Advanced Statistics: Cambist Fund
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
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| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.484 | ||||
| SD | 0.401 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.205 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.102 | ||||
| df | 9.000 | ||||
| t | -1.100 | ||||
| p | 0.850 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -3.390 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.042 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -3.308 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.105 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -1.193 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.484 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.405 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 10.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 10.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.169 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.484 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.236 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.401 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.023 | ||||
| r | -0.245 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.417 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.413 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.170 | ||||
| DF error | 8.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.715 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.753 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.893 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.801 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.763 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.929 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.480 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.654 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 1.158 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.413 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.591 | ||||
| SD | 0.500 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.184 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.082 | ||||
| df | 9.000 | ||||
| t | -1.080 | ||||
| p | 0.846 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -3.367 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.060 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -3.286 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.123 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -1.174 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.591 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.504 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 10.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 10.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.143 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.591 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.232 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.500 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.029 | ||||
| r | -0.249 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.536 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.515 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.263 | ||||
| DF error | 8.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.728 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.756 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.900 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.803 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2.235 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.162 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.834 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.804 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 1.102 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.515 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.249 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.292 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.140 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.288 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 10.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.634 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.878 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.000 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.100 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.634 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 1.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.366 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.366 | ||||
| Median | 0.366 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.366 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.366 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | NA | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.440 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.422 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -1.151 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -1.443 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.516 | ||||
| SD | 0.253 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -2.035 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -2.030 | ||||
| df | 309.000 | ||||
| t | -1.931 | ||||
| p | 0.973 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -4.104 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.038 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -4.100 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.041 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -2.130 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.832 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.201 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.717 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.079 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.242 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 7.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 303.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 310.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.341 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.516 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.275 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.253 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.001 | ||||
| r | 0.020 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.018 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.522 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.064 | ||||
| DF error | 308.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.346 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.365 | ||||
| t(a) | -1.947 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.974 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.085 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.121 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.049 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.005 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -28.442 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.522 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.550 | ||||
| SD | 0.266 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -2.065 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -2.060 | ||||
| df | 309.000 | ||||
| t | -1.960 | ||||
| p | 0.975 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -4.134 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.008 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -4.131 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 0.011 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -2.147 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.774 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.198 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.748 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.077 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.256 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 7.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 303.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 310.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.303 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.550 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.276 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.266 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.001 | ||||
| r | 0.018 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.017 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.555 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.071 | ||||
| DF error | 308.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.312 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.378 | ||||
| t(a) | -1.972 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.975 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.091 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.125 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.109 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.001 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -32.052 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.555 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.025 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.031 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.007 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.016 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 310.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.870 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.046 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.992 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.002 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 12.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.039 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.949 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 7.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.023 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.026 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -7.427 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | -0.046 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.827 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | -0.020 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 2.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.001 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.108 | ||||
| Median | 0.215 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.322 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.429 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.001 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.429 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.214 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.406 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.397 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.926 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.926 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -12.922 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.044 | ||||
| SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | NA | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | NA | ||||
| df | NA | ||||
| t | NA | ||||
| p | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | NA | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -18.547 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.044 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.002 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 172.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.629 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.044 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.268 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.000 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.000 | ||||
| r | NA | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | NA | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | NA | ||||
| Mean Square Error | NA | ||||
| DF error | NA | ||||
| t(b) | NA | ||||
| p(b) | NA | ||||
| t(a) | NA | ||||
| p(a) | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | NA | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | NA | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | NA | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -0.044 | ||||
| SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -7936535306446244.000 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -7901674975671223.000 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | -5611977934314593.000 | ||||
| p | 1.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | NA | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -8739115425704417.000 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -7064234525638030.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -18.547 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.000 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.044 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.000 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.002 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 0.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 172.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.593 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -0.044 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.268 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.000 | ||||
| Covariance | 0.000 | ||||
| r | 0.000 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.000 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.044 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.000 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | 0.000 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.500 | ||||
| t(a) | -5555914004748505.000 | ||||
| p(a) | 1.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.000 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.000 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.044 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.044 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -231756525449348717820757252505600.000 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.044 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.000 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.000 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 0.000 | ||||
| Minimum | NA | ||||
| Quartile 1 | NA | ||||
| Median | NA | ||||
| Quartile 3 | NA | ||||
| Maximum | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | NA | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.000 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.000 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.000 | ||||


