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Only 4 days
(135117731)

Created by: KomenanJustinKoua KomenanJustinKoua
Started: 04/2021
Forex
Last trade: Yesterday
Trading style: Futures Currencies

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $125.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Currencies
Category: Equity

Currencies

Focuses on currency futures.
7.4%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(6.1%)
Max Drawdown
208
Num Trades
67.3%
Win Trades
1.2 : 1
Profit Factor
66.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021                     +4.4%  -  +2.2%+3.0%+0.4%(2.7%)                  +7.4%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 59 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 27 days ago.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
9/17/21 5:44 AUD/JPY AUD/JPY SHORT 5 80.393 9/17 10:46 79.996 0.08%
Trade id #137410976
Max drawdown($44)
Time9/17/21 8:21
Quant open5
Worst price80.490
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
$181
9/13/21 21:38 NZD/USD NZD/USD SHORT 5 0.71197 9/17 8:10 0.70728 0.29%
Trade id #137357534
Max drawdown($156)
Time9/14/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price0.71509
Drawdown as % of equity-0.29%
$235
9/13/21 11:54 NZD/CAD NZD/CAD SHORT 10 0.89986 9/17 4:27 0.89543 0.27%
Trade id #137350999
Max drawdown($143)
Time9/14/21 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price0.90168
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
$350
9/15/21 19:16 EUR/AUD EUR/AUD LONG 5 1.61057 9/16 9:13 1.61000 0.3%
Trade id #137390073
Max drawdown($159)
Time9/16/21 8:35
Quant open5
Worst price1.60619
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
($21)
9/15/21 22:33 NZD/CHF NZD/CHF SHORT 5 0.65416 9/16 7:06 0.65761 0.35%
Trade id #137391059
Max drawdown($186)
Time9/16/21 7:05
Quant open5
Worst price0.65761
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
($187)
9/14/21 8:19 EUR/CAD EUR/CAD SHORT 5 1.49502 9/15 9:50 1.49470 0.47%
Trade id #137362111
Max drawdown($252)
Time9/15/21 8:26
Quant open5
Worst price1.50139
Drawdown as % of equity-0.47%
$13
9/9/21 18:59 GBP/AUD GBP/AUD LONG 5 1.87813 9/10 14:52 1.87976 0.36%
Trade id #137313935
Max drawdown($195)
Time9/10/21 5:13
Quant open5
Worst price1.87280
Drawdown as % of equity-0.36%
$60
9/10/21 10:06 NZD/USD NZD/USD SHORT 5 0.71407 9/10 14:52 0.71222 0.02%
Trade id #137320820
Max drawdown($13)
Time9/10/21 10:28
Quant open5
Worst price0.71433
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$93
9/10/21 6:11 NZD/USD NZD/USD SHORT 5 0.71431 9/10 6:51 0.71431 0.05%
Trade id #137316813
Max drawdown($25)
Time9/10/21 6:19
Quant open5
Worst price0.71482
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$0
9/9/21 21:07 GBP/NZD GBP/NZD LONG 5 1.95029 9/10 3:16 1.94262 0.53%
Trade id #137314436
Max drawdown($287)
Time9/10/21 3:16
Quant open5
Worst price1.94225
Drawdown as % of equity-0.53%
($274)
9/9/21 11:04 GBP/AUD GBP/AUD LONG 5 1.87590 9/9 13:14 1.87621 0.03%
Trade id #137305422
Max drawdown($18)
Time9/9/21 11:07
Quant open5
Worst price1.87540
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$11
9/7/21 7:27 NZD/CAD NZD/CAD SHORT 10 0.89586 9/9 10:04 0.90224 1.22%
Trade id #137268525
Max drawdown($656)
Time9/9/21 9:12
Quant open10
Worst price0.90416
Drawdown as % of equity-1.22%
($504)
9/7/21 21:26 CAD/CHF CAD/CHF LONG 5 0.72774 9/9 8:31 0.72249 0.53%
Trade id #137280919
Max drawdown($286)
Time9/9/21 8:31
Quant open5
Worst price0.72249
Drawdown as % of equity-0.53%
($286)
9/7/21 18:42 AUD/NZD AUD/NZD LONG 10 1.04081 9/9 7:09 1.03592 0.65%
