Advanced Statistics: RPH
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
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| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.040 | ||||
| SD | 0.213 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.189 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.187 | ||||
| df | 56.000 | ||||
| t | -0.413 | ||||
| p | 0.659 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.088 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.712 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.087 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.713 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -0.352 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.818 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.208 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.248 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.177 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.114 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 16.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 41.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 57.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.330 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.040 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.253 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.213 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.002 | ||||
| r | 0.032 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.027 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.049 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.046 | ||||
| DF error | 55.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.238 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.406 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.467 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.679 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.200 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.254 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.260 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.162 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.492 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.049 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.061 | ||||
| SD | 0.200 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.303 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.299 | ||||
| df | 56.000 | ||||
| t | -0.661 | ||||
| p | 0.744 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.203 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.599 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.200 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.602 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -0.513 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.640 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.194 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.254 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.160 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.118 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 16.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 41.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 57.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.296 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.061 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.240 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.200 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.002 | ||||
| r | 0.038 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.032 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.070 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.041 | ||||
| DF error | 55.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.284 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.389 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.713 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.761 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.192 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.256 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.267 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.127 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.908 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.070 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.095 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.116 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.058 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.091 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 57.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.895 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.972 | ||||
| Median | 0.994 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.008 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.310 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.945 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.985 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.001 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.074 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.036 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.018 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.895 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 5.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.088 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.147 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -1.304 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.056 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.059 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -1.035 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.047 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.049 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 3.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.057 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.116 | ||||
| Median | 0.174 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.304 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.433 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.057 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.174 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.433 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.188 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.016 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.016 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.038 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.038 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -0.141 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.032 | ||||
| SD | 0.239 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.135 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.134 | ||||
| df | 1259.000 | ||||
| t | -0.295 | ||||
| p | 0.505 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.028 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.759 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.028 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.759 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -0.202 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 5.537 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.883 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.915 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.178 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.159 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 462.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 798.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 1260.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.367 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.032 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.303 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.239 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.004 | ||||
| r | -0.061 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.048 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.015 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.057 | ||||
| DF error | 1258.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -2.163 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.530 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.133 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.502 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.092 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.004 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.228 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.199 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.669 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.015 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.060 | ||||
| SD | 0.238 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.254 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.254 | ||||
| df | 1259.000 | ||||
| t | -0.557 | ||||
| p | 0.510 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.148 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.640 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.148 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.640 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -0.369 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 5.302 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.867 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.928 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.172 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.164 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 462.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 798.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 1260.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.321 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.060 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.302 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.238 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.004 | ||||
| r | -0.061 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.048 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.045 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.056 | ||||
| DF error | 1258.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -2.161 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.530 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.415 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.506 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.091 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.004 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.258 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.168 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 1.262 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.045 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.024 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.030 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.009 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.020 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 1260.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.901 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.998 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.002 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.123 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.987 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.999 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.013 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.004 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 143.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.113 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.977 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 137.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.109 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.025 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.690 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.011 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.039 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.416 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.011 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.023 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 11.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.013 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.033 | ||||
| Median | 0.089 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.184 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.467 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.020 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.061 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.131 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.321 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.150 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.091 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.467 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -1.616 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.376 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.390 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.192 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.483 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.727 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.016 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.016 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.035 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.051 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -0.542 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.046 | ||||
| SD | 0.003 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -16.633 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -16.537 | ||||
| df | 130.000 | ||||
| t | -11.761 | ||||
| p | 0.859 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -13.182 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -19.961 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -13.113 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -12.108 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.150 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.004 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.051 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.001 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.004 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 14.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 117.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 131.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.982 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.046 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.479 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.003 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.746 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.004 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.042 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.000 | ||||
| DF error | 129.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -12.727 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.926 | ||||
| t(a) | -15.850 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.953 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.005 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.004 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.047 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.037 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 10.676 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.042 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.046 | ||||
| SD | 0.003 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -16.634 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -16.538 | ||||
| df | 130.000 | ||||
| t | -11.762 | ||||
| p | 0.859 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -13.183 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -19.962 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -13.114 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -12.108 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.150 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.004 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.051 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.001 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.004 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 14.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 117.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 131.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.867 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.046 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.478 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.003 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.749 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.004 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.042 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.000 | ||||
| DF error | 129.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -12.849 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.928 | ||||
| t(a) | -16.145 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.955 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.005 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.004 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.048 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.037 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 10.619 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.042 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.001 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 131.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.001 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.000 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 4.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.031 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 1.000 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 4.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.031 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.001 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 5.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.000 | ||||
| Median | 0.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.002 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.002 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.200 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.002 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.002 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.002 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.965 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.965 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -4.239 | ||||