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Forex Volatility Breakout




Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2012                                                 (3.1%)  -    -    -    -  
2013  -    -    -    -    -                                            
There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Instruments Forex
Strategies Technical analysis, Volatility trading
System started 8/6/2012 (10 months ago)
System developer Forex Analytics
(Last login to C2: 2/6/13 10:29)
C2 Score: 98
StatusThis system is no longer supported.



Recently Closed Trades

CSVDetails


Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
8/8/12 10:53 BUY 1 AUD/USD 1.05714 8/90:30 1.05966 Low $24
8/8/12 4:02 SELL 1 CHF/JPY 80.672 8/90:28 80.824 Low ($20)
8/8/12 5:14 SELL 1 EUR/AUD 1.17279 8/90:28 1.16810 Low $49
8/8/12 3:59 SELL 1 EUR/JPY 96.917 8/813:03 97.090 Low ($23)
8/8/12 6:17 SELL 1 USD/JPY 78.240 8/89:11 78.467 Low ($30)
8/8/12 5:16 SELL 1 AUD/JPY 82.673 8/86:24 82.663 Low $0
8/8/12 3:14 SELL 1 GBP/USD 1.55805 8/85:37 1.56009 Low ($21)
8/8/12 3:59 SELL 1 EUR/AUD 1.17144 8/85:05 1.17340 Low ($22)
8/8/12 2:53 SELL 1 AUD/JPY 82.624 8/84:14 82.820 Low ($26)
8/7/12 9:18 BUY 1 EUR/USD 1.24355 8/80:46 1.23909 Low ($46)
8/7/12 8:53 BUY 1 GBP/JPY 123.145 8/716:45 122.820 Low ($42)
8/7/12 3:58 BUY 1 GBP/JPY 122.457 8/77:39 122.904 Low $56
8/7/12 3:08 SELL 1 EUR/AUD 1.17151 8/77:39 1.17401 Low ($27)
8/6/12 8:28 SELL 1 USD/JPY 78.263 8/74:35 78.437 Low ($23)
8/6/12 8:27 BUY 1 USD/JPY 78.282 8/68:28 78.257 Low ($4)

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Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades15
# Profitable4 (26.7%)
# months tracked10
Profitable months
Avg trade duration8.2 hours
Annual return (compounded)-3.5%
Average win$33
Average loss$24
Profit factor0.5:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)4.47%
drawdown periodAug 06, 2012 to Aug 08, 2012
Correlation w/ S&P-0.047
Sharpe ratio-2.576
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.38
Average P/L per unit traded


Reviews


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System Description

This system is based on breaks of 24-hour support and resistance levels on high volatility, combined with daily pivot points. Each trade has a default -30 stop loss which will be set to break even as soon as the trade reaches +20 pips, that way to minimize loss due to false breakouts. Each trade will risk a maximum of 0.5% of the account balance. However, due to the nature of high volatility breakouts and cross-market currency correlations, there may be as many as – but never more than – 10 trades open at any one time, resulting in a maximum total account exposure of 5%. Entry signals are mechanically generated, but all exits are discretionary and made manually. This means the system is only trading when Im trading. The system trades the London session from 8am-5pm London time, however, some trades may from time to time be taken in the few hours before London open or after London close. Not all breakouts are high volatility breakouts. For this reason the system will not jump on every move in the market and as such may miss some big moves that occur in a low volatility environment, while also avoiding false breakouts.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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$20 per week, only if profitable Details

This is a pay-for-performance system. Subscriptions cost $20 at the end of each week, but only if the system has made profitable recommendations for the period.

To determine profitability, we do not look at your brokerage account, nor do we take into consideration whether you actually placed the trades recommended here. We simply measure the system's hypothetical track record here on the Collective2 Web site, without factoring fees or commissions. You will not be charged unless the sum of the trades during the period was profitable.



 

Overview

This is a short-term volatility breakout system based on breaks of short-term support and resistance levels with the aim of catching big intra-day moves in the market while minimizing the losses due to false breakouts.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified the Overview text above. Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Model Account Status

Started$5,000
Buy Power$4,858
Cash$4,858
Equity$0
Cumulative $($141)
Total System Equity$4,858
Margined$0
Open P/L$0


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