Advanced Statistics: Holly DAX
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
| |||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.352 | ||||
| SD | 0.501 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.702 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.690 | ||||
| df | 46.000 | ||||
| t | -1.389 | ||||
| p | 0.914 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.699 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.303 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.691 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.310 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -0.699 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.054 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.027 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.379 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.053 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.504 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 1.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 46.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 47.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | -0.036 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.352 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.217 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.501 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.013 | ||||
| r | 0.116 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.269 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.342 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.254 | ||||
| DF error | 45.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.784 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.219 | ||||
| t(a) | -1.343 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.907 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.421 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.958 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.855 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.171 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.310 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.342 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.744 | ||||
| SD | 1.195 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.623 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.612 | ||||
| df | 46.000 | ||||
| t | -1.232 | ||||
| p | 0.888 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.618 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.379 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.611 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.386 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -0.620 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.021 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.026 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.769 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.051 | ||||
| Downside SD | 1.200 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 1.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 46.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 47.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | -0.060 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.744 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.219 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 1.195 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.022 | ||||
| r | 0.084 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.455 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.717 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 1.449 | ||||
| DF error | 45.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.562 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.288 | ||||
| t(a) | -1.175 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.877 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.175 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 2.085 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.945 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.512 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.634 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.717 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.467 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.535 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.108 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.238 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 47.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.099 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.109 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.890 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.009 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 4.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.085 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.671 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 3.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.064 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.037 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -162.975 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | -872072867.201 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.765 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.232 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.771 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 1.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.942 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.942 | ||||
| Median | 0.942 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.942 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.942 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | NA | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.239 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.503 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.534 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -0.941 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.542 | ||||
| SD | 0.525 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.033 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.032 | ||||
| df | 1370.000 | ||||
| t | -2.062 | ||||
| p | 0.528 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.015 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.050 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -2.015 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.050 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -1.128 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.666 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.320 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.862 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.212 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.481 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 31.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 1340.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 1371.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.028 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.542 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.296 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.525 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.011 | ||||
| r | 0.069 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.122 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.545 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.274 | ||||
| DF error | 1369.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 2.549 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.456 | ||||
| t(a) | -2.079 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.536 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.028 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.216 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.060 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.031 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -4.442 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.545 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.732 | ||||
| SD | 0.675 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.083 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.083 | ||||
| df | 1370.000 | ||||
| t | -2.163 | ||||
| p | 0.529 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.066 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.101 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -2.065 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.100 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -1.128 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.463 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.300 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -1.032 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.192 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.648 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 31.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 1340.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 1371.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | -0.016 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.732 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.296 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.675 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.012 | ||||
| r | 0.062 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.141 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.729 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.455 | ||||
| DF error | 1369.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 2.292 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.461 | ||||
| t(a) | -2.160 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.537 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.020 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.262 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.392 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.067 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -5.185 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.729 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.060 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.074 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.009 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.020 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 1371.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.371 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.329 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.990 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.004 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 38.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.028 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.914 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 31.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.023 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.041 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -3.812 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | -0.230 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.141 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | -0.097 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 4.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.006 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.009 | ||||
| Median | 0.186 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.508 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.949 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.006 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.010 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.362 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.949 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.500 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.235 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.497 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.524 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.524 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -6.698 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.044 | ||||
| SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | NA | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | NA | ||||
| df | NA | ||||
| t | NA | ||||
| p | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | NA | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -18.547 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.044 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.002 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 172.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.598 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.044 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.253 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.000 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.000 | ||||
| r | NA | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | NA | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | NA | ||||
| Mean Square Error | NA | ||||
| DF error | NA | ||||
| t(b) | NA | ||||
| p(b) | NA | ||||
| t(a) | NA | ||||
| p(a) | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | NA | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | NA | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | NA | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.044 | ||||
| SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -7936535306446244.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -7901674975671223.000 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | -5611977934314593.000 | ||||
| p | 1.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -8739115425704417.000 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -7064234525638030.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -18.547 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.044 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.002 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 172.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.566 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.044 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.251 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.000 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.000 | ||||
| r | -0.000 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.000 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.044 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.000 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.000 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.500 | ||||
| t(a) | -5554263782095954.000 | ||||
| p(a) | 1.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.000 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.044 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.044 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 110823174314631172472153755877376.000 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.044 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.000 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 0.000 | ||||
| Minimum | NA | ||||
| Quartile 1 | NA | ||||
| Median | NA | ||||
| Quartile 3 | NA | ||||
| Maximum | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | NA | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.000 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.000 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.000 | ||||


