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These trading results are maintained and verified by Collective2, an independent company.

Collective2 (C2) is a Web site that monitors over 8,720 trading systems. We are not affiliated with the trading system developer. We merely verify the results of a trading system, by measuring a system's advice versus real-time market data. Use of Collective2 to verify system results or to research trading systems is free. All system results presented on C2 must be regarded as hypothetical. You can learn more about the limitations of hypothetical results.

 System Details: TFG

Hypothetical Monthly Results (limitations of these statistics ?)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008+13.7%+34.8%+6.1%+7.4%+11.9%+10.2%(3.7%)+1.0%+4.0%(6.3%)+0.5%+6.0%
2009(0.6%)------     
Best-case fills, no commisson Best-case, with commis.
Adjusted by Realism Factor Realism Factor, with commis.
Monte Carlo Simulation (?) Interactive chart
   

Instruments

Futures
Strategies Technical Analysis, Market Timing
System started 1/7/2008 (78 weeks ago)
System developer

Aspire Trader (Private Msg

(Last login to C2: 6/12/09 14:24)

The name of this system has been changed 2 times (View history)


Vendor has created 12 other systems. (See all
This system is no longer supported.
Cash & Margin
Started Buy Power Cash Equity Margined Open P/L
$13,809 $29,832 $29,832 $0 $0 $0
System vendor has delayed this data by 3 days.
 
Subscribing to this system

Subscriptions cost $0 per month. [Subscribe here]

You are not subscribed to this system.

Overview

The system developer writes:

Our goal is to trend trade several Grain Markets listed on the ECBOT capturing larger overall profits relative to losses, while limiting our capital exposure through the use of protective stop loss orders.
 
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Statistics   Show/Hide | Advanced

Statistics are for combined open and closed positions. If open positions are included, results calculations may be delayed by several hours.

  Realism Factor 95.0About the C2 Realism Factor  
 
Trades
107  
 
Profitable
50  
 
Losses
57  
  Win % 46.7%  
  APD Ratio
1.80
 
  Correlation w/ S&P -0.071   
  Cumu $ $16,023  
  after typical commission $15,638  
  and real-life slippage
$15,639
 
  Keep after worst-case slippage 94.7%   
  Avg Win $625  
  Avg Loss $267  
  Profit Factor 2.1:1   
  P/L per unit $169.49  
  after typical commission $166.99  
  after real-life slippage
$167.00
 
 
Avg Trade Length
2.3 days  
  Compound Annual % 65.8% over 543 days  
  Sharpe Ratio 1.99  
  Max Drawdown 15.41% (20080118 to 20080122)  
  Risk of 20% account loss 2.4%   
  Risk of 50% account loss 0.0%   
  Risk of 100% account loss 0.0%   
Crowd Opinion
Viewed 7,787 times
Tracked by 181 My Analyst pages
With commentary: 9

Subscriber Reviews

May 1, 2008

Reviewer: AutoTrader of system

Honest vendor that tries his best to control risk and take high probability trades. Very pleased so far.

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What this page displays

Realism Factor (RF) Calcs
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System Description

The system developer writes:

02/11/09: Thank you to all of you that continue to contact me in regards to running the TFG service. Your kind words of support are much appreciated to know that my continued work is not in vain. My initial goal of the TFG service when launched in Jan '08 here at C2 was to provide commodities to the subscribers so that as little capital as possible would be risked on each commodity trade with an overall goal of a minimal of 100% annualized return after 12 months. This was my agenda. My goal at the onset.

Due to limited subscriber participation, having met my goal, and needing to make better use of my time, the C2 portfolio was terminated on 1/22/09. Although C2 now continues to calculate an annualized return each day forward after the fact (don't ask me why), which will continue to lower the overall annualized return since [Show Entire]

Recent Trade Signals Entered: TFG


Trading Record

The table below shows the hypothetical results that could have been achieved if you started trading this system with $13,809 on January 07, 2008. If you decide to AutoTrade this system, you can easily trade with a different amount of capital (smaller or larger), and your results will vary accordingly. These hypothetical results do not include commissions. Since you are not yet a subscriber to this system, we show only trades which have been closed for at least 72 hours below.

