Advanced Statistics: FFX Limited
Advanced Statistics module contributed by Jules Ellis, C2 Member. Jules has written a very helpful guide for these statistics. | |||||
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| ANALYSIS BASED ON MONTHLY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.275 | ||||
| SD | 0.168 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.640 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.425 | ||||
| df | 6.000 | ||||
| t | 1.253 | ||||
| p | 0.128 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.140 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.303 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.265 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 4.115 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 5.338 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 7.456 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.384 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.109 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.167 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.052 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 4.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 3.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 7.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.004 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.275 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.133 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.168 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.008 | ||||
| r | -0.364 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.459 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.277 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.029 | ||||
| DF error | 5.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.874 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.789 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.237 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.136 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.809 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.891 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.299 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.853 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.599 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.277 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.260 | ||||
| SD | 0.163 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.596 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.386 | ||||
| df | 6.000 | ||||
| t | 1.219 | ||||
| p | 0.134 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.176 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.252 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.297 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 4.069 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 4.990 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 7.106 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.370 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.110 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.160 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.052 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 4.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 3.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 7.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | -0.003 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.260 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.133 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.163 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.008 | ||||
| r | -0.364 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.446 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.258 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.028 | ||||
| DF error | 5.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.873 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.789 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.188 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.144 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.758 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.867 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.301 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.817 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.583 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.258 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.054 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.072 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.020 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.034 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 7.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.973 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.987 | ||||
| Median | 1.011 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.068 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.093 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.977 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.002 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.066 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.081 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.081 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 3.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.007 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.013 | ||||
| Median | 0.019 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.023 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.027 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.007 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.019 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | NA | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.027 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.010 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | NA | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | NA | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | NA | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | NA | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.332 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.355 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 13.388 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 13.388 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 4.904 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, FULL HISTORY (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.237 | ||||
| SD | 0.133 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.781 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.775 | ||||
| df | 223.000 | ||||
| t | 1.437 | ||||
| p | 0.076 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.656 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.213 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.660 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 4.209 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.850 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 9.685 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.805 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.568 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.104 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.083 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 68.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 156.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 224.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.251 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.237 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.176 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.133 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.037 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.028 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.244 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.018 | ||||
| DF error | 222.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.551 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.709 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.473 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.071 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.128 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.072 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.082 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.570 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -8.494 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.244 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.228 | ||||
| SD | 0.133 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.716 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.710 | ||||
| df | 223.000 | ||||
| t | 1.385 | ||||
| p | 0.084 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.720 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.148 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -0.724 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 4.145 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.716 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 9.526 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.800 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.572 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.103 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.084 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 68.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 156.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 224.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.236 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.228 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.176 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.133 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.037 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.028 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.235 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.018 | ||||
| DF error | 222.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.558 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.711 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.420 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.079 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.128 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.072 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.091 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.561 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -8.050 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.235 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.011 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.014 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.005 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.010 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 224.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.965 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.002 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.027 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.994 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.009 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.002 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 29.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.129 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.990 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 35.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.156 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.012 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.077 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.003 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.005 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.181 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.005 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.010 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 11.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.002 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.005 | ||||
| Median | 0.015 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.029 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.063 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.003 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.010 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.018 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.051 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.024 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -7.042 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.056 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.056 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -1.225 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.069 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.071 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.298 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.313 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 4.986 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 6.150 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 22.314 | ||||
| ANALYSIS BASED ON DAILY VALUES, LAST 6 MONTHS (Back) | |||||
| RATIO STATISTICS | |||||
| Ratio statistics of excess return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.214 | ||||
| SD | 0.134 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.602 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.595 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | 1.133 | ||||
| p | 0.445 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.177 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.377 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.182 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 4.372 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.510 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 8.886 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.759 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.545 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.103 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.085 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 45.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 127.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.286 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.214 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.190 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.134 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.034 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.024 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.221 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.018 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.440 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.517 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.162 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.456 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.130 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.083 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.154 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.597 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -9.023 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.221 | ||||
| Ratio statistics of excess log return rates | |||||
| Statistics related to Sharpe ratio | |||||
| Mean | 0.205 | ||||
| SD | 0.134 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.536 | ||||
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.529 | ||||
| df | 171.000 | ||||
| t | 1.086 | ||||
| p | 0.447 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.243 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.310 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | -1.247 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation) | 4.306 | ||||
| Statistics related to Sortino ratio | |||||
| Sortino ratio | 2.379 | ||||
| Upside Potential Ratio | 8.730 | ||||
| Upside part of mean | 0.754 | ||||
| Downside part of mean | -0.548 | ||||
| Upside SD | 0.102 | ||||
| Downside SD | 0.086 | ||||
| N nonnegative terms | 45.000 | ||||
| N negative terms | 127.000 | ||||
| Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark | |||||
| N of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Mean of predictor | 0.268 | ||||
| Mean of criterion | 0.205 | ||||
| SD of predictor | 0.189 | ||||
| SD of criterion | 0.134 | ||||
| Covariance | -0.001 | ||||
| r | -0.034 | ||||
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.024 | ||||
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.212 | ||||
| Mean Square Error | 0.018 | ||||
| DF error | 170.000 | ||||
| t(b) | -0.448 | ||||
| p(b) | 0.517 | ||||
| t(a) | 1.115 | ||||
| p(a) | 0.457 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.131 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.083 | ||||
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.163 | ||||
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.587 | ||||
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -8.469 | ||||
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.212 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric) | |||||
| assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.011 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.014 | ||||
| assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics) | |||||
| VaR(95%) | 0.005 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.010 | ||||
| ORDER STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of return rates | |||||
| Number of observations | 172.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.965 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 1.000 | ||||
| Median | 1.000 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 1.001 | ||||
| Maximum | 1.027 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.994 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.009 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.001 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 35.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.203 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | 0.993 | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 38.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.221 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | 1.010 | ||||
| Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.006 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.003 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.005 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.394 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.005 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.010 | ||||
| DRAW DOWN STATISTICS | |||||
| Quartiles of draw downs | |||||
| Number of observations | 10.000 | ||||
| Minimum | 0.002 | ||||
| Quartile 1 | 0.007 | ||||
| Median | 0.016 | ||||
| Quartile 3 | 0.034 | ||||
| Maximum | 0.063 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.005 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.012 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.018 | ||||
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.049 | ||||
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.027 | ||||
| Number outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers low | NA | ||||
| Number of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.000 | ||||
| Mean of outliers high | NA | ||||
| Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value Theory) | |||||
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -1.238 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.057 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.059 | ||||
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.312 | ||||
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.066 | ||||
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.096 | ||||
| COMBINED STATISTICS | |||||
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.266 | ||||
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.283 | ||||
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 4.518 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 5.806 | ||||
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 19.991 | ||||


