Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

foxre
(134255487)

Created by: PeterAlexander2 PeterAlexander2
Started: 02/2021
Forex
Last trade: 6 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $125.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

19.6%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(7.4%)
Max Drawdown
90
Num Trades
53.3%
Win Trades
2.0 : 1
Profit Factor
62.5%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021       (0.2%)(2.6%)+10.9%+0.4%(0.6%)+5.6%+3.7%+1.7%                  +19.6%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 33 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
8/22/21 20:12 USD/JPY USD/JPY LONG 5 109.875 9/7 10:32 110.237 0.45%
Trade id #137071790
Max drawdown($209)
Time8/24/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price109.412
Drawdown as % of equity-0.45%
$164
8/17/21 2:17 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 9.600000000 1.25985 8/20 1:27 1.28871 0.05%
Trade id #136991544
Max drawdown($24)
Time8/17/21 2:20
Quant open8
Worst price1.25944
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$2,154
8/16/21 4:47 AUD/USD AUD/USD LONG 8 0.73435 8/17 2:17 0.73038 0.61%
Trade id #136974188
Max drawdown($276)
Time8/17/21 2:12
Quant open6
Worst price0.73003
Drawdown as % of equity-0.61%
($318)
8/16/21 2:31 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 6.400000000 1.25371 8/16 4:46 1.25360 0.02%
Trade id #136973341
Max drawdown($8)
Time8/16/21 4:46
Quant open5
Worst price1.25350
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
($6)
8/12/21 21:01 USD/CHF USD/CHF LONG 6.400000000 0.92318 8/13 10:11 0.91780 0.68%
Trade id #136946633
Max drawdown($308)
Time8/13/21 10:11
Quant open5
Worst price0.91767
Drawdown as % of equity-0.68%
($375)
8/10/21 9:02 AUD/USD AUD/USD LONG 4.800000000 0.73434 8/12 21:00 0.73374 0.17%
Trade id #136897987
Max drawdown($77)
Time8/11/21 0:00
Quant open4
Worst price0.73233
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
($29)
8/10/21 3:48 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 4.800000000 1.25691 8/10 8:00 1.25631 0.04%
Trade id #136894482
Max drawdown($16)
Time8/10/21 8:00
Quant open4
Worst price1.25636
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
($23)
8/10/21 2:41 AUD/USD AUD/USD LONG 6.400000000 0.73342 8/10 3:48 0.73335 0.03%
Trade id #136894130
Max drawdown($11)
Time8/10/21 3:03
Quant open5
Worst price0.73319
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
($4)
8/8/21 23:50 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 6.400000000 1.25628 8/10 2:35 1.25647 0.28%
Trade id #136875228
Max drawdown($127)
Time8/9/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price1.25315
Drawdown as % of equity-0.28%
$10
8/9/21 7:50 USD/JPY USD/JPY LONG 4 110.112 8/9 10:59 110.295 0.05%
Trade id #136878184
Max drawdown($24)
Time8/9/21 9:34
Quant open3
Worst price110.026
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$66
8/6/21 4:49 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 14.400000000 1.25112 8/6 11:34 1.25683 0.2%
Trade id #136852282
Max drawdown($92)
Time8/6/21 7:24
Quant open11
Worst price1.25011
Drawdown as % of equity-0.20%
$654
8/6/21 4:27 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 14.400000000 1.25089 8/6 4:49 1.25089 0.06%
Trade id #136852212
Max drawdown($28)
Time8/6/21 4:44
Quant open11
Worst price1.25058
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$0
8/6/21 1:53 AUD/USD AUD/USD LONG 8 0.73917 8/6 4:24 0.73902 0.07%
Trade id #136851487
Max drawdown($33)
Time8/6/21 3:15
Quant open6
Worst price0.73864