Trade id #137280350
Max drawdown($349)
Time9/9/21 7:09
Quant open10
Worst price1.03591
Drawdown as % of equity-0.65%
($348)
9/8/21 22:14 CAD/JPY CAD/JPY LONG 5 86.786 9/9 3:37 86.402 0.34%
Trade id #137297039
Max drawdown($183)
Time9/9/21 3:37
Quant open5
Worst price86.383
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
($175)
9/7/21 13:34 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 5 1.37878 9/8 10:39 1.37347 0.48%
Trade id #137277013
Max drawdown($266)
Time9/8/21 10:39
Quant open5
Worst price1.37345
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
($266)
9/7/21 8:39 CAD/CHF CAD/CHF LONG 10 0.72705 9/7 19:50 0.72718 0.23%
Trade id #137269041
Max drawdown($129)
Time9/7/21 17:53
Quant open10
Worst price0.72586
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
$14
9/7/21 7:13 AUD/NZD AUD/NZD LONG 10 1.03935 9/7 15:43 1.04091 0.12%
Trade id #137268412
Max drawdown($64)
Time9/7/21 9:20
Quant open10
Worst price1.03844
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
$111
9/7/21 1:40 AUD/CHF AUD/CHF LONG 5 0.67868 9/7 6:16 0.67598 0.27%
Trade id #137266878
Max drawdown($151)
Time9/7/21 6:16
Quant open5
Worst price0.67590
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
($148)
9/7/21 1:27 CAD/CHF CAD/CHF LONG 5 0.72891 9/7 1:35 0.72891 0.01%
Trade id #137266857
Max drawdown($3)
Time9/7/21 1:30
Quant open5
Worst price0.72885
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$0
9/6/21 5:57 NZD/USD NZD/USD SHORT 10 0.71278 9/7 0:51 0.71264 0.46%
Trade id #137258181
Max drawdown($251)
Time9/6/21 20:44
Quant open10
Worst price0.71529
Drawdown as % of equity-0.46%
$14
9/6/21 8:06 NZD/CAD NZD/CAD SHORT 10 0.89627 9/7 0:48 0.89373 0.01%
Trade id #137259190
Max drawdown($7)
Time9/6/21 8:10
Quant open10
Worst price0.89636
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$203
9/5/21 21:42 EUR/GBP EUR/GBP SHORT 5 0.85722 9/5 23:40 0.85674 0%
Trade id #137255762
Max drawdown($1)
Time9/5/21 21:54
Quant open5
Worst price0.85724
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$33
9/2/21 10:48 AUD/NZD AUD/NZD LONG 10 1.04081 9/5 21:24 1.04144 0.16%
Trade id #137225229
Max drawdown($88)
Time9/2/21 17:39
Quant open10
Worst price1.03957
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
$45
8/30/21 12:29 AUD/CAD AUD/CAD SHORT 5 0.91980 9/1 10:04 0.92846 0.62%
Trade id #137178839
Max drawdown($344)
Time9/1/21 10:04
Quant open5
Worst price0.92851
Drawdown as % of equity-0.62%
($343)
8/31/21 12:06 USD/CAD USD/CAD SHORT 5 1.26298 9/1 4:39 1.25930 0.05%
Trade id #137195434
Max drawdown($29)
Time8/31/21 20:54
Quant open5
Worst price1.26372
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$146
8/29/21 19:06 EUR/USD EUR/USD SHORT 5 1.17977 9/1 2:00 1.17970 0.43%
Trade id #137165225
Max drawdown($237)
Time8/31/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price1.18451
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
$4
8/30/21 9:19 EUR/CAD EUR/CAD SHORT 6 1.48465 8/31 10:02 1.49274 0.7%
Trade id #137170659
Max drawdown($390)
Time8/31/21 10:02
Quant open6
Worst price1.49287
Drawdown as % of equity-0.70%
($385)
8/31/21 6:56 EUR/CHF EUR/CHF LONG 5 1.08144 8/31 8:23 1.07919 0.24%
Trade id #137187592
Max drawdown($131)
Time8/31/21 8:23
Quant open5
Worst price1.07904
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
($123)
8/29/21 19:05 USD/CHF USD/CHF LONG 5 0.91153 8/30 23:05 0.91620 0.15%
Trade id #137165211
Max drawdown($82)
Time8/30/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price0.91003
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
$255

