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Trading Trends and Turns




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2012                            +6.0%(13.9%)+2.7%(11.9%)+1.8%(2.5%)(2.7%)+1.1%
2013(1.1%)(4.8%)(10%)(8.3%)(3.6%)                                          
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Show chart:  Standard  |  Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Stocks, Futures
Strategies Technical analysis, Market timing
System started 5/27/2012 (12 months ago)
System developer Independant Trader
(Last login to C2: 8/9/12 11:29)
C2 Score: 919

Vendor has created 1 other system. Show
The name of this system has been changed 1 time. Show
StatusThis system is no longer supported.



Recently Closed Trades

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System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
8/9/12 11:18 BUY 300 PCY POWERSHARES EMRG MKT SOVEREI 30.19 8/9
11:23
30.19 Low ($6)
8/9/12 11:17 BUY 300 JNK SPDR BARCLAYS CAPITAL HIGH Y 39.78 8/9
11:23
39.77 Low ($9)
6/18/12 8:35 SELL 2 @ESU2 E-MINI S&P 500 1338.12 8/9
11:13
1401.25 Very ($6,341)
6/18/12 8:35 SELL 2 @MEU2 E-MINI EURO FX 1.2661 7/18
15:30
1.2285 Low $4,672
6/15/12 11:32 SELL 1 @EDZ6 EURODOLLAR 98.1800 6/18
8:34
98.2100 Low ($89)
5/28/12 3:36 SELL 1 @MEU2 E-MINI EURO FX 1.2600 6/14
20:33
1.2630 Low ($202)
5/29/12 10:31 SELL 1 @ESU2 E-MINI S&P 500 1327.00 6/14
18:30
1325.00 Low $86

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades15
# Profitable9 (60.0%)
# months tracked13
Profitable months4 (30.8%)
Avg trade duration161.2 days
Annual return (compounded)8.8%
Average win$1,161
Average loss$1,137
Profit factor1.7:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)17.03%
drawdown periodJuly 12, 2012 to Aug 31, 2012
Correlation w/ S&P-0.683
Sharpe ratio0.61
Keep after worst-case slippage 97.9%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.21
Average P/L per unit traded($138.50)
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account$715


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Overview

I look for trades with the most support and the lowest risk/reward profiles. Since such opportunities are rare I wont be trading too frequently. Sometimes I will trade the Trend other times I will trade the Turn. So far I like trading ES ZB GE and EUR futures.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$50,000
Buy Power$32,529
Cash$1
Equity$1
Cumulative $*$4,347
Dividends Itemized
Total System Equity$54,347
Margined$1
Open P/L$6,085
System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs.


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