Advanced Statistics: 2d
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
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| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.315 | ||||
| SD | 0.303 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.039 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.997 | ||||
| df | 19.000 | ||||
| t | 1.341 | ||||
| p | 0.316 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.528 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.579 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.554 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.548 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.446 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.870 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.499 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.183 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.281 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.129 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 14.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 6.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 20.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.133 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.315 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.087 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.303 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.003 | ||||
| r | -0.132 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.458 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.376 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.095 | ||||
| DF error | 18.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.563 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.566 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.432 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.340 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2.165 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.250 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.176 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.928 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.689 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.376 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.271 | ||||
| SD | 0.282 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.960 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.922 | ||||
| df | 19.000 | ||||
| t | 1.240 | ||||
| p | 0.328 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.600 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.497 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.624 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.468 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.989 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.396 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.463 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.192 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.251 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.136 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 14.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 6.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 20.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.128 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.271 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.086 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.282 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.003 | ||||
| r | -0.117 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.386 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.321 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.083 | ||||
| DF error | 18.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.501 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.559 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.314 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.352 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2.003 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.231 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.192 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.833 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.702 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.321 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.105 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.135 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.024 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.055 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 20.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.871 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.987 | ||||
| Median | 1.027 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.038 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.308 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.946 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.011 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.032 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.131 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.051 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 1.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.050 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.871 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 2.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.100 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.227 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.844 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.061 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.403 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 2.178 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.047 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 3.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.019 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.025 | ||||
| Median | 0.031 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.125 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.219 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.019 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.031 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.219 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.100 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.414 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.370 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 1.692 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 1.692 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 2.744 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.381 | ||||
| SD | 0.457 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.833 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.832 | ||||
| df | 588.000 | ||||
| t | 1.090 | ||||
| p | 0.138 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.666 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.331 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.667 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.330 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.219 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.470 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 2.020 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -1.639 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.334 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.312 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 341.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 248.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 589.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.162 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.381 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.161 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.457 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.009 | ||||
| r | -0.125 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.356 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.438 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.206 | ||||
| DF error | 587.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -3.058 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.999 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.262 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.104 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.584 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.127 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.244 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.121 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.070 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.438 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.275 | ||||
| SD | 0.460 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.598 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.598 | ||||
| df | 588.000 | ||||
| t | 0.783 | ||||
| p | 0.217 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.900 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.096 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.901 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 2.096 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 0.834 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 5.954 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 1.967 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -1.691 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.320 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.330 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 341.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 248.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 589.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.149 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.275 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.161 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.460 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.009 | ||||
| r | -0.125 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.358 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.329 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.209 | ||||
| DF error | 587.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -3.055 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.999 | ||||
| t(a) | 0.940 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.174 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.588 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.128 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.358 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.015 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.770 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.329 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.039 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.049 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.009 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.022 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 589.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.819 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.998 | ||||
| Median | 1.001 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.003 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.176 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.982 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.002 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.022 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.005 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 69.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.117 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.965 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 70.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.119 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.040 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.154 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.015 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.688 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.013 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.050 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 76.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.001 | ||||
| Median | 0.002 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.009 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.475 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.002 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.005 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.064 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.009 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 11.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.145 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.103 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.072 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.058 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.173 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.057 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.425 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.376 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.792 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 5.839 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 7.666 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.285 | ||||
| SD | 0.272 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.050 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.046 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | 0.743 | ||||
| p | 0.464 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.725 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.823 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.728 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 3.820 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.968 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 9.731 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 1.411 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -1.126 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.229 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.145 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 84.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 88.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.380 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.285 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.116 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.272 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.003 | ||||
| r | -0.103 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.242 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.377 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.073 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -1.356 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.552 | ||||
| t(a) | 0.969 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.463 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.594 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.110 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.391 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.146 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.180 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.377 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.249 | ||||
| SD | 0.267 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.934 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.930 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | 0.660 | ||||
| p | 0.468 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.841 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.706 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.844 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 3.703 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 1.695 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 9.417 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 1.386 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -1.136 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.222 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.147 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 84.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 88.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.373 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.249 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.116 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.267 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.003 | ||||
| r | -0.107 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.246 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.341 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.071 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -1.401 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.553 | ||||
| t(a) | 0.892 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.466 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.593 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.101 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.413 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.096 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.014 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.341 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.023 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.029 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.008 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.016 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.951 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.997 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.003 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.092 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.988 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.999 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.001 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.016 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.005 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 20.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.116 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.980 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 19.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.110 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.028 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.357 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.010 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.019 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.083 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.011 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.016 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 24.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.000 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.001 | ||||
| Median | 0.002 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.012 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.091 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.001 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.006 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.052 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.011 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 4.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.167 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 0.067 | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -1.169 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.045 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.049 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.931 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.076 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.084 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.316 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.341 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 3.738 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 6.555 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 11.947 | ||||


