Advanced Statistics: YZ income fund
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
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| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.298 | ||||
| SD | 0.409 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.730 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.724 | ||||
| df | 98.000 | ||||
| t | 2.095 | ||||
| p | 0.019 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.038 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.418 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.034 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.414 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.775 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.744 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.461 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.163 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.380 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.168 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 66.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 33.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 99.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.185 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.298 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.184 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.409 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.016 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.035 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.305 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.169 | ||||
| DF error | 97.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.153 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.561 | ||||
| t(a) | 2.044 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.022 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.483 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.414 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.009 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.601 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -8.612 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.305 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.231 | ||||
| SD | 0.343 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.672 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.667 | ||||
| df | 98.000 | ||||
| t | 1.930 | ||||
| p | 0.028 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.019 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.359 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.022 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.355 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.183 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.104 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.410 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.179 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.288 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.195 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 66.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 33.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 99.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.167 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.231 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.176 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.343 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.003 | ||||
| r | 0.051 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.100 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.214 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.119 | ||||
| DF error | 97.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.507 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.307 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.719 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.044 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.292 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.492 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.033 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.461 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 2.306 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.214 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.134 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.168 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.022 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.055 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 99.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.670 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.021 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.039 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.962 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.951 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.010 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.027 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.126 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.039 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 4.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.040 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.786 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 6.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.061 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.314 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.775 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.037 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.230 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 13.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.004 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.021 | ||||
| Median | 0.031 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.054 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.424 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.013 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.026 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.046 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.258 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.033 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 3.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.231 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.258 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -4.251 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.152 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.152 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.379 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.173 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.323 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 1.047 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.316 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.746 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 1.225 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 1.876 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.282 | ||||
| SD | 0.325 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.868 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.868 | ||||
| df | 2173.000 | ||||
| t | 2.501 | ||||
| p | 0.006 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.187 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.549 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.187 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.549 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.352 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 4.777 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.998 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.715 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.250 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.209 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 1143.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 1031.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 2174.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.199 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.282 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.222 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.325 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.006 | ||||
| r | 0.085 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.124 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.258 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.105 | ||||
| DF error | 2172.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 3.967 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.000 | ||||
| t(a) | 2.285 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.011 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.063 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.186 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.037 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.479 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 2.269 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.258 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.229 | ||||
| SD | 0.328 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.698 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.698 | ||||
| df | 2173.000 | ||||
| t | 2.011 | ||||
| p | 0.022 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.017 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.379 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.017 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.378 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 0.989 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 4.183 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.969 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.740 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.233 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.232 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 1143.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 1031.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 2174.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.175 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.229 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.220 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.328 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.006 | ||||
| r | 0.085 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.126 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.207 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.107 | ||||
| DF error | 2172.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 3.958 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.000 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.820 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.034 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.064 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.189 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.016 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.430 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 1.811 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.207 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.032 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.040 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.006 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.014 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 2174.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.649 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.003 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.273 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.989 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.001 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.014 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.003 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 217.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.100 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.976 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 233.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.107 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.027 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.146 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.007 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.687 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.007 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.029 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 151.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.001 | ||||
| Median | 0.004 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.015 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.479 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.002 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.008 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.075 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.014 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 21.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.139 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.117 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.735 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.070 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.289 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.548 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.066 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.168 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 1.041 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.314 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.655 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 4.199 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 7.832 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.044 | ||||
| SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | NA | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | NA | ||||
| df | NA | ||||
| t | NA | ||||
| p | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | NA | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -16.186 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.044 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.003 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 131.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 131.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.970 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.044 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.478 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.000 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.000 | ||||
| r | NA | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | NA | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | NA | ||||
| Mean Square Error | NA | ||||
| DF error | NA | ||||
| t(b) | NA | ||||
| p(b) | NA | ||||
| t(a) | NA | ||||
| p(a) | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | NA | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | NA | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | NA | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.044 | ||||
| SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -12492933348697024.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -12420719861132300.000 | ||||
| df | 130.000 | ||||
| t | -8833837887775228.000 | ||||
| p | 1.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -13930479873814932.000 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -10910959848449668.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -16.186 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.044 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.003 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 131.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 131.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.854 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.044 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.479 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.000 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.000 | ||||
| r | -0.000 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.000 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.044 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.000 | ||||
| DF error | 129.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.000 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.500 | ||||
| t(a) | -8746467305781650.000 | ||||
| p(a) | 1.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.000 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.044 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.044 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 164458316335599655079519671287808.000 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.044 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 131.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.000 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 0.000 | ||||
| Minimum | NA | ||||
| Quartile 1 | NA | ||||
| Median | NA | ||||
| Quartile 3 | NA | ||||
| Maximum | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | NA | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.000 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.000 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.000 | ||||