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
($12)
8/3/21 6:19 EUR/USD EUR/USD LONG 6.400000000 1.18878 8/6 4:24 1.18138 0.83%
Trade id #136797664
Max drawdown($377)
Time8/6/21 4:24
Quant open5
Worst price1.18140
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
($474)
8/2/21 12:31 EUR/USD EUR/USD LONG 5.600000000 1.18698 8/3 3:56 1.18786 0.05%
Trade id #136789045
Max drawdown($20)
Time8/2/21 13:12
Quant open5
Worst price1.18652
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$49
8/2/21 9:25 EUR/USD EUR/USD LONG 5.600000000 1.18813 8/2 10:49 1.18775 0.06%
Trade id #136781851
Max drawdown($27)
Time8/2/21 9:53
Quant open5
Worst price1.18751
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
($21)
7/26/21 5:27 USD/CHF USD/CHF LONG 4.800000000 0.91802 7/26 18:50 0.91579 0.29%
Trade id #136671624
Max drawdown($132)
Time7/26/21 13:34
Quant open4
Worst price0.91486
Drawdown as % of equity-0.29%
($117)
7/23/21 10:08 USD/CHF USD/CHF SHORT 4 0.92082 7/26 4:05 0.91814 0.06%
Trade id #136650116
Max drawdown($25)
Time7/23/21 10:42
Quant open3
Worst price0.92156
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$117
7/26/21 2:30 EUR/USD EUR/USD LONG 4 1.17802 7/26 4:05 1.17810 0.07%
Trade id #136670506
Max drawdown($30)
Time7/26/21 2:58
Quant open3
Worst price1.17708
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
$3
7/21/21 22:18 USD/JPY USD/JPY LONG 8 110.115 7/23 10:02 110.424 0.13%
Trade id #136624017
Max drawdown($59)
Time7/22/21 0:00
Quant open6
Worst price110.013
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
$224
7/21/21 3:21 EUR/USD EUR/USD LONG 12 1.17596 7/21 5:54 1.17688 0.17%
Trade id #136603205
Max drawdown($75)
Time7/21/21 3:32
Quant open10
Worst price1.17517
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
$110
7/21/21 2:35 USD/JPY USD/JPY LONG 12 109.840 7/21 3:12 109.894 0.02%
Trade id #136602860
Max drawdown($7)
Time7/21/21 2:40
Quant open10
Worst price109.831
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$59
7/21/21 0:34 USD/CHF USD/CHF LONG 12 0.92137 7/21 2:31 0.92186 0.09%
Trade id #136602293
Max drawdown($38)
Time7/21/21 1:30
Quant open10
Worst price0.92100
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
$64
7/19/21 20:30 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 8 1.27421 7/19 21:31 1.27415 0.02%
Trade id #136567735
Max drawdown($8)
Time7/19/21 21:31
Quant open6
Worst price1.27404
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
($4)
7/8/21 9:57 USD/CAD USD/CAD LONG 16 1.25433 7/19 5:17 1.27791 2.87%
Trade id #136379000
Max drawdown($1,199)
Time7/14/21 0:00
Quant open13
Worst price1.24239
Drawdown as % of equity-2.87%
$2,957
7/8/21 3:30 GBP/USD GBP/USD SHORT 17.600000000 1.37703 7/8 9:32 1.37797 0.79%
Trade id #136372451
Max drawdown($336)
Time7/8/21 5:49
Quant open14
Worst price1.37942
Drawdown as % of equity-0.79%
($165)
7/7/21 13:48 USD/CHF USD/CHF LONG 20.800000000 0.92518 7/8 3:29 0.92342 0.83%
Trade id #136365767
Max drawdown($357)
Time7/8/21 3:27
Quant open17
Worst price0.92321
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
($397)
7/7/21 11:56 NZD/USD NZD/USD LONG 14.400000000 0.70095 7/7 12:18 0.70102 n/a $10
7/6/21 22:54 EUR/USD EUR/USD SHORT 12.800000000 1.18208 7/7 11:51 1.18006 0.37%
Trade id #136353021
Max drawdown($159)
Time7/7/21 8:16
Quant open10
Worst price1.18364
Drawdown as % of equity-0.37%
$259
7/6/21 21:20 NZD/USD NZD/USD LONG 16 0.70139 7/6 21:45 0.70156 0.06%
Trade id #136352545
Max drawdown($25)
Time7/6/21 21:38
Quant open13
Worst price0.70119
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$27

