TRENDSETTER - a forex trading system on Collective2

Collective2 (C2) is a Web site that monitors over 8,720 trading systems. We are not affiliated with the trading system developer. We merely verify the results of a trading system, by measuring a system's advice versus real-time market data. Use of Collective2 to verify system results or to research trading systems is free. All system results presented on C2 must be regarded as hypothetical. You can learn more about the limitations of hypothetical results.

Private Msg

System Details: TRENDSETTER

Hypothetical Monthly Results (limitations of these statistics ?)

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2008

+10.2%

+11.1%

+4.4%

+2.8%

+5.7%

(26.5%)

+17.7%

(101.7%)

(1.6%)

2009

Best-case fills, no commisson	Best-case, with commis.
Adjusted by Realism Factor	Realism Factor, with commis.
Monte Carlo Simulation (?)	Interactive chart

Instruments

Forex

Strategies

Technical Analysis, Volatility trading, Market Timing, Other

System started

3/1/2008 (70 weeks ago)

System developer

Deal Kinetics Ltd. (Private Msg)

(Last login to C2: 10/13/08 7:03)

The name of this system has been changed 1 time (View history)

Vendor has created 1 other system. (See all)

Cash & Margin

Started	Buy Power	Cash	Equity	Margined	Open P/L
$100,000	($1,977)	($1,977)	$0	$0	$0
System vendor has delayed this data by 1 day.

Subscribing to this system

Subscriptions are free for anyone who uses C2 AutoTrading at a participating broker.* If you prefer to receive signals by email or messenger, and not AutoTrade the system, or to AutoTrade at a broker that doesn't participate in the subscription-free AutoTrade program, then you can subscribe for $49 per month. (A month is a 30-day period, and has nothing to do with the name of the calendar month; so feel free to subscribe at any time.) [Subscribe here]

Brokers currently participating in free-subscription program: FXCM or Gain Capital

You are not subscribed to this system.

Overview

The system developer writes:

Technical trading system exploiting short-term currency movements.

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Statistics

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Statistics are for combined open and closed positions. If open positions are included, results calculations may be delayed by several hours.

Realism Factor

100.0

Trades

136

Profitable

117

Losses

Win %

86.0%

APD Ratio

-0.32

Correlation w/ S&P

0.156

Cumu $

($101,977)

after typical commission

n/a

and real-life slippage

($101,977)

Keep after worst-case slippage

100.0%

Avg Win

$463

Avg Loss

$8,221

Profit Factor

0.3:1

P/L per unit

n/a

after typical commission

n/a

after real-life slippage

$0.00

Avg Trade Length

3.1 days

Compound Annual %

-100% over 490 days

Sharpe Ratio

-1.175

Max Drawdown

153.99% (20081024 to 20081024)

Risk of 20% account loss

100.0%

Risk of 50% account loss

100.0%

Risk of 100% account loss

100.0%

Crowd Opinion

Viewed 4,750 times

Tracked by 101 My Analyst pages

With commentary: 5

Subscriber Reviews

July 31, 2008

Reviewer: Subscriber to system

Nice steady pace. Well managed trades in forex. The system is suitable not only for auto trading. Signals are clear and sent during congestion so there is plenty of time to enter a trade. The vendor keeps eye on trades and although he is not very communicative he is very prompt in responding to your emails. I trade the signals manually and I�m able to achieve the same or even better results than those presented in C2. �Keep doing a great job and don�t forget on us � subscribers who�d like to stay in plus�. [Show Entire]

Was this review helpful? Very | Somewhat | Not helpful

Aug 13, 2008

Reviewer: Subscriber to system

Boldly ignoring the APD, I tried one trade of this system and immediately got what I deserved: the biggest loss in the history of this system, proving that this is just another buy & hope & averaging down system.

Was this review helpful? Very | Somewhat | Not helpful

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What this page displays

Realism Factor (RF) Calcs

On

Off

"Report Problem" Links

On

Off

Show Forex as Pips

On

Off

Overlay AutoTrade results

On

Off

Trade Commentary

On

Off

Verified AutoTrades Only

On

Off

Recent Trade Signals Entered: TRENDSETTER

Trading Record

The table below shows the hypothetical results that could have been achieved if you started trading this system with $100,000 on March 01, 2008. If you decide to AutoTrade this system, you can easily trade with a different amount of capital (smaller or larger), and your results will vary accordingly. These hypothetical results do not include commissions. Since you are not yet a subscriber to this system, we show only trades which have been closed for at least 24 hours below.

