Time6/1/12 8:30
Quant open0
Worst price1286.00
Drawdown as % of equity-5.07%
 ($2,008)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/29/12 10:08 @GFQ2 FEEDER CATTLE SHORT 2 158.250 5/30 10:05 155.000 3.54%
Trade id #74066332
Max drawdown($1,450)
Time5/29/12 10:18
Quant open-2
Worst price159.700
Drawdown as % of equity-3.54%
 $3,234
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
5/22/12 1:35 @USM2 US T-BOND SHORT 2 147 10/32 5/30 8:31 148 24/32 7.3%
Trade id #73885609
Max drawdown($2,876)
Time5/30/12 8:31
Quant open0
Worst price148 24/32
Drawdown as % of equity-7.30%
 ($2,892)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
5/29/12 11:50 @WN2 WHEAT SHORT 1 661 5/29 12:00 660 0.27%
Trade id #74070541
Max drawdown($112)
Time5/29/12 11:56
Quant open-1
Worst price663 1/4
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
 $42
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/21/12 15:54 QHGN2 Copper LONG 1 352.10 5/23 4:13 343.00 5.59%
Trade id #73871871
Max drawdown($2,275)
Time5/23/12 4:13
Quant open0
Worst price343.00
Drawdown as % of equity-5.59%
 ($2,283)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/21/12 1:40 @BON2 SOYBEAN OIL LONG 3 50.90 5/23 1:30 50.00 3.91%
Trade id #73848099
Max drawdown($1,620)
Time5/23/12 1:30
Quant open0
Worst price50.00
Drawdown as % of equity-3.91%
 ($1,644)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
5/10/12 8:30 QHON2 Heating Oil LONG 1 3.0050 5/14 4:06 2.9400 5.87%
Trade id #73551080
Max drawdown($2,730)
Time5/14/12 4:06
Quant open0
Worst price2.9400
Drawdown as % of equity-5.87%
 ($2,738)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/3/12 2:50 @SN2 SOYBEANS SHORT 1 1480 5/8 11:08 1448 0.71%
Trade id #73288436
Max drawdown($325)
Time5/3/12 10:37
Quant open-1
Worst price1486 2/4
Drawdown as % of equity-0.71%
 $1,592
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/2/12 10:26 @CDM2 CANADIAN DOLLAR SHORT 1 1.0090 5/6 18:00 1.0020 1.65%
Trade id #73251936
Max drawdown($750)
Time5/3/12 6:33
Quant open-1
Worst price1.0165
Drawdown as % of equity-1.65%
 $692
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
5/4/12 8:29 @YMM2 MINI DOW SHORT 1 13115 5/4 16:14 12955 0.58%
Trade id #73338797
Max drawdown($265)
Time5/4/12 8:35
Quant open-1
Worst price13168
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
 $792
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
4/13/12 6:33 @ADM2 AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR LONG 1 1.0330 5/4 10:00 1.0145 4.04%
Trade id #72622936
Max drawdown($1,850)
Time5/4/12 10:00
Quant open0
Worst price1.0145
Drawdown as % of equity-4.04%
 ($1,858)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
4/23/12 21:48 @ON2 Oats LONG 4 330 4/23 21:48 338 n/a $1,568
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
4/12/12 21:20 @NQM2 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 3 2741.00 4/15 20:58 2683.00 7.58%
Trade id #72612446
Max drawdown($3,480)
Time4/15/12 20:58
Quant open0
Worst price2683.00
Drawdown as % of equity-7.58%
 ($3,504)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
4/12/12 4:13 QRBK2 RBOB Gasoline LONG 1 3.3015 4/12 19:34 3.3715 1.78%
Trade id #72589210
Max drawdown($819)
Time4/12/12 8:47
Quant open1
Worst price3.2820
Drawdown as % of equity-1.78%
 $2,932
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
4/1/12 18:14 @CDM2 CANADIAN DOLLAR LONG 3 1.0040 4/10 10:17 0.9960 5.17%
Trade id #72249462
Max drawdown($2,400)
Time4/10/12 10:17
Quant open0
Worst price0.9960
Drawdown as % of equity-5.17%
 ($2,424)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
4/4/12 3:31 @YMM2 MINI DOW SHORT 2 13068 4/5 8:09 12953 0.2%
Trade id #72349239
Max drawdown($100)
Time4/4/12 4:25
Quant open-2
Worst price13078
Drawdown as % of equity-0.20%
 $1,134
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
4/4/12 4:23 @KCK2 COFFEE SHORT 1 182.30 4/4 11:17 187.00 3.64%
Trade id #72350252
Max drawdown($1,763)
Time4/4/12 11:17
Quant open0
Worst price187.00
Drawdown as % of equity-3.64%
 ($1,771)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
3/14/12 9:36 QNGK2 Natural Gas LONG 1 2.447 3/26 15:59 2.305 2.84%
Trade id #71481587
Max drawdown($1,420)
Time3/26/12 15:59
Quant open0
Worst price2.305
Drawdown as % of equity-2.84%
 ($1,428)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
3/14/12 10:30 @SBK2 Sugar #11 LONG 2 24.25 3/15 8:32 25.20 0.55%
Trade id #71486680
Max drawdown($268)
Time3/14/12 12:14
Quant open2
Worst price24.13
Drawdown as % of equity-0.55%
 $2,112
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
3/9/12 12:52 @SMK2 SOYBEAN MEAL SHORT 4 362.0 3/13 12:00 367.5 4.44%
Trade id #71341252
Max drawdown($2,200)
Time3/13/12 12:00
Quant open0
Worst price367.5
Drawdown as % of equity-4.44%
 ($2,232)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
3/9/12 9:46 QCLJ2 CRUDE OIL SHORT 1 107.45 3/12 22:18 106.90 1.5%
Trade id #71332878
Max drawdown($750)
Time3/9/12 11:24
Quant open-1
Worst price108.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.50%
 $542
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
3/9/12 10:50 @CK2 CORN SHORT 2 646 3/9 12:23 645 1.2%
Trade id #71337783
Max drawdown($600)
Time3/9/12 11:11
Quant open-2
Worst price652
Drawdown as % of equity-1.20%
 $84
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
3/1/12 2:30 @SFH2 SWISS FRANC SHORT 1 1.1045 3/6 5:56 1.0892 0.92%
Trade id #71071993
Max drawdown($412)
Time3/1/12 4:41
Quant open-1
Worst price1.1078
Drawdown as % of equity-0.92%
