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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Sector 10 Trades
(95569132)

Created by: BrettDTrading BrettDTrading
Started: 06/2015
Stocks
Last trade: 3,022 days ago
Subscriptions not currently available.

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $100.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

15.0%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(4.1%)
Max Drawdown
15
Num Trades
53.3%
Win Trades
36.6 : 1
Profit Factor
45.8%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2015                                     -  (2%)(5.2%)+5.5%+7.2%(9.9%)(6.5%)(11.5%)
2016+0.4%+31.9%+7.0%+24.4%(7.4%)+27.5%+3.5%(8%)(4.7%)(4.4%)(6.8%)(3%)+63.5%
2017+10.2%(1.8%)(2.5%)(3.6%)(0.1%)(2.7%)+4.3%+3.5%(1.5%)(1.6%)+0.3%+6.7%+10.5%
2018+2.9%(9.2%)(0.7%)+7.7%(1.5%)+2.0%(2.9%)(9.2%)(1.2%)(2.4%)(3.3%)(0.5%)(17.8%)
2019+9.6%+6.9%+0.4%(5.5%)(4%)+18.5%+2.6%+8.3%(8.1%)(1.2%)+0.5%+9.9%+41.0%
2020(2.4%)(6.1%)(10.5%)+26.8%+0.8%+1.6%+21.5%(2.1%)(2.8%)(7.5%)(7.5%)+4.4%+10.0%
2021(2.4%)(4.4%)+6.2%+7.5%+11.3%(11.7%)+0.3%(6.1%)(6.2%)+12.0%(0.4%)(2.1%)+1.1%
2022+4.1%+9.1%+17.1%(8.3%)(1.2%)(12.8%)(7.3%)+1.1%(7.8%)+10.3%+8.9%+4.7%+13.9%
2023+6.0%(10.5%)+7.5%+8.7%(10.2%)(1.2%)+6.0%(1.3%)(1%)(1.5%)+0.4%+5.5%+6.3%
2024(7.5%)(1.8%)+16.8%+3.0%                                                +9.2%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.

Trading Record

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
8/10/15 9:48 SLV1615A15 SLV Jan15'16 15 call LONG 36 0.73 1/15/16 11:59 0.00 n/a ($2,653)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $25.20
8/11/15 10:06 FCX1521H12 FCX Aug21'15 12 call LONG 70 0.10 8/21 11:59 0.00 n/a ($749)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $49.00
8/10/15 15:30 POT1521H29 POT Aug21'15 29 call LONG 125 0.06 8/21 11:59 0.00 0.71%
Trade id #96545389
Max drawdown($750)
Time8/10/15 21:33
Quant open125
Worst price0.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.71%
($838)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $87.50
8/11/15 10:05 GDX1521H12 GDX Aug21'15 12 call LONG 70 2.18 8/11 10:05 2.08 0.68%
Trade id #96560870
Max drawdown($700)
Time8/11/15 10:05
Quant open0
Worst price2.08
Drawdown as % of equity-0.68%
($798)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $98.00
7/15/15 9:30 XLY SPDR CONSUMER DISCRET SELECT SHORT 91 79.32 8/10 9:50 79.09 0.13%
Trade id #95893516
Max drawdown($130)
Time7/24/15 8:22
Quant open-91
Worst price80.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
$19
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.82
7/16/15 9:30 XLV HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR SHORT 52 77.09 8/10 9:50 76.25 0.01%
Trade id #95917884
Max drawdown($13)
Time7/20/15 15:11
Quant open-39
Worst price77.40
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$43
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.04
8/3/15 14:57 XLU UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR SHORT 23 44.03 8/10 9:50 44.50 0.01%
Trade id #96253334
Max drawdown($13)
Time8/10/15 9:38
Quant open-23
Worst price44.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
($11)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.46
7/16/15 9:30 XLP SPDR CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SHORT 60 49.95 8/10 9:50 50.44 0.07%
Trade id #95917891
Max drawdown($62)
Time8/6/15 8:01
Quant open-60
Worst price51.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
($30)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.20
7/22/15 9:31 XLK TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR SHORT 30 42.59 8/10 9:49 42.56 0.01%
Trade id #96005676
Max drawdown($12)
Time7/23/15 19:26
Quant open-30
Worst price43.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$0
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
7/20/15 9:30 XLF FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR SHORT 117 25.50 8/10 9:49 25.33 0.01%
Trade id #95960591
Max drawdown($14)
Time7/22/15 16:16
Quant open-78
Worst price25.62
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$18
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.34
7/9/15 9:31 XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR LONG 86 46.07 8/10 9:49 45.57 0.14%
Trade id #95793700
Max drawdown($141)
Time7/28/15 9:37
Quant open86
Worst price44.43
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
($45)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.72
6/30/15 9:30 XLU UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR LONG 120 41.87 8/3 14:56 44.03 0.02%
Trade id #95579017
Max drawdown($19)
Time6/30/15 15:42
Quant open48
Worst price41.37
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$257
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.40
7/1/15 9:30 XLK TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR LONG 73 41.50 7/22 9:30 42.53 0.04%
Trade id #95635092
Max drawdown($41)
Time7/9/15 16:05
Quant open48
Worst price40.74
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$74
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.46

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    6/29/2015
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $100,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    3214.02
  • Age
    107 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    15
  • # Profitable
    8
  • % Profitable
    53.30%
  • Avg trade duration
    454.4 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    4.1%
  • drawdown period
    July 06, 2015 - Aug 05, 2015
  • Cumul. Return
    1.8%
  • Avg win
    $17,292
  • Avg loss
    $694.43
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $58,254
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $196,176
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    36.55:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.39
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.61
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.54
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -0.50%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.31050
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    146.48%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    15.0%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    5.80%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.018%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.10%
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.23%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.91%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    12.0%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    790
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $17,293
  • Avg Loss
    $694
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $4,861.000
  • # Winners
    8
  • Num Months Winners
    49
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    107
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $138,342.000
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    39334
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    7
  • % Winners
    53.3%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    654367.00
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    10906.10
  • Avg Trade Length
    454.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    2982
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.02
  • Beta
    0.56
  • Treynor Index
    0.07
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.03
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    54.25
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    1.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    0.425
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    17.86
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.05
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.409
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.087
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    10.763
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.45700
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.07100
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    30
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.50%

Strategy Description

A contrarian based system that goes BOTH long and short market sector ETFs/Options and is always in the market. The system uses overbought/oversold technical indicators to determine the trades. The trades can last from days to months based on market conditions.

The market sector ETFs/Options the system trades are:

1. Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
2. Consumer Staples (XLP)
3. Energy (XLE)
4. Financials (XLF)
5. Gold Miners (GDX)
6. Health Care (XLV)
7. Industrials (XLI)
8. Materials (XLB)
9. Technology (XLK)
10. Utilities (XLU)
11. S&P 500 (SPY)
12. Oil (USO)
13. Gold (GLD)
14. Silver (SLV)

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2015-06-29
Suggested Minimum Capital
$20,000
# Trades
15
# Profitable
8
% Profitable
53.3%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.310
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sortino Ratio
0.61
Beta
0.56
Alpha
0.02

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.