Advanced Statistics: es/
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
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| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 1.365 | ||||
| SD | 0.998 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.368 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.303 | ||||
| df | 16.000 | ||||
| t | 1.629 | ||||
| p | 0.311 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.364 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.061 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.405 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 3.010 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.868 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 4.119 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 1.961 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.595 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.931 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.476 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 12.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 5.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 17.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.085 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 1.365 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.177 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.998 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.080 | ||||
| r | -0.454 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -2.568 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 1.585 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.843 | ||||
| DF error | 15.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -1.976 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.779 | ||||
| t(a) | 2.034 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.215 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -5.339 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.203 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.076 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 3.246 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.532 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 1.585 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.866 | ||||
| SD | 0.993 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.873 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.831 | ||||
| df | 16.000 | ||||
| t | 1.039 | ||||
| p | 0.374 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.814 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.533 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.841 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.503 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.313 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.476 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 1.633 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.767 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.745 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.660 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 12.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 5.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 17.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.071 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.866 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.173 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.993 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.076 | ||||
| r | -0.439 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -2.513 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 1.044 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.848 | ||||
| DF error | 15.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -1.893 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.770 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.339 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.296 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -5.342 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.316 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.618 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 2.705 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.345 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 1.044 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.329 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.402 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.075 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.181 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 17.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.470 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.997 | ||||
| Median | 1.060 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.250 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.691 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.835 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.028 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.179 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.499 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.254 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.059 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.470 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.059 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.691 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -4.959 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.018 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.018 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.684 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.331 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 1.358 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 3.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.053 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.141 | ||||
| Median | 0.229 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.379 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.530 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.053 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.229 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.530 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.238 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 1.856 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 1.484 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 2.803 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 2.803 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 3.696 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 1.814 | ||||
| SD | 1.442 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.258 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.256 | ||||
| df | 490.000 | ||||
| t | 1.503 | ||||
| p | 0.067 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.385 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.900 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.386 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.898 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.155 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 7.798 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 6.562 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -4.749 | ||||
| Upside SD | 1.173 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.842 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 170.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 321.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 491.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.143 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 1.814 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.220 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 1.442 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.065 | ||||
| r | -0.205 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -1.348 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 2.006 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 1.995 | ||||
| DF error | 489.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -4.643 | ||||
| p(b) | 1.000 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.696 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.045 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.918 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.778 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.318 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 4.330 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.345 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 2.006 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.859 | ||||
| SD | 1.370 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.627 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.626 | ||||
| df | 490.000 | ||||
| t | 0.749 | ||||
| p | 0.227 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.014 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.268 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.015 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.267 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 0.884 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.210 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 6.036 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -5.176 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.964 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.972 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 170.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 321.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 491.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.119 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.859 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.220 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 1.370 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.052 | ||||
| r | -0.173 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -1.079 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.987 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 1.824 | ||||
| DF error | 489.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -3.894 | ||||
| p(b) | 1.000 | ||||
| t(a) | 0.873 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.192 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.623 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.535 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.235 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 3.209 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.796 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.987 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.112 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.139 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.037 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.081 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 491.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.630 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.996 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.015 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.946 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.945 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.003 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.074 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.018 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 58.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.118 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.900 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 63.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.128 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.117 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.878 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.032 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.294 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.436 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.048 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.116 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 21.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.001 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.014 | ||||
| Median | 0.031 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.129 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.700 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.008 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.022 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.082 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.446 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.115 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 3.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.143 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.631 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.303 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.399 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.711 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.435 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.417 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.497 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 1.843 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 1.468 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 2.098 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 3.291 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 10.570 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -1.152 | ||||
| SD | 0.836 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.377 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.371 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | -0.974 | ||||
| p | 0.547 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -4.151 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.400 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -4.147 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.404 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -1.605 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 4.638 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 3.330 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -4.481 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.429 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.718 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 60.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 112.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.334 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -1.152 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.138 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.836 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.022 | ||||
| r | -0.194 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -1.172 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.761 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.677 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -2.572 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.597 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.648 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.525 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2.072 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.272 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -3.078 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.556 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.983 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.761 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | -1.542 | ||||
| SD | 0.909 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.696 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.688 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | -1.199 | ||||
| p | 0.558 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -4.471 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.084 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -4.466 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 1.089 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | -1.901 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.996 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 3.242 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -4.783 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.414 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.811 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 60.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 112.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.324 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | -1.542 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.137 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.909 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.026 | ||||
| r | -0.210 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -1.388 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -1.092 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.795 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -2.795 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.605 | ||||
| t(a) | -0.859 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.533 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2.369 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.408 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -3.602 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.418 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 1.111 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | -1.092 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.082 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.100 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.035 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.075 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.670 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.991 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.008 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.118 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.950 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.998 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.002 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.037 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.017 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 19.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.110 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.910 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 17.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.099 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.065 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.664 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.042 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.143 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.476 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.044 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.103 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 1.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.542 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.542 | ||||
| Median | 0.542 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.542 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.542 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | NA | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.000 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -1.054 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.776 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -1.431 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | NA | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -7.758 | ||||