Action#Symbol PriceDateC#PriceDate
Drawdwn & Risk
P/L
BTO2@SMH9
SOYBEAN MEAL
3050.0
1/8/09 21:03
STC2
3065.0
1/12/09 10:30
($300)

Normal

$300
BTO2@CH9
CORN
416
1/5/09 10:44
STC2
411 1/4
1/5/09 10:48
($475)

High

($475)
BTO0.839@WH9
WHEAT
575 3/4
12/24/08 6:36
STC0.839
590 1/4
12/29/08 12:10
($138)

Low

$601
BTO0.839@SMF9
SOYBEAN MEAL
2669.3
12/19/08 14:14
STC0.839
2841.8
12/29/08 10:46
$0

Low

$1,448
BTO0.839@BOF9
SOYBEAN OIL
3310
12/26/08 10:51
STC0.839
3271
12/26/08 10:51
n/a

No calc

($196)
BTO0.839@SF9
SOYBEANS
889 1/4
12/22/08 10:39
STC0.839
880 2/4
12/22/08 12:07
($367)

n/a

($367)
STO0.839QCLF9
43.27
12/16/08 14:35
BTC0.839
43.28
12/16/08 14:59
($59)

Low

($7)
STO0.839QCLF9
51.12
12/1/08 8:53
BTC0.839
50.88
12/1/08 9:43
($60)

Low

$204
STO0.839@SF9
SOYBEANS
897 3/4
11/12/08 10:30
BTC0.839
894 1/4
11/12/08 11:17
($35)

Low

$147
STO0.839@CZ8
CORN
387
10/22/08 10:30
BTC0.839
392
10/23/08 10:34
($210)

n/a

($210)
STO0.839@GFF9
96.52
10/22/08 16:15
BTC0.839
99.04
10/22/08 16:37
($1,057)

n/a

($1,057)
STO0.839@SMF9
SOYBEAN MEAL
2544.0
10/22/08 10:30
BTC0.839
2604.3
10/22/08 12:25
($506)

n/a

($506)
STO0.839@SF9
SOYBEANS
873 1/4
10/22/08 10:30
BTC0.839
876 2/4
10/22/08 11:26
($134)

n/a

($134)
STO0.839@WZ8
WHEAT
719 1/4
9/26/08 11:41
BTC0.839
695 1/4
9/30/08 5:26
($79)

Low

$1,008
STO0.839@BOZ8
SOYBEAN OIL
4740.50
9/28/08 19:01
BTC0.839
4591.25
9/29/08 11:05
$0

Low

$752
STO0.42QCLX8
103.18
9/29/08 4:18
BTC0.42
103.74
9/29/08 6:23
($234)

n/a

($234)
STO0.839@SX8
SOYBEANS
1106 1/4
9/18/08 11:40
BTC0.839
1117 2/4
9/18/08 11:48
($466)

n/a

($466)
STO0.839@LEV8
103.50
9/3/08 8:58
BTC0.839
103.25
9/4/08 8:27
($45)

Low

$85
STO0.839QGCZ8
GOLD 100 OZ
821.03
8/26/08 4:09
BTC0.839
816.51
8/26/08 8:43
($34)

Low

$379
STO0.42@RRX8
16202
8/13/08 10:30
BTC0.42
16292
8/13/08 10:30
n/a

No calc

($75)
STO1.678@CZ8
CORN
520 4/4
8/8/08 10:31
BTC1.678
521 1/4
8/8/08 11:16
($97)

Low

($23)
BTO0.42@HEV8
75.90
8/6/08 10:55
STC0.42
76.45
8/6/08 11:32
($12)

Low

$92
BTO1.259@HEV8
74.43
7/31/08 10:15
STC1.259
74.82
8/1/08 12:07
($15)

Low

$199
STO0.839@WU8
WHEAT
784 1/4
7/30/08 10:30
BTC0.839
792 3/4
7/31/08 11:29
($355)

n/a

($355)
STO0.42@RRU8
16549
7/29/08 19:00
BTC0.42
16600
7/29/08 19:01
n/a

No calc

($43)
  >>Next 25 records

Important limitations about performance statistics on this page (back to top)
Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.
One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
If you are interested in the technical details of how we determine hypothetical trade prices, you may read this technical description.