Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Chuck's Margin

Equity · Stocks · Started Aug 2017

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-3.9%
Max Drawdown
18.0%
Trades
329
Win Trades
42.9%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
8.1%

About this strategy

As of December 10th, 2018 I am using this strategy to simulate the trades that I make in my Robinhood brokerage account. At this time my brokerage account is only about 6% of the size of this strategy, so my actual holdings are much smaller and I do not have my account directly linked to Collective2. Therefore, they can not verify that I make the same trades like they can with my IRA accounts.

You will notice many similarities and differences in how I trade in my margin account at Robinhood and my IRA connected to C2. If you have any questions feel free to ask.

Hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20171.81.81.93.92.312.3
2018-0.5-1.2-3.8-1.23.3-2.61.03.00.2-9.9-1.0-3.3-15.6
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/16/2017
Suggested Minimum Capital$250,000
Age112 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades329
# Profitable141
% Profitable42.9%
Avg trade duration10.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown18.0%
drawdown periodJan 12, 2018 - Dec 11, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)-3.9%
Avg win$692
Avg loss$604

Ratios

W:L ratio0.90
Sharpe Ratio-0.53
Sortino Ratio-0.69
Calmar Ratio-0.11

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.14
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life210.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-12.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-3.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity22.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered40.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss51.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.8%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)586
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)311

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$604
Avg Win$692
# Winners141
Sum Trade PL (losers)$113,519
Sum Trade PL (winners)$97,571
Num Months Winners9
# Losers188
% Winners42.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct5144

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table111

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)14425.13
Avg Position Time (hrs)240.42
Avg Trade Length10
Last Trade Ago2864

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.03
Treynor Index-0.22

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.66
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.35
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats30.83
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.16
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.48
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.26
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.18

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.04
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.35
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.33
df14
t-0.39
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.43
Sortino ratio-0.43
Upside Potential Ratio1.40
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms7
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.03
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.01
r0.88
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error13
t(b)6.73
p(b)0.02
t(a)-1.47
p(a)0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
Mean-0.05
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.38
df14
t-0.44
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio-0.48
Upside Potential Ratio1.35
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms7
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.03
Mean of criterion-0.05
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.88
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.08
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error13
t(b)6.80
p(b)0.02
t(a)-1.50
p(a)0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.08
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean-0.06
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.55
df341
t-0.63
p0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.16
Sortino ratio-0.72
Upside Potential Ratio6.64
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms168
N negative terms174
N of observations342
Mean of predictor0.03
Mean of criterion-0.06
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.01
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error340
t(b)9.30
p(b)0
t(a)-0.84
p(a)0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.17
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
Mean-0.06
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.60
df341
t-0.69
p0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.11
Sortino ratio-0.78
Upside Potential Ratio6.56
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms168
N negative terms174
N of observations342
Mean of predictor0.02
Mean of criterion-0.06
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.01
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error340
t(b)9.29
p(b)0
t(a)-0.87
p(a)0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.19
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.28
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.25
df130
t-1.60
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.53
Sortino ratio-2.71
Upside Potential Ratio5.36
Upside part of mean0.56
Downside part of mean-0.84
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms66
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.12
Mean of criterion-0.28
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.22
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)8.17
p(b)0.15
t(a)-1.54
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.57
Jensen alpha (a)-0.22
Mean-0.29
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.31
df130
t-1.64
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.48
Sortino ratio-2.76
Upside Potential Ratio5.29
Upside part of mean0.56
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms65
N negative terms66
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.13
Mean of criterion-0.29
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.22
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)8.19
p(b)0.15
t(a)-1.55
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.59
Jensen alpha (a)-0.22
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.98
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-9.01
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.90
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations342
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.15
Quartile 10.15
Median0.15
Quartile 30.15
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.96
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.52
Extreme Value Index (regression method)5.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-16
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)333
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.12
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.26
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.19
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.57
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.54
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.23
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.66
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.58
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-13.67

Trading record

Placed 444 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LFVN long16Dec 11, 2018Dec 11, 2018$7
GNW long1622Dec 11, 2018Dec 11, 2018($5)
ENPH long665Dec 11, 2018Dec 11, 2018$8
MNGA long24335Dec 11, 2018Dec 11, 2018($3)
CRON long648Dec 11, 2018Dec 11, 2018($50)
SPXL long948Dec 4, 2018Dec 6, 2018($3,093)
UPRO long899Dec 4, 2018Dec 6, 2018($3,169)
UPRO long1000Nov 28, 2018Dec 4, 2018$1,305
BPMX long3111Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($9)
USAS long360Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($14)
TAOP long452Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($14)
ROYT long263Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($13)
PGLC long547Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($14)
INUV long448Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($13)
CTXR long388Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($20)
LEJU long299Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($9)
GPL long829Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($3)
IZEA long360Dec 3, 2018Dec 3, 2018($14)
PSTI long553Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($71)
ROYT long308Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($86)
SITO long453Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($186)
BPMX long3656Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($56)
USAS long350Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($203)
MN long332Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($107)
CTXR long487Nov 13, 2018Nov 28, 2018($98)
LEJU long401Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($4)
CPST long792Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($116)
PGLC long506Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($211)
SPCB long391Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($141)
SVM long296Nov 12, 2018Nov 28, 2018($98)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.