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Greenfield Leaders

Stocks · Started Jun 2015

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-1.4%
Max Drawdown
40.8%
Trades
251
Win Trades
37.5%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
7.4%

About this strategy

The Greenfield Leaders portfolio has the objective of stock growth. It attempts to accomplish this by identifying and purchasing stocks that are accelerating on a QoQ and YoY basis in terms of revenues and EPS.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2015-2.32.0-3.8-3.72.40.4-16.7-20.9
2016-13.5-0.4-0.4-0.41.8-1.4-0.1-2.45.8-11.411.3-0.9-13.7
2017-2.54.75.87.713.9-5.50.00.00.00.00.00.025.2
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/10/2015
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age138 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades251
# Profitable94
% Profitable37.5%
Avg trade duration34.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown40.8%
drawdown periodJune 23, 2015 - June 28, 2016
Annual Return (Compounded)-1.4%
Avg win$175
Avg loss$112

Ratios

W:L ratio0.94
Sharpe Ratio-0.29
Sortino Ratio-0.38
Calmar Ratio-0.04

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.15
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life263.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-281.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-1.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity20.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$112
Avg Win$175
# Winners94
Sum Trade PL (losers)$17,588
Sum Trade PL (winners)$16,468
Num Months Winners10
# Losers157
% Winners37.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct49

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table137

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)49823.65
Avg Position Time (hrs)830.39
Avg Trade Length34.60
Last Trade Ago3412

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.08
Treynor Index-0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.25
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.51
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats19.26
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats39.99
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.27
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.20
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.19

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.02
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.12
df37
t-0.23
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.98
Sortino ratio-0.18
Upside Potential Ratio1.09
Upside part of mean0.15
Downside part of mean-0.18
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms28
N of observations38
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error36
t(b)1.10
p(b)0.14
t(a)-0.64
p(a)0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.18
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
Mean-0.04
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.21
df37
t-0.39
p0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio-0.28
Upside Potential Ratio0.96
Upside part of mean0.14
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms28
N of observations38
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.01
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error36
t(b)1.30
p(b)0.10
t(a)-0.85
p(a)0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.14
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.25
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean-0.03
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.20
df848
t-0.35
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio-0.26
Upside Potential Ratio4.87
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.60
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms223
N negative terms626
N of observations849
Mean of predictor0.43
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.01
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error847
t(b)4.06
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.68
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.46
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
Mean-0.04
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.27
df848
t-0.49
p0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio-0.35
Upside Potential Ratio4.73
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.61
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms223
N negative terms626
N of observations849
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error847
t(b)3.91
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.75
p(a)0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.70
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6813320296267776
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)5.05626473412042e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations38
Minimum0.83
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.90
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.58
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15
Number of observations849
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low189
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high192
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.69
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.08
Median0.15
Quartile 30.23
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.05
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.34
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.34
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-400021984
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)371
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.05
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.05
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.13
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.04
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.04
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.72
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
WLDN long33May 12, 2017Jun 12, 2017$1
WTW long57Apr 18, 2017Jun 12, 2017$525
TVTY long97Apr 6, 2017Jun 12, 2017$515
TSLA long5May 12, 2017Jun 12, 2017$132
ITGR long25May 12, 2017Jun 12, 2017$49
EXAS long45Apr 7, 2017Jun 12, 2017$391
ABCO long23Apr 5, 2017Jun 12, 2017$90
IVAC long140May 12, 2017Jun 12, 2017($123)
SORL long231May 12, 2017Jun 12, 2017$757
VEEV long21Apr 17, 2017Jun 12, 2017$147
TTWO long19Apr 5, 2017Jun 12, 2017$264
HPJ long184May 12, 2017Jun 9, 2017($151)
OMER long191May 12, 2017Jun 8, 2017($182)
TMUS long77May 10, 2017Jun 8, 2017($160)
WIX long28May 12, 2017May 31, 2017($119)
OOMA long100Mar 24, 2017May 25, 2017$24
WD long50Apr 18, 2017May 18, 2017$157
MB long74Apr 17, 2017May 18, 2017($84)
WMGI long35Apr 19, 2017May 10, 2017($85)
OXFD long67Apr 7, 2017May 3, 2017($54)
SWIR long34Mar 23, 2017May 3, 2017($130)
ALKS long18Mar 16, 2017Apr 18, 2017($42)
AUDC long144Mar 24, 2017Apr 17, 2017($39)
SSP long132Mar 24, 2017Apr 17, 2017($163)
IPHI long43Mar 24, 2017Apr 12, 2017($121)
AAOI long56Mar 22, 2017Apr 5, 2017($172)
RTEC long46Mar 16, 2017Apr 4, 2017($18)
OCLR long302Mar 23, 2017Apr 4, 2017($184)
CEVA long28Mar 16, 2017Mar 22, 2017($47)
AUDC long144Mar 16, 2017Mar 22, 2017($49)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.