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    2/24/2021
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $50,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    207.71
  • Age
    7 months ago
  • What it trades
    Forex
  • # Trades
    90
  • # Profitable
    48
  • % Profitable
    53.30%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.6 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    7.4%
  • drawdown period
    May 25, 2021 - July 09, 2021
  • Cumul. Return
    19.6%
  • Avg win
    $377.38
  • Avg loss
    $218.60
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $48,166
  • Margin Used
    $1,800
  • Buying Power
    $47,133
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.97:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.94
  • Sortino Ratio
    3.56
  • Calmar Ratio
    7.271
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    6.64%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.06740
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    12.93%
  • Verified
  • C2Star
    2
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    36.3%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.196%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    1.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    42.3%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    1.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    971
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    954
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    972
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    942
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $219
  • Avg Win
    $377
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $9,181.000
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader num accounts)
    2
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    8
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $18,117.000
  • # Winners
    48
  • Num Months Winners
    6
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    97923
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    42
  • % Winners
    53.3%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    2333.10
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    38.88
  • Avg Trade Length
    1.6 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    6
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    2.29
  • Daily leverage (max)
    6.33
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.09
  • Beta
    -0.07
  • Treynor Index
    -1.14
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.88
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    1.897
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.364
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.054
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.534
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.36961
  • SD
    0.24547
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.50575
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.26595
  • df
    5.00000
  • t
    1.06472
  • p
    0.16785
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.47629
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.35698
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.61477
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.14668
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.75288
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.58638
  • Upside part of mean
    0.51220
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.14258
  • Upside SD
    0.23569
  • Downside SD
    0.07777
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    6.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.23618
  • Mean of criterion
    0.36961
  • SD of predictor
    0.06021
  • SD of criterion
    0.24547
  • Covariance
    0.01268
  • r
    0.85826
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    3.49896
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.45678
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01984
  • DF error
    4.00000
  • t(b)
    3.34461
  • p(b)
    0.01436
  • t(a)
    -1.43925
  • p(a)
    0.88826
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.59382
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    6.40411
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.33812
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.42456
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.10564
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.45678
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.34017
  • SD
    0.23389
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.45438
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.22277
  • df
    5.00000
  • t
    1.02840
  • p
    0.17546
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.51635
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.29793
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.65078
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.09631
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.28058
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.10974
  • Upside part of mean
    0.48553
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.14536
  • Upside SD
    0.22117
  • Downside SD
    0.07947
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    6.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.23192
  • Mean of criterion
    0.34017
  • SD of predictor
    0.05848
  • SD of criterion
    0.23389
  • Covariance
    0.01155
  • r
    0.84440
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    3.37719
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.44306
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01963
  • DF error
    4.00000
  • t(b)
    3.15237
  • p(b)
    0.01722
  • t(a)
    -1.39424
  • p(a)
    0.88215
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.40215
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    6.35223
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.32553
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.43941
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.10073
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.44306
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.07938
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10472
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02121
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04242
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    6.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95115
  • Quartile 1
    0.98869
  • Median
    1.02298
  • Quartile 3
    1.06078
  • Maximum
    1.15102
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.96668
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00810
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.03787
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.10972
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.07210
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01779
  • Quartile 1
    0.02555
  • Median
    0.03332
  • Quartile 3
    0.04108
  • Maximum
    0.04885
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01779
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.04885
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01553
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.40413
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.44496
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    9.10864
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    9.10864
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    4.24914
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33791
  • SD
    0.13495
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.50402
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.49123
  • df
    147.00000
  • t
    1.88199
  • p
    0.40274
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.12348
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.12326
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.13204
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.11449
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.92268
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    12.59370
  • Upside part of mean
    0.86447
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.52656
  • Upside SD
    0.11752
  • Downside SD
    0.06864
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    77.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    148.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.19468
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33791
  • SD of predictor
    0.12071
  • SD of criterion
    0.13495
  • Covariance
    -0.00145
  • r
    -0.08893
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.09942
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.35700
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01819
  • DF error
    146.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.07881
  • p(b)
    0.54446
  • t(a)
    1.98102
  • p(a)
    0.41911
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.28154
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.08271
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.00084
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.71367
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -3.39886
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.35726
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.32871
  • SD
    0.13396
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.45382
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.44128
  • df
    147.00000
  • t
    1.84426
  • p
    0.40463
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.17307
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.07254
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.18137
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.06393
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.75933
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    12.41700
  • Upside part of mean
    0.85758
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.52888
  • Upside SD
    0.11604
  • Downside SD
    0.06907
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    77.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    148.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.18735
  • Mean of criterion
    0.32871
  • SD of predictor
    0.12068
  • SD of criterion
    0.13396
  • Covariance
    -0.00144
  • r
    -0.08881
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.09858
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.34718
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01792
  • DF error