Drawdwn & Risk

P/L

BTO

GBP/USD

1.78417

9/30/08 6:56

STC

1.55800

10/24/08 7:45

($51,435)

Extreme

($45,235)

BTO

AUD/USD

0.79832

9/30/08 6:56

STC

0.61875

10/24/08 5:31

($72,288)

Extreme

($71,828)

BTO

CHF/JPY

94.640

10/1/08 0:32

STC

81.188

10/24/08 3:15

($14,451)

Extreme

($14,143)

BTO

GBP/CAD

1.88950

9/29/08 5:08

STC

1.89682

10/3/08 0:21

($2,799)

V.High

$2,714

STO

EUR/GBP

0.79195

9/24/08 10:26

BTC

0.78756

10/2/08 4:39

($1,955)

Normal

$775

STO

GBP/NZD

2.70690

9/23/08 5:07

BTC

2.69305

9/26/08 1:13

($2,704)

V.High

$1,901

STO

CHF/JPY

97.605

9/24/08 23:45

BTC

97.320

9/26/08 1:13

($508)

Low

$269

STO

EUR/GBP

0.79175

9/22/08 4:34

BTC

0.79023

9/24/08 4:55

($1,162)

Normal

$282

STO

CHF/JPY

97.457

9/22/08 4:35

BTC

97.250

9/24/08 0:34

($2,241)

High

$391

BTO

GBP/USD

1.87615

8/5/08 4:41

STC

1.84750

9/23/08 5:04

($55,166)

Extreme

($12,032)

BTO

GBP/CHF

1.98824

9/1/08 2:36

STC

2.00180

9/8/08 0:10

($4,897)

Extreme

$1,705

STO

USD/CAD

1.03797

7/28/08 15:16

BTC

1.07116

8/13/08 6:12

($10,715)

Extreme

($5,873)

STO

EUR/CHF

1.62946

7/29/08 9:16

BTC

1.63256

8/5/08 4:40

($974)

Normal

($371)

STO

EUR/JPY

169.583

7/28/08 9:12

BTC

169.357

7/28/08 15:12

($48)

Low

$294

STO

USD/JPY

107.766

7/28/08 2:18

BTC

107.734

7/28/08 6:15

($68)

Low

$38

STO

EUR/JPY

169.075

7/18/08 6:36

BTC

168.221

7/24/08 15:58

($1,078)

Normal

$1,040

STO

AUD/USD

0.96760

7/15/08 2:23

BTC

0.97158

7/23/08 4:38

($1,482)

Normal

($1,034)

STO

USD/JPY

106.773

7/17/08 14:43

BTC

106.257

7/18/08 0:53

($50)

Low

$630

STO

EUR/CHF

1.62290

7/14/08 6:26

BTC

1.61827

7/14/08 11:38

($153)

Low

$591

STO

EUR/CHF

1.62310

7/10/08 9:54

BTC

1.61867

7/11/08 8:24

($216)

Low

$563

STO

EUR/JPY

168.592

7/10/08 3:17

BTC

168.222

7/11/08 8:24

($914)

Normal

$452

STO

EUR/CHF

1.62155

7/9/08 6:02

BTC

1.61899

7/9/08 23:59

($211)

Low

$317

STO

EUR/JPY

168.581

7/9/08 2:12

BTC

168.073

7/9/08 23:59

($378)

Low

$614

STO

EUR/JPY

168.185

7/7/08 5:39

BTC

167.540

7/8/08 2:47

($517)

Low

$785

BTO

GBP/AUD

2.05687

7/7/08 5:32

STC

2.06495

7/7/08 9:36

($217)

Low

$771

>>Next 25 records

Important limitations about performance statistics on this page (back to top)

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

If you are interested in the technical details of how we determine hypothetical trade prices, you may read this technical description.