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    4/13/2021
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $50,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    159.92
  • Age
    160 days ago
  • What it trades
    Forex
  • # Trades
    208
  • # Profitable
    140
  • % Profitable
    67.30%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.2 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    6.11%
  • drawdown period
    July 23, 2021 - Sept 10, 2021
  • Cumul. Return
    7.4%
  • Avg win
    $167.40
  • Avg loss
    $276.65
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $55,049
  • Margin Used
    $5,964
  • Buying Power
    $48,659
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.25:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.09
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.71
  • Calmar Ratio
    4.28
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    0.33%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.03920
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    7.04%
  • Verified
  • C2Star
    1
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    17.3%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    5.40%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.36%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.074%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    1.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    22.2%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    4.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    826
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    175
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    409
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $277
  • Avg Win
    $167
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $18,807.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    6
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $23,436.000
  • # Winners
    140
  • Num Months Winners
    4
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    68
  • % Winners
    67.3%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    1755.65
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    29.26
  • Avg Trade Length
    1.2 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    0
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    3.49
  • Daily leverage (max)
    8.65
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.05
  • Beta
    -0.05
  • Treynor Index
    -0.95
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    3.36
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    9.994
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.867
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.183
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.103
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.17858
  • SD
    0.08868
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.01371
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.60671
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    1.29984
  • p
    0.13175
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.40688
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.23641
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.62734
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.84076
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    9.36669
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.91590
  • Upside part of mean
    0.20812
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.02954
  • Upside SD
    0.09266
  • Downside SD
    0.01907
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15738
  • Mean of criterion
    0.17858
  • SD of predictor
    0.06096
  • SD of criterion
    0.08868
  • Covariance
    -0.00234
  • r
    -0.43234
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.62900
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.27758
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00853
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.83045
  • p(b)
    0.76640
  • t(a)
    1.49069
  • p(a)
    0.11642
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.03943
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.78144
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.31501
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.87016
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.28392
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.27758
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.17385
  • SD
    0.08642
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.01183
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.60521
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    1.29863
  • p
    0.13194
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.40820
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.23401
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.62849
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.83890
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    9.08365
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.63280
  • Upside part of mean
    0.20350
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.02965
  • Upside SD
    0.09015
  • Downside SD
    0.01914
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15455
  • Mean of criterion
    0.17385
  • SD of predictor
    0.06015
  • SD of criterion
    0.08642
  • Covariance
    -0.00222
  • r
    -0.42618
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.61229
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.26848
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00815
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.81599
  • p(b)
    0.76287
  • t(a)
    1.47784
  • p(a)
    0.11799
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.00031
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.77572
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.30968
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.84665
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.28394
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.26848
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02620
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03625
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00280
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00694
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.99002
  • Quartile 1
    1.00551
  • Median
    1.01255
  • Quartile 3
    1.01929
  • Maximum
    1.05868
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99777
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.01255
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.01929
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.05868
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01378
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05868
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00998
  • Quartile 1
    0.00998
  • Median
    0.00998
  • Quartile 3
    0.00998
  • Maximum
    0.00998
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.21048
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.22356
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    22.40350
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    6.16660
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.18069
  • SD
    0.11844
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.52561
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.51546
  • df
    113.00000
  • t
    1.00634
  • p
    0.44009
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.45568
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.50022
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.46240
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.49332
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.40062
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.96680
  • Upside part of mean
    0.82545
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.64476
  • Upside SD
    0.09145
  • Downside SD
    0.07527
  • N nonnegative terms
    63.00000
  • N negative terms
    51.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    114.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13381
  • Mean of criterion
    0.18069
  • SD of predictor
    0.10443
  • SD of criterion
    0.11844
  • Covariance
    -0.00023
  • r
    -0.01879
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.02131
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.18400
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01415
  • DF error
    112.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.19886
  • p(b)
    0.50939
  • t(a)
    1.01466
  • p(a)
    0.45228
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.23360
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.19098
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.17487
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.54195
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -8.48038
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.18354
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.17368
  • SD
    0.11820
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.46935
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.45958
  • df
    113.00000
  • t
    0.96923
  • p
    0.44227
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.51131
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.44363
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.51780
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.43696
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.29418
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.84780
  • Upside part of mean
    0.82122
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.64754
  • Upside SD
    0.09073
  • Downside SD
    0.07570
  • N nonnegative terms
    63.00000
  • N negative terms
    51.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    114.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12836
  • Mean of criterion
    0.17368
  • SD of predictor
    0.10446
  • SD of criterion
    0.11820
  • Covariance
    -0.00023
  • r
    -0.01898
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.02148
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.17644
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01409
  • DF error
    112.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.20089
  • p(b)
    0.50949
  • t(a)
    0.97759
  • p(a)
    0.45401
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.23328
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.19033
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.18116
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.53403
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -8.08750
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.17644
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01128
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01429
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00533
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01014
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    114.00000
  • Minimum
    0.97882
  • Quartile 1
    0.99624
  • Median
    1.00117
  • Quartile 3
    1.00473
  • Maximum
    1.02901
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99191
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99873
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00297
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00958
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00849
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00877
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97882
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.01754
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.02642
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.40948
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00813
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00950
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.05387
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00837
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01094
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    9.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00201
  • Quartile 1
    0.00814
  • Median
    0.01414
  • Quartile 3
    0.01962
  • Maximum
    0.05218
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00498
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01147
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01720
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.04044
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01148
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.11111
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.05218
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.39882
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.03963
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04129
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.37277
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.05937
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.10786
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.21069
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.22334
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    4.28017
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    5.52330
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    15.62570
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01100
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -314150000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    49