 $1,905
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
3/1/12 13:44 @HEJ2 LEAN HOGS SHORT 3 89.550 3/6 5:21 88.400 3.07%
Trade id #71094083
Max drawdown($1,410)
Time3/2/12 12:41
Quant open-3
Worst price90.725
Drawdown as % of equity-3.07%
 $1,356
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
3/2/12 4:00 @CCK2 COCOA SHORT 2 2385 3/5 10:24 2307 0.09%
Trade id #71111289
Max drawdown($40)
Time3/2/12 4:02
Quant open-2
Worst price2387
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 $1,544
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/24/12 3:13 @GFH2 FEEDER CATTLE SHORT 2 157.400 2/28 13:10 155.700 1.76%
Trade id #70920189
Max drawdown($775)
Time2/24/12 11:29
Quant open-2
Worst price158.175
Drawdown as % of equity-1.76%
 $1,684
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/22/12 10:30 @SMH2 SOYBEAN MEAL SHORT 4 328.7 2/24 10:30 335.2 5.91%
Trade id #70858722
Max drawdown($2,600)
Time2/24/12 10:30
Quant open0
Worst price335.2
Drawdown as % of equity-5.91%
 ($2,632)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
2/10/12 9:18 @KCH2 COFFEE LONG 1 214.90 2/13 11:28 210.85 3.2%
Trade id #70487155
Max drawdown($1,519)
Time2/13/12 11:28
Quant open0
Worst price210.85
Drawdown as % of equity-3.20%
 ($1,527)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    12/13/2011
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $40,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    5280.29
  • Age
    176 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    40
  • # Profitable
    22
  • % Profitable
    55.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    4.6 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    25.31%
  • drawdown period
    March 19, 2012 - May 23, 2012
  • Annual return (compounded)
    -0.3%
  • Avg win
    $1,652
  • Avg loss
    $2,113
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $38,305
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $38,305
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    0.96:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -0.33
  • Sortino Ratio
    -0.43
  • Calmar Ratio
    -0.056
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.00100
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -42.73%
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    502.63%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -5.8%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.98%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    41.10%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    -0.3%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $1,652
  • Avg Loss
    $2,114
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $38,043.000
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $36,348.000
  • # Winners
    22
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • Num Months Winners
    3
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    174
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    18
  • % Winners
    55.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    6633.55
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    110.56
  • Avg Trade Length
    4.6 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    5096
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.01
  • Beta
    0.00
  • Treynor Index
    -18.22
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    1.36
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.03
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -9.294
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    2.73
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    83.08
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.05
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.02
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.05
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.442
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.000
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.108
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.03300
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01400
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    65
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a

Strategy Description

The following stats are goals only based on hypothetical backtesting over 2 years involving over 100 trades. No performance can be guaranteed, and the actual real-world results may be vastly different from these goals
System trades average 1 trade weekly.
% winning trades 70%
% losing trades 25%
% breakeven trades (plus-minus $100) 5%
risk-reward are almost equal for every trade. This trading system is not for the weak of heart minimum profit-loss around
$3000 although you may adjust accordingly to you own objectives ie. mini contracts. System is comprised of strict technical parameters to enter each trade. Each trade then has exact risk- reward stops in place. System trades almost all commodities. Most trade entry recommendations are issued by 8 pm EST to take advantange of over-nite trading for the next trading day.
Trade this strategy at Tradier

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2011-12-13
Suggested Minimum Capital
$40,000
# Trades
40
# Profitable
22
% Profitable
55.0%
Correlation S&P500
0.001
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33
Sortino Ratio
-0.43
Beta
0.00
Alpha
-0.01

Latest Activity

subscribed on started simulation

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.