    146.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.07735
  • p(b)
    0.54441
  • t(a)
    1.93999
  • p(a)
    0.42074
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.27942
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.08226
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.00651
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.70086
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -3.33433
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.34718
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01228
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01569
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00474
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00935
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    148.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98036
  • Quartile 1
    0.99768
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00409
  • Maximum
    1.04098
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99299
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99920
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00176
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01165
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00640
  • Number outliers low
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02703
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98299
  • Number of outliers high
    10.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06757
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.02284
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.23993
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00673
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01093
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.15316
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00684
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00890
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    13.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00158
  • Quartile 1
    0.00225
  • Median
    0.00692
  • Quartile 3
    0.01332
  • Maximum
    0.05893
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00184
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00495
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01028
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.04449
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01107
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.15385
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.05692
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.78935
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.03655
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04092
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.70123
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.05074
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.05202
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.39507
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.42848
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    7.27084
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    9.63096
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    27.31430
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.45716
  • SD
    0.13760
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.32241
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.30321
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    2.34930
  • p
    0.39910
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.51524
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.11727
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.50247
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.10394
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.06179
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    14.45870
  • Upside part of mean
    0.93601
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.47885
  • Upside SD
    0.12408
  • Downside SD
    0.06474
  • N nonnegative terms
    64.00000
  • N negative terms
    67.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.22723
  • Mean of criterion
    0.45716
  • SD of predictor
    0.10555
  • SD of criterion
    0.13760
  • Covariance
    -0.00161
  • r
    -0.11110
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.14482
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.49006
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01884
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.26967
  • p(b)
    0.57058
  • t(a)
    2.50213
  • p(a)
    0.36410
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.37050
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.08086
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.10255
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.87758
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -3.15665
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.49006
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.44743
  • SD
    0.13648
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.27833
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.25938
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    2.31813
  • p
    0.40038
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.47193
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.07242
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.45940
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.05936
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    6.86920
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    14.25250
  • Upside part of mean
    0.92834
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.48091
  • Upside SD
    0.12250
  • Downside SD
    0.06514
  • N nonnegative terms
    64.00000
  • N negative terms
    67.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.22158
  • Mean of criterion
    0.44743
  • SD of predictor
    0.10551
  • SD of criterion
    0.13648
  • Covariance
    -0.00159
  • r
    -0.11074
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.14324
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.47917
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01854
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.26552
  • p(b)
    0.57035
  • t(a)
    2.46747
  • p(a)
    0.36587
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01200
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.36719
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.08070
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.09495
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.86339
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -3.12355
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.47917
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01209
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01556
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00425
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00855
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98036
  • Quartile 1
    0.99809
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00449
  • Maximum
    1.04098
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99359
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99937
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00202
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01243
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00641
  • Number outliers low
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02290
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98290
  • Number of outliers high
    10.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.07634
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.02284
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.22715
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00567
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00931
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.01236
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00691
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01007
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    15.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00158
  • Quartile 1
    0.00252
  • Median
    0.00692
  • Quartile 3
    0.01346
  • Maximum
    0.05893
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00184
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00441
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01028
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.02992
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01095
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06667
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.05893
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.34663
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.03066
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.03778
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.55554
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.04845
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.12213
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -369665000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    45
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.53658
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.60855
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    10.32650
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    20.33900
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    39.11660

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2021-02-24
Suggested Minimum Capital
$50,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 2.8%
Rank # 
#21
# Trades
90
# Profitable
48
% Profitable
53.3%
Correlation S&P500
-0.067
Sharpe Ratio
1.94
Sortino Ratio
3.56
Beta
-0.07
Alpha
0.09
Leverage
2.29 Average
6.33 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Okay, gotcha.

Not available

This feature isn't available under your current Trade Leader Plan.

Want to see available plans and features?

Please hold...

Strategy is now visible

This strategy is now visible to the public. New subscribers will be able to follow it.

C2Star strategies cannot be made private.

To make this strategy private, you need to first withdraw from C2Star program.

Strategy is no longer visible

This strategy is no longer visible to anyone except current subscribers.

(Current subscribers will remain subscribed. You can see who is subscribed, and control their subscriptions, on your Subscriber Management screen.)

Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.

This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.

You can restore public visibility at any time.

Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.