Strategy Description

This system is a swing trading strategy. It focuses obsessively on the preservation of capital. We are looking for asymmetrical returns: minimum draw-down pain for maximum upside.

The system uses three tactics:
1. It focuses on 10 intercorrelated pairs. During back-testing, we found that when fitted together, these pairs form a chain that is easier to analyze and exploit, improving our win/loss ratio.
2. The second tactic is to cut losses quickly and take profits slowly.
3. The third tactic is to avoid active trading on Fridays. Trades that have draw-downs may be carried over to Fridays or even to the following week, but there is a deliberate effort to limit the holding period and only have active positions during the first four days of the week.

Summary as follows:
Mainly take advantage of short term trends;
Swing trading tactics (between 1-4 days);
Mostly avoid active trading on Fridays;
No trade immediately before or during major news events;
Mandatory stop loss of -89 pips maximum on each trade;
Maximum 2-5 open positions at any given time;
Manual trade entries.

Please note that our trading decisions are based on quantitative models that we developed ourselves. Our approach is rules-based, systematic, mechanical and non-discretionary.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2021-04-13
Suggested Minimum Capital
$50,000
# Trades
208
# Profitable
140
% Profitable
67.3%
Correlation S&P500
-0.039
Sharpe Ratio
1.09
Sortino Ratio
1.71
Beta
-0.05
Alpha
0.05
Leverage
3.49 Average
8.65 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.